Here's your AB COVID # analysis for Monday Jan 10th covering Fri/Sat/Sun. 1/
Cases/d: Fri 6282, a % incr over last Fri's 4445. Sat 6247, a % incr over last wk's 3252. Sun 5584 a % incr from last wk's 1991. Positivity Fri 41.55% (new pandemic record) (last Fri 34.52%) Sat 38.31% (34.35%) Sun 38.58% (27.95%). 2/
Hospitalizations: Inpts: Tues +45 to 464 (revised from 429 Fri 428 Thurs and 398 Wed) Wed +15 to 475 (revised from 448 Fri 434 Thurs) Thurs -25 to 504 (revised from 440 Fri) All weekend #s subject to revision. Fri +54 to 558. Sat -3 to 555. Sun +8 to 563. 3/
NOTE MAJOR REVISIONS UPWARDS TO INPTs, for sure the biggest changes of the pandemic. Don't trust daily # reporting. 7d change to Fri of 53% (Fri 34% Thurs 36%). ICU MAJOR REVISIONS DOWNWARDS OVER LAST TWO WEEKS. On Fri Previous nadir was around 60, now it is 50. Not sure why. 4/
ICU: Wed +6 to 65 (Fri reported as -6 to 65). Thurs +4 to 69 (Fri reported as -1 to 64). Fri +3 to 72. Sat +2 to 74. Sun -1 to 72. one wk rise to Sat of 37%. 5/
Paeds admits:12, incl 1 new icu in 5-9 age, -1 removed from 1-4. One new death reported in 10-19 age group (not mentioned in today's presser). Other deaths in chart below (total 6). 6/
Demographics: same old. 7/
I hate this. #resignHinshaw #resignKenney. fin/
Thanks to @ArynToombs @ByMatthewBlack and AB Health for the graphics.
errata: see % incr here: Cases/d: Fri 6282, a 41.3% incr over last Fri's 4445. Sat 6247, a 92.1% incr over last wk's 3252. Sun 5584 a 180% incr from last wk's 1991.

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More from @jvipondmd

8 Jan
Here's your AB COVID # analysis for Fri Jan 7th. 1/
Cases/d yest 6347 a 40.2% incr from last Thurs's 4528. Of course, new pandemic record (until next week) Positivity 38.22% compared with 39.05% yest and 32.90% last Thurs. 2/
Hospitalizations: Inpts: Tues +30 to 429 (revised from 428 yest and 398 Wed) Wed +19 to 448 (revised from 434 yest) Yest -8 to 440 (subject to revision). 7d change to Wed of 34% (yest 36%) ICU Wed -6 to 65 (revised from 64 yest) yest -1 to 64. 3/
Read 7 tweets
6 Jan
Here's your AB Covid # analysis for Thurs Jan 6th. 1/
Yest cases/d 4957, a 19.9% incr from last week's 4133. New pandemic record (of course). Positivity 39.05% compared w/ last WEd's 30.46%. New pandemic record (of course). Of the two tests, positivity more accurate for severity of problem. 2/
Hospitalizations: Inpts: Fri -1 to 355 (revised from 354 yest and 353 Tues), Sat +7 to 362 (revised from 359 yest and 357 Tues), Sun +23 to 385 (revised from 379 yest and 375 Tues)), Mon +14 to 399 (revised from 391 yest and 375 Tues). Tues +29 to 428 (revised from 398 yest). 3/
Read 7 tweets
6 Jan
Here's your AB COVID # analysis for Wed Jan 5th. 1/
Yest cases/d 4768, a 69% incr from last Tues's 2823. Case positivity 36.92% compared to yest 36.2% and last Tues 30.08%. Both cases/d and positivity acheive new records for the pandemic. 2/
Hospitalizations: Inpts: Fri -1 to 354 (revised from 353 yest), Sat +5 to 359 (revised to 357), Sun +20 to 379 (revised from 375 yest), Mon +16 to 391 (revised from 375 yest). Yest +7 to 398 (subj to revision). 7days up 85 or 27.1% (yest 31.6%). 3/
Read 9 tweets
5 Jan
Here's your AB COViD # analysis for Tues Jan 4th. I'm going to focus on the last 24 hours as the data dump of Dec 29-yesterday is immense. 1/
Yest cases 2976 a 107% rised from 1440. Record cases of 4578 on 30 Dec. Remember these cases immensely underestimate true case rate in the province, thanks to undertesting, changed test criteria, holiday period, RATs being done at home, etc. 2/
7d ave 3479 a 92.4% incr wk over wk from 1808. positivity 36.1% (record for pandemic) compared with 21.86% last Mon. Calgary at 39.8%, Edmonton a close second at 36.93%. 3/
Read 11 tweets
30 Dec 21
Here's your AB COVID # analysis for Wed Dec 29th. I'll focus on the last 24 hours, and throw in a whole bunch of caveats, because some of this data is not as useful as it used to be. 1/
Cases/d yest 2800, a new pandemic record, and a % incr over last Tues's 1359. Except this data point is nowhere close as useful to a similar cases/d at any previous time of the pandemic, as evidenced by the record positivity of 29.88% (last Tues 11.89%). 2/
Hospitalizations: inpts.From a low of 261 on Sat, up +5 to 266 on Sun, +14 to 280 on Mon, and +12 to 292 yest. Not sure how useful this is, b/c it is unclear if all these new admits are pts admitted because of covid, or other reasons and just testing +ve incidentally. 3/
Read 9 tweets
29 Dec 21
Next big debate in Alberta is whether schools should open again in 6 days. It's a tough one, balancing the role of schools in contributing to community spread, and longCOVID in kids, vs. equity with challenges in keeping kids at home for many parents 1/
Yesterday Premier Kenney continued to promote the myth that "in-class transmission has not been a major source of community transmission in Alberta and elsewhere" (timestamp 33:01) 2/
In reality the 4th #intentionallycruelwave was driven entirely by the unvaccinated in the 5-11 age group, as seen by AB Health's data. And we enter the January school period with most of these kids unvaccinated, still only 34% with one shot, inadequate protection for omicron. 3/
Read 7 tweets

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