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Feb 3 • 5 tweets • 2 min read
IRGC rocketing the Turkish #Zilkan base in Iraq. Again.
April 2021: aa.com.tr/en/middle-east…
September 2021:

[Qais al-Khazali in April: “Erdoğan… entered Bashiqa and won’t leave, and if he enters Sinjar and Tal Afar he won’t leave willingly… This is more dangerous than the US (presence in Iraq)”]
ahvalnews.com/turkey-iraq/ro…
January 3: basnews.com/en/babat/732236
Also attacks on August 12, December 27, and January 15. Point being, this has become a fairly regular occurrence.

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More from @Ayei_Eloheichem

CasualtiesOfTheDay Profile picture
Feb 4
Thread: Most salient information from the White House and Pentagon briefings on yesterday's US raid that killed Islamic State leader Hajji Abdullah (Abu Ibrahim al-Hashimi al-Qurashi) in #Idlib.
The operation was in the works for months.

US confirmed by early December that the IS leader was living in the compound; the exact layout of the compound; and exactly who was where.

The reason a raid was chosen vs. an airstrike was an innocent family on the first floor. ImageImage
So good was the US intelligence that they knew that Hajji Abdullah detonating his suicide vest on the third floor would not bring down the building, hence the decision to risk the operation despite knowing he would do this. Image
Read 13 tweets
CasualtiesOfTheDay Profile picture
Feb 3
Just listened to this @BulwarkOnline with @SykesCharlie & George Packer discussing his Atlantic article (theatlantic.com/magazine/archi…), and I'm very glad people are finally noting Biden's total indifference to evacuating our Afghan partners, something I've extensively covered.
Thread I: they just didn't care
They just didn't care:
Read 10 tweets
CasualtiesOfTheDay Profile picture
Feb 3
Regardless of whether this was an IS or AQ HVT, this only lends credence to the view that Turkey is basically Pakistan.
With confirmation from Biden that the SECOND leader of the Islamic State was just killed in Idlib a mile from the Turkish border, right next to where Abu Bakr al-Baghdadi was killed in 2019 in a similar US raid, there can no longer be any doubt about Turkey.
That's on top of the multiple IS HVTs killed in Turkish-controlled territory on its border, including Abul-Hasan al-Muhajir
Read 4 tweets
CasualtiesOfTheDay Profile picture
Feb 3
Image
The reality is quite the reverse: meforum.org/62821/whither-…

Image
Read 5 tweets
CasualtiesOfTheDay Profile picture
Feb 2
The last time the coalition did this, it was for Baghdadi. Looks like they found the new guy, and he's been hiding - wouldn't you know it - in Idlib, same as Baghdadi.
Alternatively, it could be a HaD leader, though that's dubious.
Read 37 tweets
CasualtiesOfTheDay Profile picture
Jan 20
Biden confirms this reporting and essentially greenlights any Russian operation against Ukraine short of a full invasion:

"It depends on what it does. It's one thing if it's a minor incursion and we end up having to fight about what to do or not do"
Biden says any Russian attempt to cut off energy supplies to Europe would be "biting your nose off to spite your face" given that it's 45% of their income.

Biden says Russian "banks will not be able to deal in dollars" if it invades, and that while it will win the war/occupy Ukraine, it will suffer terribly.

"Militarily, they have overwhelming superiority...but they'll pay a stiff price... near term, medium term, and long term"
Read 10 tweets

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