Trend Analysis using moving averages !
A mega thread to understand the Use of 21 , 50 and 200 ema.
4 Effective uses of Exponential Moving Averages !
Which can Help you avoid Big Losses
1. Identifying the direction of trend 2. MA crossover 3. Dynamic Support and Resistance 4. Price Crossing above Key EMAs
Note : In chart 21 ema is red , 50 ema is green and 200 ema is black
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Why EMA and not SMA ?
EMA is fast , accurate and prices in recent data !
We are using EMAs on Daily time Frame
Red: 21 , Green : 50 and Black :200 3/n
Use 1 : Identifying the trend of stock on dtf
The 21 ema will tell us the Short term trend of a stock , while the 200 ema will tell us the long term trend of a stocks
Any EMA that is sloping
:upwards trend is BULLISH
:sideways trend is NEUTRAL
:downwards trend is BEARISH 4/n
MOVING AVERAGES SIDEWAYS:
When Moving averages turn flat means the stock is in consolidation and is in sideways zone .
Generally this occurs after an uptrend or downtrend and may lead to continuation of previous trend .
This is generally no trading zone for swing traders 5/n
EMA CROSSOVER 1. Whenever the 21 ema crosses 50 ema from down to up short term trend changes from bearish to bullish and vice versa. 2. The 21 Should be above 50 ema for uptrend and below 50 ema for downtrend
Ex: 7/n
Crossover rules:
Crossover shouldnt be traded solely as it can lead to multiple signals of buy and sell ,always use confirmation of volume , price etc to take trade .
During consolidation you will get many signals and hence its not advised to use during sideways trend
8/n
50 and 200 ema crossovers
50 cutting 200 from down : Golden Cross
50 cuttinf 200 from up : Death Cross
The Long term trend changes when DEATH CROSS happens and its one of the most dangerous situations
Price falls raidly after the Death Cross. Example in current market .
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DYNAMIC SUPPORT AND RESISTANCE 1. 21 ema Dynamic support for trending stocks in short term 2. 50 ema dynamic support for mid term 3. 200 ema dynamic support for long term
Examples Explained ! 10/n
PRICE CROSSING AVOVE 200 EMA
200 EMA : THE LONG TERM TREND 1. When a stock price crosses its 200-day moving average, it is a technical signal that a reversal has occurred. 11/n
3. A simple rule of not buying stocks below 200 ema for short term trading could save a lot of money 4. One may consider investing in stocks if the stock is below 200 ema only if he is confirmed about the fundamentals of the stock 5. Some may not agree with this and its ok!
12/n
The 200 ema helps to identify where the market breath is
During the corona crash if the simple system was used you would have saved 35% drawdown in your account
Using 200 ema beats the buy and hold strategy which over the years haven been proved in book
200 ema THE SAVIOUR : 13/n
LONG TERM INVESTING WITH 200 EMA
MULTIBAGGER: #infy#britannia
Most multibagger stocks will stay above weekly 200 ema and take support on that
These are strong fundamental stocks which will outperform the market
Laggards will stay below 200 ema and hence should be avoided
13 END
Understanding STAGE ANALYSIS
I read one of the greatest Trading Books so that You dont have to !🧵
Secrets of Profiting in Bull and Bear Markets
by Stan Weinstien
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Comment Yes for another Book Summary :)
Stan Weinstein's Stage Analysis offers traders a powerful methodology to identify trends in the markets while following strict risk management principles.
Stage Analysis is used to identify the longer-term trend of a stock or index. There are 4 different stages
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✅The Basing Area,
✅Advancing Phase
✅The Top Area
✅Declining Phase
What are the Different ways of plotting Stop Loss ?
An Eye Opening Thread on
Why Stoploss ?
5 Different Methods Based on Stock Trend
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WHAT IS STOP LOSS ?
Name Itself suggests STOP the LOSS
Stop-losses prevent large and uncontrollable
losses in volatile trades.
It is to limit the losses so that we are alive to
take the trade on next day
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If you’re not using stop-losses, it’s only a matter
of time when a large losing position will get out of
control and wipe out most of your trading profits,
eventually even your entire account!
Stop-losses also play a major role in risk
management
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A Thread on
Stock Selection
Relative Strength and Moving Average Use
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What is momentum trading ?
Momentum investing is a trading strategy in which Traders buy stocks at high price and sell even at higher price .
The goal is buying opportunities in short-term uptrends and then sell when the Stock starts to lose momentum.
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Skilles Required:
Skilled traders understand when to enter into a position, how long to hold it for, and when to exit; they can also react to short-term, news-driven spikes or selloffs.
Risks of momentum trading include moving into a position too early, closing out too late
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Covering :
📌Options Greeks
📌Types of Options
📌Options Pricing
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PE : Put Option
Buying when View is Bearish
Selling when View is Bullish/Sideways
CE : Call Option
Buying when View is Bullish
Selling when View is Bearish/Sideways
Time is Friend while selling Options
Momentum in right direction is Friend while buying Options
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Options Greeks Simplified
A. DELTA 1. Delta measures how much an option's price can be expected to move for every 1 Rs change in the price of the underlying security or index .
If Delta Is 0.5 then if Stock Moves 1 Rs Option Will move 0.5 Rs Nearer the Option More the delta
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1. Avoid Stocks Below 200 ema 2. Sell Stocks in Stage 4 Down Trend 3. Dont Trade Stocks that are moving in Circuits 4. Avoid News based Trading
A thread With examples🔖
Retweet to Educate Your Trading Friends !
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A Study Shows that 90% of the winning Stocks stay above 200 ema before a big Advancing Phase
1. Simply Not Holding or Buying Stocks below 200 ema Saves a lot of time and Money. 2. You can looses opportunity Cost if you buy stocks below 200 ema. 3. TimeFrame: Daily 200 ema
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B. Sell Stocks in Stage 4 Down Trend
1. Stocks Exhibiting this are in complete Bear Grip 2. The 30 week ema acts as reference for stage analysis 3. These Stocks can be short sold on pullback to 30wema 4. Happens after Topping Phase 5. TimeFrame : Weekly , 30 Week Ema