Key point being: as a non-NATO member, Sweden pays all the costs (and then some) to stay relevant to NATO (US) by contribution in missions and defence purchases, but we don't get the key thing: defence guarantees.
This is, of course, ironic as we've promised to fight for all our neighbours and EU-members (NATO-allies), but they haven't promised to fight for us.
Things are changing quite rapidly though. I've never seen such a positive popular support for NATO as this one from now (46% favour, 34% against), and there's a parlimentary majority for a "NATO-option", i.e. threatening RU with NATO-membership if they escalate.
Some bonus parts of the thread includes Sweden's clandestine nuclear weapons programme which was abandoned only after the EXPLICIT recognition that we were under the US nuclear umbrella (early 1960s). en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Swedish_n…
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Dags för en liten tråd om den känsligaste frågan i den svenska säkerhetspolitiken - NATO
Världens mest framgångsrika militärallians genom tiderna eller en förtäckt arm för den amerikanska imperialismen? Var är Sverige i detta?
Först och främst lite om terminologin. TT tycker att akronymer som går att prata ut ska skrivas med en versal och sedan gemener (Nato). Det tycker jag är FEL och skriver NATO i versaler som man gör i resten av den civiliserade världen.
Låt oss börja med det mest basala. Såhär ser NATO:s medlemsstater ut i blått.
Partnership for Peace, ett intet förpliktingande partnerskap, i oranget (PfP).
Rött är de som ASPIRERAR till PfP och gult är individual partnership.
Det händer väldigt mycket nu som pekar på en rysk invasion av Ukraina, och hur det spelar ut sig skulle ha enorma konsekvenser för svensk säkerhetspolitik.
Här kommer en tråd där jag försöker sammanfatta och bedöma läget. Häng med!
Jag kommenterar för närvarande en del i media i olika delar, så jag kommer också knyta in det i tråden för de som vill ha fördjupning.
Kort om mig för nya följare: jag har disputerat på rysk krigföring och forskat på det i ~10 år samt skrivet en bok --> amazon.se/Russian-Unders…
Varför är vi här?
Egentligen kan man dra ut historielinjalen olika långt, men om vi börjar med Sovjetunionens upplösning så var förhoppning att Ryssland skulle gå från att vara en stormakt, ev. supermakt, och börja fungera som en "normal stat".
Watch out! - RU Defence Ministry is announcing sudden readiness checks for the Eastern Military District to "to unfamiliar training grounds at a considerable distance from their permanent deployment points". avia.pro/news/vnezapnay…
Incredibly screwed. The log4j exploit is a 10/10 on the common vulnerability scoring system. I.e. time to care. gizmodo.com/log4j-just-how…
"Apache’s log4j, is a free and open-source logging library that droves of companies use. It's free and widely trusted, companies large and small have been employing it for all kinds of stuff. The irony, of course, is that this bug-checking tool now has a bug"
"afflicted include big names like Apple, Twitter, Amazon, LinkedIn, CloudFlare. Cloud computing firm VMWare, for instance, reports that 44 of its products are impacted. Networking giant Cisco says that 35 of its tools are vulnerable"
What do I mean by Russia's best bet? As put by Chief of General Staff Gerasimov:
“information resources have become one of the most effective weapons. Their wide use allows in a few days to shake the situation in the country from within”
Or by Colonel General Zarudnitsky, head of the Military Academy:
“undoubtedly, the psychological weapon is the weapon of tomorrow”
The Russian security council just published their new National Security Strategy.
Here coms some reactions, questions-disguised-as-comments, guesstimates and other good stuff -->
1. RU is fearing the West for protecting their hegemony through aggravating Russian internal stability, destroying their economy, and traditional values.
All of this is known materia, but important to emphasize that RU internal problems are constructed as foreign efforts.
2. In this, however, the Kremlin are apparently feeling that they're doing well. They assert that "social cohesion is increasing" but that the increasingly need to protect moral values and social activity.