Here is my summary of the RAV4 Sightings and closely related events. Please comment, as this is just Iteration 2 of a working theory. I will got through each step in this thread.
(2) Assumptions:
A. Non-perp witnesses mostly correct.
B. Rahmlow tipped Colborn before he was assigned to the case.
C. Ryan/Mike did see the RAV4 on Tuesday night.
D. RAV4 at pond during flyover, but police failed to find it.
E. Pam Sturm was told where to find the RAV4.
(S1.1) Avery/Dassey see Teresa with RAV4 across from the Maroon Van:
This is the starting point, and I drew it with a black background because it is a known and corroborated sighting.
Both Avery and Dassey claim to last see the RAV4 here.
At first glance, the RAV4 witness statements don't tell a clear story, but can we develop a working theory to decode these RAV4 sightings?
(2) The main conflict is between Wilmer Siebert and Tom Sowinski:
- Siebert sees the RAV4 planted via the Salvage Yard conveyor road, while Sowinski sees it pushed into the yard from WI 147 via Avery Road.
- Siebert sees it running, while Sowinski sees it needing to be pushed.
(3) Because the RAV4 is running, it seems to me that Siebert's story must precede Sowinski's.
In fact, Siebert may have witnessed a failed attempt to get the RAV4 into the Salvage Yard. The RAV4 may have been left on conveyor road, where many HRD dogs later alerted.
(1) In his March 30th, 2006 police interview, SCOTT TADYCH places himself in the Janda/Dassey laundry room on the week Teresa disappeared.
He's questioned about this because he has had loose lips at work, casting suspicion on Brendan.
(2) SCOTT TADYCH's admission corroborates statements made by Steven Avery about SCOTT in his supplemental affidavit of Nov 14th, 2017.
(3) Steven swore under oath:
10. My work schedule at the salvage yard was from 8:00 a.m. until 5:00 p.m., Monday through Friday. Several times when I was at work, I noticed Scott Tadych enter the property in his green truck and proceed to Barb's trailer, where Bobby was at home.
(1) "The second man appeared to be in his 50's or early 60's, had a long grey beard, was wearing a worn puffy jacket, had a larger frame, and was around 6 feet in height"
- Tom Sowinski, The Avery's newspaper delivery man
(2) In John Ferak's patch.com article, that broke this story, we also found out:
"The man with Bobby Dassey moving the RAV-4, Zellner said, looked to be at least 6-feet-tall and, he had a beard between 8 inches to 12 inches long."