Palmer Report Profile picture
Feb 16 15 tweets 3 min read
It doesn’t matter what Rudy Giuliani says he’s going to do, or whether he can be “trusted.” If Rudy now understands he’s going to prison, he’ll give up Trump. If Rudy still delusionally thinks he’ll get away with it all, he won’t give up Trump. Simple as that, no other factors.
"But Rudy went on TV and said..."

Irrelevant.

"But Rudy will never [blank] no matter what..."

Not how anything works.
"But Rudy is just playing games!"

Sure, if he still delusionally thinks playing games will magically keep him out of prison.

If Rudy now understands he's going to prison, he knows full well that he has to flip, and that if he plays games it won't work out for him.
The average 5th grader understands how this stuff works, but the average political activist does not. That's because they spend every day listening to political pundits spewing pulse pounding gibberish that has no connection to reality.
Because the media has given virtually zero coverage to the very public fact that the courts recently gave the DOJ most of the communications they tried to sieze during the long-ago Rudy raid, most of you don't even know he's on the verge of indictment.
Yes, the raid of Rudy's home has taken this long to finally result in the DOJ being allowed to have the evidence, and no, the DOJ was not at fault for the delay (blame the courts). It's how things work.
When you hear pundits insisting the DOJ is doing "nothing" about Giuliani because it hasn't even indicted him yet in the original dirty foreign money case, the pundits are omitting the fact that the DOJ just now received the seized evidence from the court appointed special master
Rudy is likely a long way away from being indicted for 1/6 and election fraud. But he's likely near indictment for the original dirty foreign money case, which by itself is enough to put him in prison for his life. If Rudy is mentally competent, he understands this.
But as we've seen time and again, Rudy is only partly mentally competent at best. He used to strategically make up fake scandals. Now he believes his own fake scandals are true. He's in bad, bad cognitive shape.
Yet the pundits still want us to believe that a mostly senile Rudy is carrying out some secret evil genius plan to play both sides that's going to allow him to magically get away with it all.

This kind of pundit analysis is every bit as senile as Rudy is.
But since most pundits spend every day repeating that everyone in Trump world is carrying out an unspecified secret evil genius plan to magically get away with it all... if you listen to that laugh out loud gibberish long enough and you just start to believe it must be true.
Then these same pundits then brainwash you into believing that you're only being "vigilant" if you sit there every day staring at their doomsday prophecies. Anyone who dares to factually explain how Trump world is falling apart, gets branded as "not vigilant."
When Meadows cooperated and then stopped, every pundit said Meadows had won and the committee had lost.

But in reality, Meadows destroyed himself (and damaged Trump). He turned over key Trump wold evidence to get the ball rolling, and he'll be indicted anyway.
So even if Rudy is trying to "play" the committee, it'll be the same result. He must have given up key evidence to get the committee to even say he's cooperating. Now the committee has that evidence. And if Rudy breaks it off, he goes down for contempt and everything else.
But most pundits have figured out that the easiest way to get retweets and MSNBC/CNN bookings is to insist the 1.6 committee is losing and Trump world will get away with it all, so that's what they spew every single day – even though in most instances it's obviously fiction.

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More from @PalmerReport

Feb 17
Trump’s lawyers are complaining in court today that New York is using its civil probe of the Trump Organization to nail down its related criminal case against Trump and put him in prison. New York prosecutors aren’t denying the strategy, they’re just explaining why it’s legal.
Yet with some notable exceptions, the media and pundits are still mostly covering the civil probe as if it exists in a vacuum and Trump is only facing financial penalties. Why? Once the media admits Trump is on a clear path to prison, it can’t milk “Trump 2024” for ratings.
“Trump 2024” was never going to be a narrative in 2024. But the media really wants to spend the next year chasing ratings by pretending Trump 2024 is going to be a thing. Hard to get people to stay tuned in for that narrative though if they figure out Trump will be in prison.
Read 4 tweets
Feb 16
Even if Rudy Giuliani is just using the threat of cooperation with the 1/6 committee to get Trump to pay his legal bills, it's still a minor victory for the committee, bad news for Trump, and probably self defeating for Rudy.
Just to get the committee to say that Rudy is cooperating, he must have had to give them key evidence against Trump already. So now they get to use that evidence, whether Rudy flakes from here or not.
This would help the committee, and damage Trump, for obvious reasons.

It would also ensure Rudy is fairly quickly indicted for contempt, which would only make his legal bills even worse.
Read 5 tweets
Feb 15
Now that Rudy Giuliani is fully cooperating with the 1/6 committee, we’ll hear the usual talk about whether he can be “trusted” to do the right thing. But that’s irrelevant. Giuliani CAN be trusted to do the selfish thing, which is what this comes down to.
palmerreport.com/analysis/what-…
When you look at the recent court ruling in the DOJ’s ongoing criminal case against Giuliani, it’s clear he’s going to prison for taking dirty foreign money, whether or not he goes down for 1/6 and election crimes.

The question is whether Rudy understands he’s going to prison.
If Rudy understands that that he’s already a lock for federal prison, then yes, he can be trusted to do the selfish thing of saving himself by selling Trump out to the 1/6 committee and the DOJ. It’s not about him doing the right or wrong thing. He’ll do the selfish thing.
Read 12 tweets
Feb 15
Donald Trump’s longtime accounting firm says his last decade of financial statements can’t be relied upon, drops Trump Org as a client. This gives banks a perfect excuse to call in Trump’s loans, take his assets before New York state does. It’s all coming crashing down now.
Notable: Mazars sent this letter to Trump a fees days ago, and the New York AG already has it. Suggests Mazars cc’d it to her, which in turn suggests Mazars is already fully cooperating with the NY probe into Trump.
Also notable: the New York AG almost immediately filed this letter with the courts, making it public right away instead of strategically waiting for anything. It ensures Trump’s lenders and creditors know about it.
Read 4 tweets
Feb 13
Seeing a lot of the usual talk about whether Rudy Giuliani will “grow a conscience” by testifying to the 1/6 committee and whether this will make him “good” or “bad” and whether he can be “trusted.” But this is gibberish. It’s about Rudy selfishly saving himself, nothing more.
The ONLY factor here is whether Rudy has concluded he has to sell out Trump world in order to stay out of prison. If yes, then he can be trusted to selfishly give up crucial evidence and truthful testimony. Not because he’s now “good” but because he’s as selfish as ever.
On the other hand, if Rudy still thinks he can skate without having to give up Trump, then he’ll try to bullshit the committee.
Read 7 tweets
Feb 13
If the 1/6 committee has to give immunity to a few mid-level Trump people in order to take Donald Trump down, then do it. Just coordinate with the DOJ so that it's done right.

The pundits yelling "bad idea!" are just trying to make themselves look smarter than the 1/6 committee.
These are the pundits who always bash the 1/6 committee for not being "aggressive" enough. Then when the committee considers an aggressive move, these same pundits always bash that idea. They automatically bash any move the committee does or doesn't make. It's just their brand.
If the committee gives immunity to Eastman, these pundits will say it should have been given to Clark instead.

If the committee gives immunity to Clark, these pundits will say it should have gone to Eastman instead.

It's an automatic rejection of the committee's every move.
Read 11 tweets

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