📍Really interesting that SA deaths are increasing a lot, more than a month after the peak in cases. #Omicron is not following the usual 14-21 day lag seen for other waves. Also, there is large >30% excess deaths above historical average—3000 excess/week.
Figure by @rid1tweets.
Figure by @rid1tweets.
2) As pointed out, excess deaths are running 130% of normal—ie 30% excess above normal. Notice how few of all deaths are officially diagnosed as #COVID19 (red) versus total excess (blue). This excess of 3000/week is huge—if SA➡️US population it would be over 16000 deaths/week.
https://twitter.com/DrEricDing/status/1481020158151991298
3) Furthermore, the excess deaths in the Eastern Cape province of South Africa during #Omicron wave has actually now exceeded their Delta wave—and **holding onto this excess for 2 straight weeks** above Delta wave peak. samrc.ac.za/reports/report…
4) Again, officially ascribed “COVID deaths” is a severe undercount of the total COVID wave attributed deaths—you can see it in diagnosis ratio below—Omicron has a spike in under diagnosis. Remember deaths related COVID can also include COVID-associated CVD, CKD, cancer, etc.
https://twitter.com/drericding/status/1481223592935366657
5) Deaths and hospitalizations also severely ignore the much larger iceberg beneath the COVID pandemic surface— #LongCovid, which not only affects adults but also can stricken kids—and by a LOT 👇
https://twitter.com/DrEricDing/status/1479115498600099842
6) still shaking my head how leaders royally screwed up against #Omicron by hand-waving it as “mild” without explaining the greater dangers of exponential surge will easily swamp out any mildness. Yet here we are.
https://twitter.com/drericding/status/1482312490415443969
7) this is the latest worry…. It’s not just immediate deaths… but the long term #LongCovid consequences…
https://twitter.com/DrEricDing/status/1482895592183541762
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