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Alastair Thompson Profile picture
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Jan 30 • 5 tweets • 2 min read
Tide’s out.
But coming in…
A Cathedral of Nature.

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More from @althecat

Alastair Thompson Profile picture
Jan 31
#ExtremeWeather Alert Thread

Cyclone Batsirai is heading towards Madagascar, hot on the heels of Storm Ana which has brought fatal flooding and massive damage to both Madagascar and SE Africa, Mozambique - Malawi & Zimbabwe.

6 hour animation of the storm this morning.
Cyclone #Batsirai is a much more intense storm than Storm Ana, and at present nearly all simulation runs from both the European and US models show a landfall on the East Coast of Madagascar in 4-5 days. ImageImageImageImage
The @USNavy's #JTWC website (metoc.navy.mil/jtwc/jtwc.html) is currently inaccessible from what I can see (possibly due to certificate errors) but this graphic from France Meteo appears to be the current official forecast for #Batsirai. Image
Read 12 tweets
Alastair Thompson Profile picture
Jan 29
“A lot of seemingly conflicting information.” - ⁦@AC360⁩

Thread on @CNN’s coverage last night of #ukrainecrisis #ukraineconflict.

A sequel to last night’s confusion about ⁦@CNN⁩’s coverage of Biden’s call with Ukraine Pres. Zelenskiy. podcasts.apple.com/fr/podcast/and…
Anderson’s two panelists last night as he tried to clarify the confusion from Thursday night’s misunderstandings were both military.

1. Retired Lt. Gen. Mark Hertling former commanding general of the U.S. Army in Europe.

2. Steve Hall former CIA chief of Russia operations.
A day on @CNN is sticking with its reporting on the Biden Zelenskiy call which “did not go well”. And the first question to @MarkHertling addresses Biden’s remarks yesterday that he expected troop deployments to Europe in the “near term”.
Read 6 tweets
Alastair Thompson Profile picture
Jan 29
An excellent podcast from ⁦@TheLastWord⁩ hosted by ⁦@AliVelshi⁩ with a more nuanced - mostly absent war drums - and comprehensive view of the #ukraineconflict #ukrainecrisis. podcasts.apple.com/fr/podcast/the…
The podcast panel is unusually broad and includes @EvelynNFarkas Deputy Assistant Secretary of Defense for Russia, Ukraine, and Eurasia. She doesn’t say much mind. But her presence is notable.
The final two speakers are also interesting.

1. @Russian_Starr from the Atlantic Council a @StateDept operative who (also speaks briefly) describes Russia as a former colonial power and makes a comparison with Africa.
Read 8 tweets
Alastair Thompson Profile picture
Jan 29
Whether intentionally/coincidentally or by “following the thread” the timing of @wfp’s statement (supported by a UN media briefing) and the publication of an @ap report about health issues in Tigray off of an Ethiopia Insight article submitted from Tigray appear coordinated.
And this activity is coinciding with a new burst of #tigraygenocide #hashtag activity. All of which coincides with a expanded TPLF offensive against Afar during which it appears they have occupied Ab’ala, and as a result ensured that the Semera-Mekelle aid corridor is closed.
This is a pattern of information support activity for TPLF activity which has been seen over and over again since TPLF rejected the GOE’s humanitarian ceasefire on June 28th.

This instance also coincides with questionable activity by @WHO’s electoral board r.e. @DrTedros
Read 18 tweets
Alastair Thompson Profile picture
Jan 29
Full video of the Pentagon Press conference held today by Sec. Defence Lloyd Austin and Joint Chiefs Chairman Mark Milley.

President Biden’s decision to appoint a military SecDef is starting to look questionable IMO.
Some top line comment on this presser in an earlier thread. TL/DR this is not a good way to give peace a chance, or to treat European NATO Allies, it is unnecessary and inflammatory.
And another thread looking at the widely misunderstood and misrepresented issue of Gas supplies in this conflict. NordStream 2 is not NATO leverage, the gas issue arises due to 40% of current EU gas coming from Russia.

It is Putin’s leverage, not NATO’s.
Read 4 tweets
Alastair Thompson Profile picture
Jan 28
A short briefing from @France24 on the Elephant in the room in the #ukraine Crisis, which mentions the most important aspect at the end and leaves out several impt. Details.

Gas pipeline becomes bargaining chip against Russia
The US and UK have both made a big play of the announcement from the German FM confirming that NordStream 2 can be used as a “leverage” in this standoff. Which is true. But it is not quite so simple.
The report points out at the end that Russia is already restricting gas supply, leading to very high gas prices, which highlights the fact that Russian gas supplies to Europe also provides Russia significant leverage.
Read 16 tweets

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