Thread by @PalmerReport

Now that Rudy Giuliani is fully cooperating with the 1/6 committee, we’ll hear the usual talk about whether he can be “trusted” to do the right thing. But that’s irrelevant. Giuliani CAN be trusted to do the selfish thing, which is what this comes down to.
palmerreport.com/analysis/what-…

When you look at the recent court ruling in the DOJ’s ongoing criminal case against Giuliani, it’s clear he’s going to prison for taking dirty foreign money, whether or not he goes down for 1/6 and election crimes.

The question is whether Rudy understands he’s going to prison.

If Rudy understands that that he’s already a lock for federal prison, then yes, he can be trusted to do the selfish thing of saving himself by selling Trump out to the 1/6 committee and the DOJ. It’s not about him doing the right or wrong thing. He’ll do the selfish thing.

If Rudy delusionally still thinks he can beat the rap on the coming DOJ charges, then he might be playing games with the 1/6 committee. But as we saw with Meadows previously, Giuliani would need to have ALREADY given the committee crucial evidence just to get this far with them.

So the WORST case scenario for us is that Rudy flakes from here, the committee dunks him for contempt (and maybe perjury), the committee still gets to move forward with the evidence that Rudy has already provided, and the DOJ indicts Rudy for everything under the sun.

The only question here is whether this is a minor victory, or a massive victory, for the 1/6 committee.

There’s no scenario where the committee loses.

There’s no scenario where Rudy outsmarts the committee and then just magically “gets away with it all.”

Can’t wait to hear how the doomsday pundits will try to convince us that a completely witness and mostly senile Rudy Giuliani is somehow going to outsmart the good guys. This kind of doomsday fan fiction is always worth a chuckle. Those pundits are literally never proven correct.

Back in the real world, the real unknown is whether Giuliani is cooperating with the 1/6 committee because he plans to cut a deal with the DOJ, or because he’s already cut a deal with the DOJ.

Even Rudy has to know that by testifying to the 1/6 committee, he’ll incriminate himself so badly that he’ll have no choice but to cut a cooperating deal with the DOJ. And that’s the thing to keep an eye on as Rudy’s cooperation moves forward.

If Rudy has already cut a DOJ deal, his testimony will be helpful but guarded in specific ways. And the committee will be fine with him omitting certain names etc, because it’ll know he’s protecting sensitive DOJ investigations.

If Rudy goes whole hog and gives every last detail to the committee, it’ll suggest that he hasn’t yet cut a DOJ deal, so there’s no one asking him to keep certain sensitive things quiet.

In any case, today is a good day for the good guys. And it’s the second day in a row that an insider has decided to sell Trump out to investigators. Mazars yesterday, Rudy today. These things tend to snowball, as there are only so many “lenient” cooperation deals to go around.