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Feb 18 • 4 tweets • 2 min read
The Gleiwitz Transmitter.

Reinhard Heydrich & Operation Himmler. 1939.

Ukraine.

Vladimir Putin. 2022.

No need for advanced calculus to do the math.

Especially when the near hysteria of Sergei Lavrov & Maria Zakharova, now exposed in a brutal information war, does it for you.
If you’re unfamiliar with the faked “Polish attack” on Germany’s Gleiwitz Transmitter, staged by the SS as part of Operation Himmler, on 31 August 1939, start here👇

en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gleiwitz_…
The Gleiwitz Transmitter “attack” all over again.

Another place. Another century.

Same lies. Same orders, same amorality & brutality from what might as well be the same leader - just a different name.
👇

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More from @AndrewPRLevi

Andrew Levi Profile picture
Feb 19
It’s been a relief to discover from @STWuk that the problem is the UK government “pouring oil on the fire”.

Otherwise I’d have thought the problem was the deployment of over half Russia’s entire land forces in invasion formation at Ukraine’s frontiers.

But that’s just me. /1. Image
.@ABaerbock said on Friday “This is not a Ukraine crisis. It’s a Russia crisis”.

But, thinking of your event the other day, @jeremycorbyn @ChrisNineham @HackneyAbbott & Andrew Murray @STWuk, I guess a German Green Foreign Minister is just another stooge … /2. Image
… warmongering on behalf of US aggressors, & making binary, anti-Russian judgements, faced with complex, multi-faceted conflict situations & identities.

Wait, I forgot: @STWuk doesn’t “endorse the nature or conduct of either the Russian or Ukrainian regimes”. /3. Image
Read 4 tweets
Andrew Levi Profile picture
Feb 18
A fundamental driver of what’s happening in Russia, & has been for decades now, is the dynamic which overtakes all klepto-oligarchic leaders.

The theft, brutality & distractions have to escalate.

Why? /1.
Because with every act of grand larceny, every brutal murder & massacre, you create more reasons for more people to take revenge.

So you need more (stolen) resources, to protect yourself.

It’s very, very expensive.

Unimaginably so, to any normal person. /2.
You need more brutality to suppress & snuff out potential vengeance.

More performative acts, to draw attention away from (or, from time to time, toward) what you’re doing.

Plus, of course, there’s the off-the-scale megalomania & untrammelled greed. /3.
Read 9 tweets
Andrew Levi Profile picture
Feb 17
@gebjon Excellent question. There comes a point in the constant escalation when you run out of resources you can more or less safely steal & distractions you can more or less credibly arrange. /1.
@gebjon You need new opportunities. New territory. Also, successful neighbours show you up & destabilise you domestically. So you have a strong incentive to destabilise & damage them. /2.
@gebjon The need for escalation, BTW, is there because with every act of grand larceny, every brutal murder, you create more reasons for more people to take revenge. (Plus there’s the megalomania & untrammelled greed). /3. End
Read 4 tweets
Andrew Levi Profile picture
Feb 17
Russia, Europe & global security

I’ve asked around, so you don’t have to. Or worry about the steaming piles of ordure presented as insight by much of the British press.

Private & uncensored, from EU sources with long experience of the highest levels of government.

A 🧵/1.
Russia is run by small gang of people. And they own it. Literally. They’re not a government in any sense we’d recognise. Not even one like Trump’s horrific farce. And certainly no legitimate one. But they have nuclear weapons & a permanent seat on the UN Security Council. /2.
They don’t function - or think - anything like we’re used to. They have to survive. Physically. As individuals. As a narrow clique. That’s their absolute, overriding need. To survive they need massive wealth & they have to escalate. That’s what’s been happening for 20 years. /3.
Read 16 tweets
Andrew Levi Profile picture
Feb 16
@RatatoskrUK @ParisDaguerre Norway, for example. It’s doing well. You know the difference (apart from huge gas reserves). It’s in the single market. If it had treaty commitments similar to those the UK has in respect of Ireland, it’d additionally need to be in the customs union. Similarly, Switzerland. /1.
@RatatoskrUK @ParisDaguerre Alternatively, they could trash themselves & help destabilise the continent of which they’re a part.

Or Serbia, as another example. Aren’t they just doing great?

Or Angola. Terrific. /2.
@RatatoskrUK @ParisDaguerre But, of course, what you (probably) really mean is highly prosperous countries which aren’t in Europe & aren’t (& couldn’t be) members of the EU. Say, Canada, Japan, Australia. /3.
Read 12 tweets
Andrew Levi Profile picture
Feb 15
This from @mfa_russia @MID_RF spokesperson Zakharova (via @maxseddon) is glorious in its KGB-ness, its transparent fury & dishonesty, its dangerously malignant vengefulness.

In short, its perfect representation of Her Master’s Voice.

As always with Putin, look deeper.

A🧵/1.
Putin’s position is fundamentally unstable & has been, with some ups & downs, for his whole time in office.

His repeated doubling down on kleptocracy & repression are his (logical, horrific) response to that.

Maria Zakharova is his international propagandist-in-chief. /2.
Each klepto-repressive cycle raises the stakes & requires greater theft & brutality the next time.

We’re now at the stage where the future of a whole country hangs in the balance. Not “just” its partial dismemberment & invasion.

And with it, the future of a whole continent. /3.
Read 4 tweets

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