It appears that the people who convened the Proximal Origin authors who staunchly dismissed a lab #OriginOfCovid may have also shaped the membership of the @WHO team that went to China and ruled a lab origin as extremely unlikely. h/t @CDommasch s3.documentcloud.org/documents/2079…
@WHO@CDommasch On Feb 5, 2020, Farrar writes to NIH/NIAID leaders, asking for "names to be put forward into the [WHO #OriginOfCovid] Group from us and pressure on this group from your and our teams next week."
One of the Feb 1 call participants ended up on the WHO team.
@WHO@CDommasch It looks like they might've put forward the names of more participants on the Feb 1 call, but no others were selected.
The only American who made it into the WHO #OriginOfCovid team was Peter Daszak, who had orchestrated @TheLancet letter condemning lab origin hypotheses as conspiracy theories.
Signed by at least 2 of the Feb 1 call participants.
@TheLancet Despite the redactions, it's clear from the emails that there was intent, in Farrar's own words, for his team and the NIH/NIAID team to put "pressure" on the @WHO#OriginOfCovid group.
Yet, when a science journalist was tipped off as to the true origin story of Proximal origin, the lead authors conferred with Farrar and Fauci on how to respond to the journalist.
The question now is how do we make sure the next phase of the @WHO#OriginOfCovid isn't subject to more of these pressures coming from parties with reasonably perceived conflicts of interest. Was its SAGO membership also determined under these influences?
Are other #OriginOfCovid commissions and investigations also being unduly influenced or under pressure from parties with conflicts of interest or with a keenness for shutting down a lab origin as a conspiracy theory or barely possible?
This gratuitous praise from a Proximal Origin author for a clearly flawed report by China+WHO now makes more sense.
Same scientist used Adobe Illustrator to beautify one of the pixelated images in the report, sans access to data, for publication in Cell.
@JamesCTobias Starting at page 55, you can see the Feb 1 call participant who later joined the China-WHO joint study on the #OriginOfCovid providing input on what is likely the Proximal Origin draft (Feb 9, 2020). Difficult to tell for sure because of the redactions. documentcloud.org/documents/2104…
@JamesCTobias It's problematic that there are behind-the-scenes coordinated efforts to put out publications & reports shutting down the lab #OriginOfCovid hypothesis from as early as January 2020 - and we're only putting the pieces together in January 2022.
Waiting for reporters to report.
@JamesCTobias Giving maximum benefit of doubt, this could have been a well-intentioned effort to keep communications open with China by foolishly shutting down an investigation into a lab #OriginOfCovid for them and gaslighting the entire scientific community and people with common sense.
Giving zero benefit of doubt, this was a conspiracy to protect specialized interests in risky pathogen research and the scientific reputations tied to this work by foolishly shutting down an investigation into a lab #OriginOfCovid and gaslighting everyone with common sense.
The scientists in this mess can easily clear their names.
Release the emails without redactions; stop resisting appeals against redactions.
Share the earliest drafts of Proximal Origin.
Post a correction to Proximal Origin acknowledging all contributors.
When @ianbirrell tried to get info on Proximal Origin & these emails, Edinburgh University refused, claiming that "disclosure might ‘endanger’ the health or safety" of their scientist who was on the paper and emails.
What are the chances of someone catching COVID from international mail?
I'd say it's near impossible unless they were aerosolizing + inhaling their letters.
"contact with a contaminated surface has less than a 1 in 10,000 chance of causing an infection" cdc.gov/coronavirus/20…
If scientists are too fixated on mythical SARS-CoV-2 transmission via international mail, they might miss the actual community transmission of the virus.
This is unless there is somehow a new trend where people are mailing sputum to each other internationally.
There's also no study outside of China, afaik, that cites any evidence of cold chain transmission of Covid #PopsicleOrigins
The one non-China preprint was conveniently withdrawn in March 2021 right after being cited by the China-WHO joint study. biorxiv.org/content/10.110…
One of the Proximal Origin authors told @theintercept that their letter has "held up extremely well".
Really? Aside from the messy reveal of the origin of Proximal Origin, has the scientific content held up at all? theintercept.com/2022/01/12/cov…
We know Wuhan scientists were serial passaging novel viruses in a range of cell lines.
We know they were part of a collaboration with a roadmap for inserting novel cleavage sites into novel SARS-like viruses.
We know they had direct & exclusive access to SARS2-like viruses.
We know that we have barely any insight into the viruses discovered by the Wuhan Institute of Virology after 2016.
We know that they were culturing, genetically engineering SARS-like viruses, and performing infection experiments in cells and animals at low safety BSL2 or 3.
The questions in this letter are not specific or productive if directed at the leaders of NIH/NIAID.
The priority should be to secure a commitment from NIH/NIAID to publicly release the Feb 4, 2020 draft of Proximal Origin and the fully unredacted emails. republicans-oversight.house.gov/wp-content/upl…
None of the 7 questions ask specifically what the perceived competing interests in the Feb 1 group are, ie, what the impact of a lab #OriginOfCovid would be on the participants' careers and reputations; why several contributors went completely unacknowledged in Proximal Origin.
None of the 7 questions ask specifically what corrective actions should be taken while this issue is being resolved, eg, editor's note on Proximal Origin, recusal of Feb 1 participants from all academic/advisory activities relating to #OriginOfCovid
I'm all ears to hear about the precise scientific process that occurred between Feb 2 and Feb 4, 2020 where top experts in virology and evolutionary biology completely changed their minds about the likelihood of SARS-CoV-2 emerging from a lab.
In Jeremy Farrar's book, he noted that Marion Koopmans had said furin cleavage site insertions happen in viruses all the time naturally.
Kristian Andersen, lead author of Proximal Origin, said just because it happened in nature did not rule out unnatural origins.
By the time Proximal Origin was published (i.e., the final paper), Koopmans argument had been absorbed into the manuscript without acknowledgement.
"insertions.. can occur.. the polybasic cleavage site can arise by a natural evolutionary process." nature.com/articles/s4159…
Transcripts of the early 2020 exchanges on the #OriginOfCovid among leading scientists in the US & Europe show they were privately worried about a lab origin of Covid-19.
In private, they understood that "the only people with sufficient information or access to samples to address [the #OriginOfCovid] would be the teams working in Wuhan."
In public, they wrote "we do not believe that any type of laboratory-based scenario is plausible."
The day (Feb 4, 2020) that a first draft of Proximal Origin was shared with Fauci and Collins by Farrar, Farrar said Edward Holmes (one of the Proximal Origin authors) had guessed 60:40 lab and Farrar guessed 50:50.
Peter Daszak asked for US-funded virus data to be withheld, FOIAed by @USRightToKnow
"It's extremely important that we don't have these sequences as part of our PREDICT release.. Having them as part of PREDICT will being very unwelcome attention" usrtk.org/wp-content/upl…
@USRightToKnow Only way to know if some of these virus sequences are completely new and still not public is for NCBI database or PREDICT to release the data.
@USRightToKnow The FOIA process is so protracted that we're only seeing April 2020 emails in Jan 2022. And there are many, many more FOIAs and appeals against redactions still ongoing for emails from 2020.