Here's your AB COVID # analysis for Fri Jan 14th. 1/
Cases/d yest 6326, a 0.2% drop from last Thurs's 6341. 7d ave now 5997 a 44.9% incr wk over wk from 4138. Positivity 37.88% compared to last Thurs 38.42% (essentially flat). Don't let the slight drop wk over wk lull you, changing test criteria make everything inaccurate. 2/
Hospitalizations: inpts. Last Fri +62 to 585 (revised from 681 yest 579 Wed 570 Tues 558 Mon) Sat +16 to 601 (revised from 595 yest 593 Wed 585 Tues and 555 Mon). Sun +41 to 642 (revised from 637 Yest 633 Wed 617 and Mon 563). 3/
Mon +46 to 688 (revised from 680 yest 633 Wed and 628 Tues) Tues +29 to 717 (revised from 700 yest and 666 Wed) Wed +32 to 749(revised from 707 yest). Yest -8 to 741. (subject to revision). 7d rise to Tues of 51.9% (yest 61.1% Wed 55.7% Tues 53.4% Mon 53%). 4/
I think it is really important to point out the massive revisions to the numbers of inpts. Mon for example was inititally reported at 628. today 688. These massive revisions hide rapid growth of patients. Looks like the curve is bending down, dunnit? Nope.
ICU: Wed -4 to 80 (revised from 79 yest). Yest +1 to 81. Four days of flat ICU cases is a relief. Paeds admits 6, including 2 to ICU, a 10-19year old and a baby. Total deaths 5. 6/
Demographics:Age graph:increasingly useless. See that rapid rise among the 80+? That's just b/c they meet the PCR test criteria for being vulnerable. Others don't so relatively dropping. They likely are all going straight up. Geography similarly not usefu, except relatively. 7/
Everyone I know who cares is scared and frayed. I know I am. Be kind. Forgive. We are not doing our best. Emotions are up. Love one another. We need it now more than ever. fin/
Here's your AB COVID # analysis for Thurs Jan 13th. 1/
Cases/d yest 6002 a 22.7% incr from last Tues's 4892. 7d ave (back tomorrow, @ByMatthewBlack taking a day off) Positivity 40.91% up from last wks 39.17%. 2/
Hospitalizations: inpts. Fri +61 to 581 (revised from 579 yest 570 Tues 558 Mon) Sat +14 to 595 (revised from 593 yest 585 Tues and 555 Mon). Sun +42 to 637 (revised from 633 yest 617 and Mon 563). Mon +43 to 680 (revised from 633 yest and 628 Tues) 3/
One thing we need to recognize is that we DON'T KNOW so much about Omicron, including the subacute and chronic effects. It's so different from past strains, it's not surprising it is a very different illness. We know it causes less pneumonitis, but what don't we know? 1/
Aside from LongCOVID effects, the other big unknown is the exact mortality curve. I've been watching South Africa, Denmark, and UK, and NONE of them have maxed out their death curve. 2/
For UK, cases peaked Jan 6th, and of course death is a lagging indicator. Danish cases are just peaking now (maybe). So we wouldn't expect either of these countries to have reached their peak deaths yet. 3/
Here's your AB COVID # analysis for Monday Jan 10th covering Fri/Sat/Sun. 1/
Cases/d: Fri 6282, a % incr over last Fri's 4445. Sat 6247, a % incr over last wk's 3252. Sun 5584 a % incr from last wk's 1991. Positivity Fri 41.55% (new pandemic record) (last Fri 34.52%) Sat 38.31% (34.35%) Sun 38.58% (27.95%). 2/
Hospitalizations: Inpts: Tues +45 to 464 (revised from 429 Fri 428 Thurs and 398 Wed) Wed +15 to 475 (revised from 448 Fri 434 Thurs) Thurs -25 to 504 (revised from 440 Fri) All weekend #s subject to revision. Fri +54 to 558. Sat -3 to 555. Sun +8 to 563. 3/
Here's your AB COVID # analysis for Fri Jan 7th. 1/
Cases/d yest 6347 a 40.2% incr from last Thurs's 4528. Of course, new pandemic record (until next week) Positivity 38.22% compared with 39.05% yest and 32.90% last Thurs. 2/
Hospitalizations: Inpts: Tues +30 to 429 (revised from 428 yest and 398 Wed) Wed +19 to 448 (revised from 434 yest) Yest -8 to 440 (subject to revision). 7d change to Wed of 34% (yest 36%) ICU Wed -6 to 65 (revised from 64 yest) yest -1 to 64. 3/
Here's your AB Covid # analysis for Thurs Jan 6th. 1/
Yest cases/d 4957, a 19.9% incr from last week's 4133. New pandemic record (of course). Positivity 39.05% compared w/ last WEd's 30.46%. New pandemic record (of course). Of the two tests, positivity more accurate for severity of problem. 2/
Hospitalizations: Inpts: Fri -1 to 355 (revised from 354 yest and 353 Tues), Sat +7 to 362 (revised from 359 yest and 357 Tues), Sun +23 to 385 (revised from 379 yest and 375 Tues)), Mon +14 to 399 (revised from 391 yest and 375 Tues). Tues +29 to 428 (revised from 398 yest). 3/