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Jan 20 • 6 tweets • 2 min read
My appearance on Tucker Carlson has been headline news in Russia.

Both state and private media have given it significant coverage.

ria.ru/20220119/obuza…
Why am I sharing this?

Because I believe in transparency.

I want my English-language audience to understand how my words are received in Russia.
lenta.ru/news/2022/01/1…
Some people are attacking me for my popularity in Russia.

This woman is a senior fellow at @CEPA, and she acts like the positive coverage from Moscow proves I'm a propagandist.

I have a different perspective: my media appearances are improving relations, in a small way.

Many Russian commenters say they are relieved to hear a voice of reason and restraint in America -- one warning about the danger of war.
If my comments make sense to you, and they also make sense to the Russians, it shows that mutual understanding is possible.

That's not a solution to the crisis on its own.

But it's a start. It's a first step.
Think about what my opponents are arguing.

If popularity in Russia is bad, it means the only credible people are the ones whose message *angers* the Russians.

How will we ever achieve peace with that kind of attitude?

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More from @ClintEhrlich

Clint Ehrlich Profile picture
Jan 21
The conventional wisdom is that we're headed for a second Cold War with Russia.

I disagree. We're flirting with a hot war.

It could involve nukes. Billions of people could die. 🧵
Just like before the Iraq War, there is a pro-war lobby pushing Biden to attack Russia.

They want to put together a "coalition of the willing."

Russia will be attacked if it does not surrender the territory it acquired in 2014. defenseone.com/ideas/2022/01/…
The call for war is not coming from fringe people in lonely corners of the internet.

That op-ed is from Obama's deputy assistant secretary of defense.

She says that we should, "if necessary, prepare for war" with Russia. Image
Read 29 tweets
Clint Ehrlich Profile picture
Jan 20
Many people are asking me about Biden's big comment today – i.e., that NATO might not respond forcefully to a "minor incursion" by the Russians.

Does it change the strategic calculus for the Russians in Ukraine?

Is it likely to invite aggression? A quick 🧵
The honest answer is "no" and "no."

It was a dumb thing to say, and it's tempting to score partisan points by dumping on the President for it.

But to pretend that this will materially affect the decisions made by Russia is simply not realistic.
When we speak about what Russia will do, to be clear, we are actually addressing a much narrower question.

Russia has a strict "power vertical" – the decision about whether and how to invade Ukraine rests firmly with Vladimir Putin.
Read 10 tweets
Clint Ehrlich Profile picture
Jan 20
***URGENT STATEMENT*** Please RT!

Today's @washingtonpost accuses me of having worked for Russia's government.

That is FALSE. I demand an *immediate retraction.*

If this story by @pbump is not corrected, I will pursue legal action: washingtonpost.com/politics/2022/… Image
I was a Visiting Researcher at MGIMO University in Russia.

That is *not* a paid position.

It's like being an exchange student, but at the level of a PhD.
The claim that I was involved in a Russian "think tank" is also false.

MGIMO University contains multiple think tanks – just like, for example, Stanford contains the Hoover Institution.

However, I was *NOT* involved in any of those think tanks.
Read 5 tweets
Clint Ehrlich Profile picture
Jan 19
My segment last night on @TuckerCarlson is having a bigger impact than I ever imagined.

It's causing pro-war pundits and politicians to lose their minds!

Let's catalog their meltdowns. A thread... 🧵
First, the man, the myth, the moron, Bill Kristol:

ESPN anchor turned paranoid xenophobe, Keith Olbermann, says we're traitors

Read 38 tweets
Clint Ehrlich Profile picture
Jan 16
The world is perched on the edge of an abyss.

We may soon see the worst combat in Europe since WW2 – killing thousands of people, and raising the likelihood of nuclear war.

It didn't have to be this way. A thread. 1/N Image
What's happening?

Russia has built up a potential invasion force on its border with Ukraine.

Recent photos and video show the Russian military pre-positioning attack helicopters and troop transports.

It looks a lot like final preparations for a cross-border assault.
Why is this happening? Russia has issued an ultimatum.

In the words of their Deputy Foreign Minister, Sergey Ryabkov:

"For us, it’s absolutely mandatory to make sure that Ukraine never — never ever — becomes a member of NATO." Image
Read 16 tweets
Clint Ehrlich Profile picture
Jan 14
Today, many people were shocked to discover that the CIA is training anti-Russian militias inside Ukraine.

To me, it's a non-story: The U.S. military is *already on the ground* training Ukrainians to kill Russians.

A quick thread. 🧵

news.yahoo.com/cia-trained-uk…
The CIA claims its paramilitary training is only "defensive."

That argument does not work for the training performed by the DoD.

U.S. soldiers are inside Ukraine right now, preparing the Ukrainian military for combat – both with separatist militias and the Russian army.
Officially, U.S. troops are not supposed to follow the Ukrainian troops that they train into combat.

This is similar to how the U.S. started out deploying military "advisors" to South Vietnam.

We all remember how that worked out....
Read 12 tweets

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