🚨#GW4 Round of 16 Differential Picks🚨

🧵After the 24 teams have battled it out in the group stage, now we are entering the next round. I will do a short preview of the knockout stage & just like for previous GW'2, give you some differential picks.

#AFCON2021
🔷Facts🔷

Big tournaments are always full of surprises. One of the big favorites and reigning champions Algeria is eliminated.

1st time participant Gambia & Comoros have survived the group stage.

Of the 68 goals scored so far, 10 are penalties (14.7%)

[1]
🔷Fixtures 🔷
23/01
17:00 BFA🇧🇫 - GAB🇬🇦
20:00 NGA🇳🇬 - TUN🇹🇳

24/01
17:00 GUI🇬🇳 - GAM🇬🇲
20:00 CMR🇨🇲 - COM🇰🇲

25/01
17:00 SEN🇸🇳 - CPV🇨🇻
20:00 MAR🇲🇦 - MWI🇲🇼

26/01
17:00 CIV🇨🇮 - EGY🇪🇬
20:00 MLI🇲🇱 - EQG🇬🇶

#TotalEnergiesAFCON2021 #roundof16

[2]
According to @OptaAnalyst based on their algorithm these 5 teams have higher than 10% chance to win #TotalEnergiesAFCON2021 :
Nigeria 17%
Morocco 15.7%
Senegal 15.7%
Egypt 10.2%
Ivory Coast 10.0%

[3]
🔷TIERS OF TEAMS🔷

I've listed the teams in tiers based on
1. Performance
2. Stats
3. Current situation (suspension, injury, illness)
4. Road to final,

TIER 1: ✅all. 🎯3 players
TIER 2: ✅2-3. 🎯2-3
TIER 3: ✅1-2. 🎯1-2
TIER 4: ✅0-1. 🎯0-1

[4]
🔷TIER 1🔷
🎯3 players

Cameroon🇨🇲 :
Comoros 🇰🇲➡️Guinea🇬🇳/Gambia🇬🇲

Nigeria🇳🇬:
Tunisia🇹🇳➡️Burkina Faso🇧🇫/Gabon🇬🇦

Senegal🇸🇳 :
Cape Verde🇨🇻➡️Mali🇲🇱 - Equatorial Guinea🇬🇶

[5]
🔷TIER 2🔷
🎯2-3 players

Morocco🇲🇦:
Malawi🇲🇼➡️Ivory Coast🇨🇮/Egypt🇪🇬

Mali🇲🇱:
Equatorial Guinea🇬🇶➡️Senegal🇸🇳/Cape Verde🇨🇻

Ivory Coast🇨🇮:
Egypt🇪🇬➡️Morocco🇲🇦/Malawi🇲🇼

[6]
🔷TIER 3🔷
🎯1-2 players

Burkina Faso🇧🇫
Egypt 🇪🇬
Guinea 🇬🇳
Gambia 🇬🇲
Tunisia🇹🇳
Gabon🇬🇦

🔷TIER 4🔷
🎯0-1 player

Equatorial Guinea🇬🇶
Cape Verde🇨🇻
Malawi🇲🇼
Comoros🇰🇲

[7]
With 8 transfers in each of the next rounds, you can choose to attack the match-ups each round much better and go for differential picks or punts.
After having a max of 3 players from each team in until the Rd of 16, we can have 4 max in QF, 8 in SF and 12 in final.

[8]
🔷TIER 1⃣ PICKS🔷

Cameroon:
🇨🇲Moumi Ngamaleu - MF - 8.5 - 3% - 16 points (5.3 ppg)

1🅰️| 6 KP | 3 CC

The right winger plays an integral part of 🇨🇲's attack.
1🅰️with team high 1.16 xA in open play, 2nd in team with 3 CC's.
6 key passes, 14 duels won and 1 shot on target.

[9]
🔷TIER 1⃣ PICKS🔷

Nigeria:
🇳🇬Taiwo Awoniyi - FW - 7.5 - 4% - 10 (5 ppg)

1⚽️| 9 shots | 4 SoT | 1 CC

Played twice & rested in 3rd, making his
team high 4 SoT's & 2.38 xG more impressive, involved in 2.55 sequences that led to a shot or goal (total xG). 3rd with 0.42 xA.

[10]
🔷TIER 1⃣ PICKS🔷

Senegal:
🇸🇳Saliou Ciss - DF - 5.5 - 1% - 16 (8 ppg)

3 KP | 1 CC | 14 DW | 6 CBI

LB played twice after missing1st game because of covid, making his 1 CC, 3 KP's and 0.21 xA (3rd in team) look pretty good.
🇸🇳only faced 3 SoT's with 0.8 xGoTC.

[10]
🔷TIER 2⃣ PICKS🔷

Morocco:
🇲🇦Selim Amallah - MF - 7.1 - 3% - 18 (6 ppg)

1⚽️| 1🅰️| 3 KP | 2 CC
3rd in team with 5 shots (1 SoT)
1.64 total xG is 3rd in team
Facing Malawi team that faced 12 SoT's (2nd most behind Comoros' 17) with 3.7 xGoTC (2nd).

[11]
🔷TIER 2⃣ PICKS🔷

Mali:
🇲🇱Massadio Haïdara - DF - 5.1 - 3% - 20 (6.7 ppg)

1⚽️| 3 Shots | 1 SoT | 10 CBI |

LB scored the only open goal for Mali, and besides Koné's 3 pen goals.
3rd in team with 0.46 xG in open play.
🇲🇱has faced only 5 SoT's with 0.8 xGoTC.

[12]
🔷TIER 2⃣ PICKS🔷

Ivory Coast:
🇨🇮Ibrahim Sangaré - MF - 5.1 - 4% - 20 (6.7 ppg)

1⚽️| 1🅰️ | 7 KP | | 6 CC | 19 DW |

0.69 xG is 3rd in team.
6 CC leads team.
1.54 total XG 4th in team.
The energetic midfielder plays all over the place for 🇨🇮

[13]
🔷TIER 3⃣PICKS🔷

BFA
🇧🇫Bertrand Traoré - MF - 8.0 - 6% - 10 (5 ppg)
1🅰️ | 5 shots | 2 SoT | | 2 KP | 15 DW

EGY
🇪🇬Mostafa Mohamed - FW - 8.5 - 5% - 7 (2.3 ppg)
9 shots | 4 SoT | | 0.43 xG

GUI
🇬🇳I Sylla - DF - 5.5 - 5% - 22 (7.3 ppg)
1⚽️| 2 CS | 5 KP | .62 xG | .42 xA

[14]
🔷TIER 3⃣PICKS🔷

Gambia
🇬🇲Musa Barrow - MF - 7.6 - 3% - 21 (7 ppg)
1⚽️| 2🅰️ | 11 shots | 4 SoT | | 4 KP

Tunisia
🇹🇳 TBC - too many uncertainties because of COVID cases

Gabon
🇬🇦Jim Allevinah - MF - 6.2 - 6% - 22 (7.3 ppg)
2⚽️| 1🅰️ | 6 shots | 2 SoT | | 0.81 total xG

[15]
🔷TIER 4⃣PICKS🔷

Equatorial Guinea
🇬🇶Iván Edu - FW - 5.5 - 1% - 16 (5.3 ppg)
1🅰️ | 9 shots | 1 SoT | | 6 KP | 2.63 TxG

Cape Verde
🇨🇻Garry Rodrigues - MF - 6.5 - 0% - 14 (4.7 ppg)
1⚽️| 1🅰️ | 5 shots | 2 SoT | | 0.79 xA | 2.12 TxG

[16]
🔷TIER 4⃣PICKS🔷

Malawi
🇲🇼Gabadinho Mhango - FW - 6.0 - 1% - 16 (8 ppg)
2⚽️| 8 shots | 2 SoT | | 1.28 xG | 1.93 TxG

Comoros
🇰🇲Ahmed Mogni - MF - 5.5 - 0% - 15 ( 5 ppg)
2⚽️| 4 shots | 2 SoT | | 0.89 xG | 1.07 TxG

[17]
With the picks leaning more towards attackers, for defense (DF & GK) I would like to recommend you get 1-2 players from these teams for this GW:
Top priority : Mali ; Senegal ; Morocco
Followed by: Cameroon ; Burkina Faso

[18]
That's it from me.
I hope you enjoy this 🧵and can use it as a tool to build your team for #GW4.

Good luck!

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More from @robmangunsong

Jan 22
🟩Group Stage Players Stats 🟩
#TotalEnergiesAFCON2021

🚨TOP 10 PLAYERS🚨

* minimum minutes played = 90 minutes *
* team advanced to round of 16 *

courtesy of @OptaAnalyst 🙏👏
theanalyst.com/eu/2022/01/afc…
[1]
🔷Non Penalty Goals 🔷

1. Aboubakar🇨🇲3 (257 mins)
2. Mogni🇰🇲2 (103)
3. Khazri🇹🇳2 (170)
4. Gabadinho🇲🇼2 (180)
5. Allevinah🇬🇦2 (191)
6. A Jallow🇬🇲2 (192)
7. Pépé🇨🇮2 (194)
8. Ekambi🇨🇲2 (209)

40 players on 1 goal incl Iheanachi, Haller, Hakimi, Salah, Simon, Boufal, Gradel,...

[2]
🔷TOTAL SHOTS 🔷

1. Aboubakar🇨🇲13(257 mins)
2. Pépé🇨🇮12(194)
3. Mu.🇸🇳 Barrow🇬🇲11(270)
4. Y M'Changama🇰🇲10 (270)
5. Awoniyi🇳🇬 9 (154)
6. M Mohamed🇪🇬9 (201)
7. Iván Edu🇬🇶9 (261)
8. Khazri🇹🇳8 (170)
9. Gabadinho🇲🇼8 (180)
10. B Sarr🇸🇳8(269)

Also 8:
Salah🇪🇬8(270)
Kanga🇬🇦8(270)

[3]
Read 21 tweets
Jan 15
#GW3 Preview #AfconFantasy

With the results of #GW2 coming in these coming days, let's see what kind of strategy we are looking at for the teams in #GW3 and which teams we want to target for the last games of the group stage.

[1]
Group A

Cape Verde🇨🇻 - Cameroon🇨🇲
To avoid being 3rd in group, 🇨🇻 must win.
For 🇨🇲 a draw is enough to win group.
I can see🇨🇲 still fielding the best team although depending on how the game goes, they will play it safe in the end. If🇨🇻 then 🇨🇲 will become 2nd.

[2]
Burkina Faso🇧🇫- Ethiopia🇪🇹
Will become a lively game as both teams will want to win the game.
If 🇪🇹win they can still be 3rd. They can't be 2nd because they lost from🇨🇻 in GW1.
🇧🇫can't be 1st as they lost from 🇨🇲 earlier.

[3]
Read 22 tweets
Jan 11
🚨WILDCARD IN #GW2 ? 🚨

My preference is to wildcard in GW2, so that I can attack the good matchups in GW1 , have more info about lineups and performance for GW2, and to avoid some rotations on teams that have already qualified or won the group.

🧵 #AFCONFantasy

[1]
In this thread I will give you some good options per position you can choose according to your budget for your team.
Also players with🥇GW2 matchup that you can sell in GW3.
Based on matchups in FIFA rankings in GW 2 & 3, I've categorized the teams I want in 3 groups:

[2]
1⃣ With🥇matchups in GW2 & GW3:
NGA🇳🇬
EGY🇪🇬
MLI🇲🇱
TUN🇹🇳
CMR🇨🇲

2⃣With 1🥇matchup & 1🥈 in GW2 / GW3:
MAR🇲🇦
BFA🇧🇫
SEN🇸🇳
GHA🇬🇭

3⃣With 1🥇matchup & 1🥉 in GW2 / GW3:
CIV🇨🇮
ALG🇩🇿
GUI🇬🇳

🥇Easy
🥈Medium
🥉Difficult

[3]
Read 10 tweets
Nov 30, 2021
A thread to think about why you'd want consider getting Conor Gallagher, or not, for the good run of fixtures the coming gameweeks. Especially with the injury blow to James McArthur. And the role of Luka Milivojević on Gallagher's performance.

#FPL #FPLCommunity
Conor Gallagher is on the rise. The England call up (& debut) was a result of a great season so far for the Chelsea loanee at Crystal Palace.

2 goals and 1 assist in GW10-12 has made many owners run to get him, especially with the good run of fixtures for Palace up to GW20.
Palace have 3rd best in attacking FDR according to @FFH_HQ and 5th best according to @FantasyFootyFix
Read 28 tweets

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