Holger Hestermeyer Profile picture
Feb 8 15 tweets 2 min read
OK. I feel the appointment of JRM as minister for Brexit opportunities deserves a thread. Overall - it is good news, with loads of caveats. Only start yelling at me, please, once you've read the whole thread (thread)
1) Brexit opportunities are THE big thing that is, to some extent, poisoning the debate and has been ever since the referendum campaign.
2) With Brexit, the UK is no longer bound by EU law. It can regulate differently from the EU. Now this can be good where it targets UK specifics better and/or the regulation is superior. It can be bad where the regulation is worse, the divergence as such also comes at a cost.
If our system would work as it is supposed to this would all be part of the normal regulatory process. We think we need to regulate say privacy, we look at what people want, what‘s good for the economy - including an assessment of costs of divergence from EU law.
In reality that‘s a complex process. There are contradictory goals, people disagree - compromises will have to be found.
The work would be done in the department in charge of the area, with coordination with others where needed - a complex process.
But 3) This is not where we are. Brexit has deformed discourse. Rather than saying what would be a good regulation for X with an evaluation of divergence in it, the matter of “we diverge from the EU“ has gained enormous importance - as a value as such.
That makes little sense. There‘s no value as such in diverging. There‘s no value as such in thinking where can we diverge. It is a rather peculiar approach to regulation. BUT
It is where we are. We have had repeated discussions of profiting from Brexit with divergence as the main theme - not of appropriate regulation of say data transfer. But „how can we profit from Brexit“.
This will have to end and we have to get back to normal regulatory processes. Where divergence may come up. But it may not. Where the main goal is to find a good solution. Not to be different. Where we do not have to tout benefits, but assess calmly whether a regulation is good.
All previous processes failed. There‘s the obvious high-level thinking problem: It‘s easy to say our regulation will provide the freest system for transfer of data while also guaranteeing the highest level of protection of privacy. It‘s more difficult to do it.
But the processes also failed because the people were not at the right level. A second-tier attempt to find benefits. Failed. So start over again. We need a conclusion to this debate. And only a high-profile person can bring that conclusion.
Now I am convinced that a lot of ideas for divergence do not have majorities. A lot of other ideas simplify what are complex problems. Some ideas will fly. But quite frankly the main point is: we need to return to good regulatory practices…
And those don‘t start with the idea of differing from the US or the EU or Singapore. They might include differences in a thorough assessment. But that‘s different.
You have reached the end of the thread. Feel free to disagree with me profoundly...
... NOW.

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More from @hhesterm

Feb 9
German trade stats for December 21 are out. Exports +0.9% compared to November 21, +15.6 compared to December 20. But as it's the December figures, let's do the whole year, shall we? (thread)
German exports +14%, imports +17.1% in 2021. /2
German exports to the EU: +17.6
German exports to other countries: +10
German exports to the UK: -2.6 /3
Read 11 tweets
Feb 6
And the abuse of statistics continues. This report discredits itself even before its release by publishing a 500 bn windfall that is based on what? (short thread) dailymail.co.uk/news/article-1…
Sophisticated modelling? Daring plans?
No. Calculating what UK exports would be if exports/person in the UK would match Germany's. Image
It's difficult to express where to start with how silly this is. Of course, Germany's access to the internal market stands out - but even if this report were a rejoin advocacy report the comparison would be silly.
Read 4 tweets
Feb 6
Quick resource tweet: 1) House of Commons library research briefings: commonslibrary.parliament.uk/research/all-r…
2) German parliament research briefings bundestag.de/analysen (also h/t @schnoogsl newscrawler.eu/others/index_w…)
3) European parliament research by policy area europarl.europa.eu/thinktank/en/r…
Read 5 tweets
Feb 5
What astonishes me is that those who felt the need to leave the EU because it was not pragmatic enough have abandoned all pragmatism in favour of 100% ideology. /1
Rejecting all simplifications because they require some form of regulatory alignment - even in areas where it is unlikely the population actually wants to change the rules. /2
And so we will have beef hormone debates, chlorine chicken debates, workers‘ rights debates, environmental standards debate, animal rights debates etc etc etc /3
Read 5 tweets
Feb 5
Might I suggest one of the problems is the incoherence of public attitudes (probably similar in most countries) (short thread)
The attitude towards "immigration" seems to be worse than the attitude towards "allowing schoolkids to come" "allowing Romanian fruit-pickers to work" "allowing foreign butchers to work" "allowing truck drivers from abroad to work" /2
The problem thus is an image problem. The imaginary average immigrant is quite different from the real average immigrant.
Read 4 tweets
Feb 3
As it‘s getting a bit convoluted: the Protocol as the approach of the two parties to find a special solution for NI provides for two provisions that people are currently referring to quite a bit (short thread)
First of all Art. 16. Art. 16 provides for safeguards under certain conditions, requiring a specific procedure (Annex 7). Art. 16 has not been invoked here (and of course the procedures for invocation have not been followed). Also: Mr. Poots would not be the right person to do so
The WA is a treaty between the UK and the EU, the invocation of Art. 16 is a matter for the UK.
Read 5 tweets

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