"Hi Alex, I have 2 doses of vaccine & JUST recovered from COVID. I'm eligible for a 3rd dose. When should I get it?"

Great Q. You assuredly had Omicron, so while you're eligible to get your booster 'right away', I'd personally wait at least 6-8 weeks. Why?

Short 🧵 👇 (1/n)
First, getting a 3rd dose even AFTER you've recovered from Omicron makes sense. You're further bolstering your immune response from whatever the 'next' variant will be. *Big sigh.*

Better for your immune system to be ready for whatever this pandemic throws at it next. (2/n)
Second, DON'T get a booster dose when you're symptomatic.

You're putting persons at risk of exposure to Omicron, and your immune response to vaccine WON'T be as good as when you've fully recovered and your immune system has had a chance to calm down. (3/n)
Spacing out vaccine doses, as Canada has done, has been shown to lead to MORE robust & long-lasting immune responses vs giving doses over shorter periods of time (i.e. <4 weeks).

Immunologically, it makes sense to wait instead of 'rushing' for that 3rd dose. (4/n)
For me personally, I would say waiting ~6-8 weeks post-recovery to get boosted makes sense.

Omicron will remain the dominant variant for months, so your risk of reinfection now that you've recovered is probably very low between your 2 doses and protection after recovery. (5/n)
Spacing that booster out will likely lead to better & longer-lasting protection going forward, given that your immediate risk from Omicron is now low.

Caveat: I'm just a dumb ID doctor. But thankfully, this kind of thinking is endorsed by super smart immunology types, too. (6/7)
This excellent article @LaurenPelley sums it up. Great info from brilliant virologist @akelvinlab (go #SK!) + super-smart immunologist @deeptabhattacha!

In summary, don't rush for the 3rd dose. But MAKE SURE you get it done, please.

Be safe, all. (/end)

cbc.ca/news/health/om…

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More from @awong37

Jan 21
On January 18, @PremierScottMoe posted a graphic comparing "real-time" QC / ON / MB hospitalizations / ICU admissions vs. SK.

Problem: SK is ~3 weeks behind those provinces w/ our Omicron surge.

We MUST be careful interpreting this data. We're NOT OK, Saskatchewan.

🧵👇 (1/n)
A more reasonable and appropriate comparison would be to look at where MB/QC/ON were at ~3 weeks from Jan 18 to create a more fair "apples vs apples" graphic.

For those 3 provinces, that would take us to about Dec 28. Let's see what the data shows us. (2/n)
We have #QC data from Dec 28 & Jan 18 in the graphics below courtesy @sante_qc:

Dec 28: 804 in hospital (including ICU), 128 in ICU
Jan 18: 3425 in hospital (including ICU), 285 in ICU

(3/n)
Read 11 tweets
Jan 20
OK. #SK COVID-19 mega-thread.

NEW #SK Omicron models (via @DennisKendel) Jan 19:

- Measures implemented to SIGNIFICANTLY reduce social mixing, MAYBE we avoid disaster/triage in #SK hospitals.

- Do NOTHING, #SK hospitals crushed, triage ensues.

Get comfy - here we go.

(1/25)
Let's begin with history.

@SKGov was provided w/ models from WORLD-CLASS #SK modeler Dr. Nate Osgood in late August 2021 that predicted EXACTLY how #SK ICUs would be overwhelmed w/ Delta in Fall 2021.

Nothing was done. Everything left wide open.

(2/n)

thestarphoenix.com/news/local-new…
Also August 2021, consensus letter sent by #SK MHOs (led by @CoryNeudorf) to @SKGov recommends NUMEROUS measures to stem Delta:

Universal indoor masks, proof of vaccine, gathering/capacity limits, increased contact tracing capacity.

Nothing.

(3/25)

Read 25 tweets
Jan 9
NO doubt now. BOTH Quebec & Ontario are in huge pain now w/ #Omicron. The GTA now is being hit hard.

It's a numbers game. Too many patients, not enough staff or beds.

Many HCWs & first responders out, too.

It's ALL bad. Everyone's reality is in plain sight.

🧵 below. (1/n)
The number of ICU admissions & ventilated patients in Ontario continues to rise VERTICALLY.

The primary risk for ICU admission remains being unvaccinated, but more elderly persons now with comorbidities & waning immunity also. (2/n)

Multiple physicians in Scarborough, a suburb of the GTA, have noted a surge of critically ill patients with COVID in the last 2 days.

For reference, Scarborough has ~70 ICU beds. EVERY single bed is now taken. They have NO ventilators left. (3/n)

Read 13 tweets
Jan 2
Trends w/ Omicron & RAPID INCREASES in hospitalizations are now clear.

'Leading indicator' jurisdictions w/ advanced Omicron waves (e.g. Ontario, Quebec, NYC, UK) are ALL showing BIG increases in adult hospitalizations.

All are strained further by HCW shortages. Brief 🧵 (1/n)
Let's start with the UK. Hospitalizations are rising quickly, as evidenced by the graph below.

Yes, not as bad as January surge w/ Alpha - yet. But additional challenges including system & HCW burnout, significant staff absences due to COVID, etc. (2/n)
Excellent description of pressures that National Health Service (NHS) currently faces via @ChrisCEOHopson.

Hospitalization challenges now DIFFERENT w/ Omicron. It's a "sheer numbers" issue of persons needing ward/medicine beds, less ICU capacity. (3/n)

Read 10 tweets
Jan 1
Many #SK families are worried re: return to school Jan 3. How safe are our kids & school staff?

Omicron in Regina and Saskatoon is surging. We'll continue to see record case numbers for weeks.

@SKGov, what's your plan? We NEED to know.

A 🧵 on safe schools, below. (1/n)
Let's begin with other provinces who are RIGHT in the storm of their Omicron surges. Quebec has delayed opening of 'everything' to Jan 17. Ontario has delayed opening till Jan 5 to try to distribute HEPA filters & N95s for staff (not students). (2/n)

cbc.ca/news/canada/to…
A respected colleague in Toronto, @drmwarner, reasonably argues for a 1-2 week delay IF a delay will increase booster doses for school/daycare staff, improve vaccine uptake for ages 5-11, & solidify distribution of HEPA/N95s/RATs in schools. (3/n)

Read 18 tweets
Dec 21, 2021
Modelling released by @SKGov predicts DRAMATIC rise in cases, hospitalizations, & ICU admits w/ #Omicron if no additional measures to reduce contacts (i.e. gathering & capacity limits).

Briefing today: NO measures to be implemented at present. Wait and see.

1/ #COVID19SK
Here is ICU / non-ICU modelling data. Not great, as you can see. Also not being taken into account - scores of HCWs taken out of circulation as a result of widespread community transmission.

Who will look after all the patients? Many HCWs have already moved on.

2/ #COVID19SK
Once again, there is an appeal to personal responsibility for #SK citizens to make good choices, do the right thing.

No surprises here. Get vaccinated, improve ventilation, use your best mask, etc.

3/ #COVID19SK
Read 6 tweets

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