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20 kWH of battery goes a long way.

Beyond the heat pump usage, I needed 14.4 kWH of resistance to get through a very cold night here, at design temp 10F.

This is usage from my house last night. Bosch heat pump set to 2 tons max. 5 kw backup on the air handler.
This is measured with an Emporia Vue energy monitor.

A heat pump uses about 1 kWH per hour per ton when running at 100% as mine has.

I’ve watched a number of client homes, 20-50 kWH is enough to load shift all of them so far to make up for resistance usage on cold days.
With batteries this size on homes, the existing grid can handle a lot of electrification with few upgrades.

Add 3-5% per year capacity expansion and concerns largely vanish.

Batteries still have a long way to go on cost curves (unlike hvac). Real focus here is needed.
Add rooftop solar at $1-1.50/watt much of the world pays and this gets easier still.

Glad to see DOE working on standardizing regulation for rooftop PV to lower hurdles there.

Still have to mobilize Hvac contractors to sell heat pumps in cold climates.
Further house details. Poorly insulated, 1150 sf. 1500 cfm50 blower door. ~3 ton/36,000 btu/10 kw load at design temp of 10F.

Will be close to 2 tons after upgrades. Fayetteville WV, barely inside US climate zone 5. Probably 4 now with updated weather data.
Here is daily usage for the last month on heat pump and resistance/air handler.

If this were a hybrid, there’d be no risk at all to the grid because gas/propane/oil would take over as needed at low temps.
We still prefer all electric but it’s important to note hybrids are a decent compromise that reduce fossil use 30-90% depending on the home and system.

Note most of my resistance usage was just a few of the coldest hours, otherwise the heat pump did the work.
That compromise can be instituted today with very little risk to anyone: homeowners, contractors, manufacturers, etc.

We laid the hybrid option out in the Hybrid Heat Homes proposal.

It costs $10b to do nearly 50 million heat pumps. 7-10x payback.

bit.ly/3Hprogram
We still prefer all electric though, and with more batteries and solar it becomes a relatively easy option, especially if they are predictably valued at resale.

Ignore the grid fear porn, we have tools to avoid massive problems. Let’s make it happen.

#electrifyeverything
Shouldn’t have to mention this, but your mileage may vary by climate, house performance, etc.

All this stuff can be figured out relatively easily, sizing equipment accurately is part of what the HVAC 2.0 Comfort Consult does. Wonder why we’re trying to scale it?
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More from @energysmartohio

Dec 21, 2021
Electrification in US climate zones 1-4 is pretty straightforward. Often insulation upgrades aren’t strictly required.

In climate zones 5-8 it’s much trickier. Shell upgrades are often required to keep operating costs down.

~50% of resi gas use is in 5-8.
At present insulation upgrades don’t result in predictable resale value increases.

Until this changes, don’t expect scale in retrofits. 150-200k/year maximum.

The solution is simple: publish energy use at resale.

My 2016 article still holds: bit.ly/EUIonGTM
In the short term, hybrids can help any home reduce gas use 30-90%.

Hybrids (heat pump plus furnace) also get contractors and consumers used to heat pumps so full electrification is less scary.

Fairly cheap policy can drive this: bit.ly/3Hprogram
Read 6 tweets
Dec 20, 2021
First experiences with induction are really important.

Here's a recent review of our Ohio house, note their experience.
What if there were thousands of homes like this? How fast could #electrifyeverything spread? @Airbnb could help a lot with a new class: bit.ly/AirBnbElectrify
While part of me hates that we are taking 2 housing units off the market in WV right now, we're giving them much needed love after 20-30 years of neglect that doesn't pencil if they were long term rentals, so we're improving and electrifying old housing stock. Important note.
Read 7 tweets
Nov 30, 2021
This is what code enforcement looks like.

2015/2018/2021 IECC (insulation codes) are all good enough.

But they’re not enforced, and it’s gonna be TOUGH.

But some are looking for opportunities like this fellow. Image
It’s really tough to fudge leakage tests, so it’s a key tool.

Although duct leakage in northern homes with ducts in heated space doesn’t matter all that much. While home air leakage does.

Down south with ducts in attics, both duct and home leakage matter.
Most southern new home duct systems are abortions btw. Kinked flex duct with almost no flow that get drywalled into the ceiling and can’t be replaced without nearly gutting the house. Passes the test though…

Energy use will tell the tale of bad installs though…
Read 4 tweets
Feb 19, 2021
THREAD:

Homes as thermal batteries aka resilience.

This house dropped 20 degrees in 8 hours in similar 30-40F temps during the Hurricane Sandy outage in 2012. It took 2 days to recover.

Post project it took 26 hours to drop 10 degrees.

@lloydalter
This is a ~2000 sf 1950s Cape Cod in Cleveland Heights.

Full case study on the insulation and air sealing project we did here. It was about $20K and was focused in the attics of this house (it has 4, or was it 5?)

bit.ly/1959CapeCaseSt…
The house started off really leaky at 5800 cfm50 blower door. We got it down to 3100 cfm50. Still not great, but far better. And good enough it turned out.

The house fundamentally changed. The second floor wasn't 10 degrees warmer in summer anymore, it was within 2-3 degrees.
Read 16 tweets
Feb 17, 2021
Tight well insulated homes perform well, exhibit A:

This 5000 sf new home in Cleveland with an 80kbtu 98% furnace and 4 ton heat pump is only at 67% capacity at 8F. That’s about 53kbtu/18kw output.

A 4 ton heat pump would be appropriate here. For a huge house! ImageImage
As we discuss resilience, air tightness is important. This house clocked a 1025 cfm50 blower door or about 1 ACH50.
Exhibit B: 2300 sf 1950 built ranch. 3 ton heat pump. 2000 cfm50. This heat pump shuts down automatically below 3 F. 5 kw/15,000 btus of backup heat is handling the house at this moment. ImageImageImageImage
Read 5 tweets
Feb 17, 2021
THREAD:

As painful as it is to watch what's going on in Texas, the residential solution basically looks like what we should be doing anyway:

-Tighter, more efficient homes
-Smaller, more efficient HVAC
-Batteries
-More local generation like community solar

Hard to sell tho!
The fact of the matter is we humans don't change until the pain of not changing is greater than the pain of changing.

In residential resiliency creating a comfortable, healthy, and efficient home is a great deal of work. Work that few contractors are good at selling or doing.
The situation in Texas brings up very valid concerns about electrification - how do we handle the really tough cold snaps?
Read 27 tweets

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