The last time the coalition did this, it was for Baghdadi. Looks like they found the new guy, and he's been hiding - wouldn't you know it - in Idlib, same as Baghdadi.
Alternatively, it could be a HaD leader, though that's dubious.
Could be a hunt for IS escapees from the prison breakout (not surprising that they'd flee to Idlib), but more likely it's aimed at leadership decapitation of IS (not surprising they'd still be based there).
The operation has reportedly ended. We will learn more about the target (or intended target, if it failed) soon.
More reports that the targets were senior AQ figures, after all:
If this extensive operation was actually launched to target some worthless AQ guys, that is super lame and also very stupid. What, was an R9X not available?
We still have no details, so this statement is pretty meaningless. If it was actually successful and got the major IS or AQ HVTs it targeted, it would've been announced immediately, with names.
Although honestly... maybe? He's the only AQ official that would merit such a raid. Why he'd be in Idlib right now is beyond me.
A lot of chatter that my (and everyone else's) initial hunch was correct:
Thus far, all circumstantial evidence points towards IS leader al-Mawla and his family as the casualties. US will officially confirm the target soon.
"A senior Iraqi intelligence official said the target of the raid was the leader of the Islamic State, Abu Ibrahim al-Hashimi al-Qurayshi, but U.S. officials did not confirm that and have not said who the target was." nytimes.com/2022/02/03/us/…
Biden confirms: IS leader Abu Ibrahim al-Hashimi al-Qurayshi was the target and he is dead 🥳🥳🥳

Fucking geronimo, boys!
Someone definitely blew themselves up. probably multiple people, given this family. It's standard IS HVT operating procedure.

Should never have doubted myself. It was obvious it was him. US wouldn't do this for anyone else.

That+area+timing with prison break=duh.
I hope a lot of headlines and tweets are revised from the current "US just botches operations and kills women and children hurr durr"
Biden says it wasn't just al-Mawla's suicide vest that he detonated, but explosives that took down the third floor of the building.

Purpose of a raid was to cause fewer CIVCAS, but IS decided better kill our women and children with us all the same.

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More from @Ayei_Eloheichem

Feb 4
Thread: Most salient information from the White House and Pentagon briefings on yesterday's US raid that killed Islamic State leader Hajji Abdullah (Abu Ibrahim al-Hashimi al-Qurashi) in #Idlib.
The operation was in the works for months.

US confirmed by early December that the IS leader was living in the compound; the exact layout of the compound; and exactly who was where.

The reason a raid was chosen vs. an airstrike was an innocent family on the first floor. ImageImage
So good was the US intelligence that they knew that Hajji Abdullah detonating his suicide vest on the third floor would not bring down the building, hence the decision to risk the operation despite knowing he would do this. Image
Read 13 tweets
Feb 3
Just listened to this @BulwarkOnline with @SykesCharlie & George Packer discussing his Atlantic article (theatlantic.com/magazine/archi…), and I'm very glad people are finally noting Biden's total indifference to evacuating our Afghan partners, something I've extensively covered.
Read 10 tweets
Feb 3
Regardless of whether this was an IS or AQ HVT, this only lends credence to the view that Turkey is basically Pakistan.
With confirmation from Biden that the SECOND leader of the Islamic State was just killed in Idlib a mile from the Turkish border, right next to where Abu Bakr al-Baghdadi was killed in 2019 in a similar US raid, there can no longer be any doubt about Turkey.
That's on top of the multiple IS HVTs killed in Turkish-controlled territory on its border, including Abul-Hasan al-Muhajir
Read 4 tweets
Feb 3
IRGC rocketing the Turkish #Zilkan base in Iraq. Again.
September 2021:

[Qais al-Khazali in April: “Erdoğan… entered Bashiqa and won’t leave, and if he enters Sinjar and Tal Afar he won’t leave willingly… This is more dangerous than the US (presence in Iraq)”]
ahvalnews.com/turkey-iraq/ro…
Read 5 tweets
Jan 20
Biden confirms this reporting and essentially greenlights any Russian operation against Ukraine short of a full invasion:

"It depends on what it does. It's one thing if it's a minor incursion and we end up having to fight about what to do or not do"
Biden says any Russian attempt to cut off energy supplies to Europe would be "biting your nose off to spite your face" given that it's 45% of their income.

Biden says Russian "banks will not be able to deal in dollars" if it invades, and that while it will win the war/occupy Ukraine, it will suffer terribly.

"Militarily, they have overwhelming superiority...but they'll pay a stiff price... near term, medium term, and long term"
Read 10 tweets

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