I think when it comes to CRISPR the top pick in everyone's book has to be $BEAM with base editing. Right now, they are the only company that can do base editing. Some of the others are attempting to build their own, but no success has been shown yet.
Base editing solves all of the potential issues of first generation CRISPR tech around Double Stranded Breaks and possible mutations. It does so by giving up the ability to do insertions. That is no big deal as no CRISPR company has done successful insertion except ex-vivo.
So far the first generation companies are stuck doing gene knockouts as a mutation in a gene that gets silence doesn't matter. It really matters when they start to do insertions which none of them has even attempted yet in-vivo. That is when I am sure we will have issues.
This makes base editing the top tech in CRISPR. I think $BEAM has done an amazing job partnering up the technology across different applications with different partners. They get plenty of milestones and downstream royalties to make it really worth while.
The other base editor is $VERV which I think is a waste of investment money to buy. $BEAM gets a large portion of their sales. $VERV has a huge challenge in the space it is going after with lipids and triglycerides. Huge competition with little desire to make a permanent fix.
I would actually caution investor to avoid $VERV and just own $BEAM since they get a huge part of $VERV and so much more. When investing capital, its best to put it in the one company that has the best potential.
When it comes to the first generation editors, I have to go with $NTLA and $CRSP. These 2 companies seem to have top shelf management and vision to really make something out of the technology.
$NTLA is developing in-vivo gene knockouts, cell therapies and working on its own base editor. They have some promising early data and the cash to drive innovation.
$CRSP is the most advanced CRISPR program around cell therapies and regenerative medicines. They have a cure of Sickle Cell disease and are working toward more cell lines with islet cells and diabetes.
These are the top 3 companies unless something new goes public. If Mammoth, Prime or Sherlock went public, I think I would have to own those.
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When it comes to Synthetic Biology, there is no company I like better then $TWST. I think they offer everything an investor wants with a top quality management and great long term potential in a key theme.
When you look at the SnyBio space, the top developer is $DNA. Another company with top quality management and very big long term potential. I think this company could be the mega cap of the 2030's as more manufacturing switches to sustainability and new concepts come to market.
The Triage strategy to raise funds in a bear market.
Now that we are getting a good relief bounce on this tragic biotech selloff, we can look at a strategy I like to use to raise some funds while not selling your best picks.
I call it "triage my portfolio". Some call it "circling the wagons". No one wants to sell stock while its down and getting crushed, but we all have at least 1 stinker in that portfolio that we just wish we could get rid of so we could put that cash into something we like.
These big bounces provide and opportunity to raise cash by dumping the bad companies at a better price so we have some cash incase the bear market resumes or goes lower. That can always happen. Never dump the good companies to fund the bad. That is always a bad idea.
If it were not for the fear of another leg lower, I would be wildly bullish on biotech here. There are so many really cheap names that could have huge returns from these levels. $XBI Here is a look as how much each is down and what I think it could return to reach value.
AI Based Drug Development
$SDGR -69% and 33% upside to value
$RXRX -62% and 33% upside to value
$RLAY -56% and 25% upside to value
$EXAI - 33% since IPO
Targeted Oncology
$BPMC -21% and 21% upside to value
$MRTX -31% and 10% upside to value
$RVMD -51% and 35% upside to value
$ERAS -32% since IPO and 35% upside to value
New month brings with it new hope for a bottom in the severely beaten down growth names. I don't think it will be a V shaped bottom. It still could be very choppy. I don't write off the risk of this just being a bear market rally.
I would say its time to put together that list of companies you really wanted last year that were way too expensive. They are now trading at 70% discounts. Its definitely time to start nibbling away a those names you like. $XBI, $ARKG, $ARKK
I went as far as loading up on biotech for my biotech portfolio. I used some spare cash to dip a toe into #Crypto with them down nearly 50%. I even put $PATH and $PLTR on my shopping list for my IRA if the down trend resumes.
When it comes to growth investing, it is all about net growth. That is the growth expected - the rate of inflation. In economics, we study the time value of money. All growth in the future must be discounted by the rate of inflation.
As inflation goes up, the net rate of growth goes down. If you have 20% growth and 2% inflation, net growth is 18%. If inflation goes to 10%, then net growth drops to 10%. Inflation destroys the time value of money.
That is why people will run to the companies that are making money now. The value of money will be higher now then any time in the future as inflation is wiping out the growth over time.