News orgs too often center political news on “lies, damn lies and polls” [h/t, “lies, damn lies and statistics”].

Poll questions shape answers. Poll sample size, composition shape reliability. This Biden/SCOTUS ABC-Ipsos poll flunks both.

(Yes, polls include statistics.)
Question,leading
Margin of Error, enormous: +/- 4.9%

The small sample size meant that ABC/Ipsos could not break out results for Black people. But “only 28%” of nonwhite Americans want Biden to “consider only Black women” for the SCOTUS. The MoA for that stat is even larger. Image
LMK if you can find an ABC/Ipsos poll from January 2017 asking if Trump should consider an Average White Man for the year-long SCOTUS vacancy.

THIS:
At least one Republican seems to endorse one possible Biden pick, South Carolina federal District Judge J. Michelle Childs. But Lindsay Graham is as fickle as April winds.

🎁 wapo.st/3AKji3m Image
In 2015, 10% of American college graduates thought that “Judge Judy” was a member of the SCOTUS (multiple guess). 🤦🏼‍♀️

2-in-5 didn’t know that Congress declares war, not the President.

Older Americans had a better grasp of civics.

1000, +/-3%
goacta.org/wp-content/upl… Image
ABC, LMK when 8-in-10 VOTERS (not just adults) can name just one SCOTUS justice. Maybe then I’ll care about their opinion.

Consistently, most Americans cannot name a sitting Supreme Court Justice or the Chief, even when nominations are news.

Perhaps Plato was right. ImageImageImageImage

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More from @kegill

Feb 2
“Some of them get paid to have takes. We get paid to end this pandemic.”*

@DrLeanaWen, how much does @CNN pay for your “takes”?

Do you pitch @washingtonpost or did they $olicit this?

Transparency is imperative.

WHAT STATE OF EMERGENCY? #covid19
There is no national US state of emergency on #COVID19, @DrLeanaWen, except the one that loosens purse strings and makes it easier for public health to, you know, do public health. Not one imposing behaviors.

statnews.com/2020/03/13/nat… Image
GOP leaders and people with large microphones are still spreading lies/misinfo.

The SCOTUS has neutered mandatory vax-or-test requirements.

Vax as silver bullet in the US is not possible. We are not Denmark, @DrLeanaWen. Reminder that vax efficacy wanes; look at booster rate! ImageImageImage
Read 12 tweets
Jan 3
I remain amazed at (1) thin-skinned TV news people and (2) journalists who refuse to provide sources for photos, videos etc in their tweets.

Three years ago I politely asked @BeschlossDC for the source of a photo.
I discovered tonight that he had blocked me. 😂
A journalist I respect RTed one of his unsourced photos; I didn’t recognize his name and clicked through; then I discovered I’ve been blocked.
Read 6 tweets
Jan 2
“No self-governing society can survive [‘an existential threat from a movement that is openly contemptuous of democracy’]
by denying that it exists.”

@jayrosen_nyu, I thought you might have commented about Sat @nytopinion editorial.

@nytimes newsroom seems stuck in SOP mode.
The @nytimes EdBoard makes this disconnected from reality claim:

“Democrats aren’t helpless, either. They hold unified power in Washington.”
😳🤦🏼‍♀️🥲

🎁 nytimes.com/2022/01/01/opi…
Burying the lede: the @nytimes ed board calls for an to end the filibuster, “at least” for voting rights legislation.

With this appeal (found in 3rd to last graph), they admit that their earlier claim about “unified power” was describing a paper tiger.
Read 5 tweets
Dec 31, 2021
“A very instructive case of how greed is not good, of self-interest run amok, is cancer.”

ABSOLUTELY (types the woman with breast cancer and an MS in ag economics)

“Cancer cells cheat on their body’s biological social contract. “

Article from July 2021
“most economists … have been too influenced by ‘methodological individualism’”

Economics was once a field of philosophy. Lots of math attempted to recreate it as a “hard” science. It is not a hard science. Neither is poliSci. Image
There’s a field of cooperation within economics: cooperatives. Probably not mentioned anywhere in K-12 unless very rural. I don’t recall their being part of my graduate work, either.
Read 4 tweets
Dec 7, 2021
MARCH: 4% of American adults didn’t trust 2020 election results and were prepared to join a protest that might turn violent. That’s 10 Million Americans. @ProfessorPape @TheAtlantic @bartongellman
🧵/1
JUNE: 8% of American adults agreed “the 2020 election was stolen from Donald Trump and Joe Biden is an illegitimate president” & “use of force is justified to restore Donald Trump to the presidency.”

More extreme; 2x support.

21 million American “committed insurrectionists”
/2
This needs to be repeated, daily:

Trump et al have convinced millions of Americans (including 68% of all Republicans in a Nov 2021 PRRI poll) of #TheBigLie : that Biden stole the election from Trump.

/3
Read 21 tweets
Dec 4, 2021
What's causing inflation? Might it be record profits?

A jaundiced view on Wednesday's SCOTUS news; a question for the NRA; US reported the most daily COVID cases since September 15th and about 1,800 deaths

kathyegill.substack.com/p/03-december-…
The past few weeks, TV news and newspapers have run lots of stories on inflation. On the political pundit side, those stories have a common theme: inflation up, Biden approval down. What seems totally missing from mainstream news > @business

Corporate profits are at record levels, due in no small part to the Trump-McConnell tax cuts. Image
Read 6 tweets

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