- Fund 1 at 1.83x MOIC (gross), 1.54x TVPI (net of fess, carry)
- All 🍌🧢 at 1.57x and 1.41x
- Gross (Net) IRR on Fund 1 at 276% (205%)
- Fund 1 was 73% deployed
- $26.2m AUM ($16.2m in SPVs), ~81% in follow-ons (some my prev investments)
66% of Fund 1 capital is invested at Pre-Seed/Seed, and 54% with US HQs (JOKR + Umba skew this, US HQs but operate mostly in LatAm + entirely in Africa)
In Q4 we deployed more capital at Pre-Seed/Seed than Series A and beyond, and increased ecom + fintech exposure (mostly ex-US)
Outside of North America, our two most active markets were France and Pakistan with three new investments in each country. I'm blaming @2lr and @aatif_awan for this, but do think both are good things 😂
We invested in 14 new companies in Q4 and made 5 follow-on investments (3 via SPVs). Average Q4 check size was ~$325k. Largest was $3.1m.
Fund 1 will likely have 60 port co's and 35 core investments (initial check + follow-ons are more than 1.5% of portfolio).
Fund 2 will have ~35 total port co's, 20 core, and 10 that make up 50%+ of the fund. Seems like big change, just means fewer small checks + moving most of what today has gone in SPVs into the fund. This allows us to give a better founder experience when writing larger checks.
We’ll also put 2-3% of Fund 2 in a few new co secondaries + 4 to 6 public checks at ~$150-200k each. This will build a track record to raise a public fund in 3-5 years to further support founders post-IPO. Part of the original vision for Banana, but didn't have capacity this year
Our average 2021 pre-seed entry valuation was $8.67m, Seed was $37m (pre-revenue seed was $29m)
Overall, average valuation on fund checks by quarter (this includes pre-seed through D):
Q1: $59m ($57m excluding follow-ons)
Q2: $95m ($102m)
Q3: $32m ($22m)
Q4: $44m ($44m)
All returns are extremely early and skewed due to timing (and on paper, of course), but this was encouraging - we raised SPVs to augment fund checks in a few high-conviction Seed rounds, and that bucket has outperformed the fund-only Seed checks in terms of early MOIC 👀
Most common follow-on investor in 2021 across all my Gelt + Banana port co’s was a16z at 4x.
Most common co-investors were Geometry Ventures, Julian Shapiro, and YC at 4x. Tiger, Kleiner, and Lachy Groom were all at 3x (very likely I’m missing some people and funds here).
This was also huge - we were recognized for our role in the record VC fund announcements to start 2022
Most importantly, @olivia_deng_ officially started in October. She is now better than me at both Twitter and TikTok and adding incredible amounts of value for portfolio companies.
In 2022, my broad expectations are for later stage investors to continue creeping earlier. I'd assume the *average* Series B+ portfolio deployed in 2021 is in a rough spot, and most of the growth equity / crossover universe will continue investing earlier.
Banana will always be an opportunistic fund, but I expect we continue leaning earlier and international throughout 2022 (all depends on what we see) before we do too much beyond Series B (and we’ll likely deploy ~2x more in B's than A's).
Thanks for reading, and check out prior updates here:
VINN has a crazy business model: they help consumers buy cars online but hold zero of their own inventory.
It’s an online marketplace with a very simple and effective product connecting consumers and cars at local dealerships.
There's a few other companies that sell cars online; however their models are very similar to traditional dealers. Dealerships can be great businesses, yet can’t have high market share.
The tl;dr is Stitch Fix has permission from 3.9m consumers to auto ship them products. It’s ecom’s “recommended bar” but IRL and converts at 10-20%. They know what will sell before its even produced. Can monetize this from suppliers, with private label, + their Direct Buy app.
The market didn’t like Q4 earnings, which were impacted by lockdowns + freight issues over the holidays. SFIX also recognize revenue at checkout which (usually) happens after customers receive the order and decide what to keep / send back. Could be impact from Direct Buy ramping
“Online friend finding and social discovery is currently growing twice as fast as online dating, and we think it will be a 2x larger market as well" - Match Group
👀 👀 👀
fwiw, all these apps will add audio rooms (long $API), video rooms, games, messaging tools that reduce friction of self expression (AR filters, stickers), subscriptions, etc.
Winners will figure out moderation at scale, move fastest on new features, and crack long-term retention
we may see some vertical products emerge IE friend finding for gamers. Winners will be ones who build a unique, defensible social / interest graph (we also may just see these swallowed over time by co's with existing matching algo's and monetization models like Match, Yubo, etc)
"By 2025, we could have 50m creators on our platform, whose art is enjoyed by 1b users around the world. We want to be the place educators, entrepreneurs, storytellers, and artists can touch the world through audio" - @eldsjal
Spotify says it has 40% market share of music streaming and will get to a similar share in podcasting.
Paid-audio increases from $7b to $40b/yr. Combined with podcasting, becomes a $55b opportunity.
One of the more interesting things Spotify's doing: investors have always focused on perpetually low gross margins due to payouts to record labels. The biggest expense for most labels is marketing. Spotify's now starting to capture some of that marketing spend on its ad platform.
looking at my 25 startups investments in 2019-20, the two best performing consumer social co’s are literally just built on top of slack and WhatsApp. The founders created for a new format that was underserved, moved quick building, and gradually built their own app over time.
tbt to this tweet, thank you to all the awesome people and founders I connected with over this!