Andrew Levi Profile picture
Feb 15 4 tweets 3 min read
This from @mfa_russia @MID_RF spokesperson Zakharova (via @maxseddon) is glorious in its KGB-ness, its transparent fury & dishonesty, its dangerously malignant vengefulness.

In short, its perfect representation of Her Master’s Voice.

As always with Putin, look deeper.

A🧵/1.
Putin’s position is fundamentally unstable & has been, with some ups & downs, for his whole time in office.

His repeated doubling down on kleptocracy & repression are his (logical, horrific) response to that.

Maria Zakharova is his international propagandist-in-chief. /2.
Each klepto-repressive cycle raises the stakes & requires greater theft & brutality the next time.

We’re now at the stage where the future of a whole country hangs in the balance. Not “just” its partial dismemberment & invasion.

And with it, the future of a whole continent. /3.
Putin can’t possibly afford to back down. He’s facing the prospect of being forced to. That spells extreme danger.

With decades of experience & insight at the highest levels, Ernst-Jörg von Studnitz understands the parts other commentators usually cannot reach.

Read on👇/4. End

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More from @AndrewPRLevi

Feb 16
@RatatoskrUK @ParisDaguerre Norway, for example. It’s doing well. You know the difference (apart from huge gas reserves). It’s in the single market. If it had treaty commitments similar to those the UK has in respect of Ireland, it’d additionally need to be in the customs union. Similarly, Switzerland. /1.
@RatatoskrUK @ParisDaguerre Alternatively, they could trash themselves & help destabilise the continent of which they’re a part.

Or Serbia, as another example. Aren’t they just doing great?

Or Angola. Terrific. /2.
@RatatoskrUK @ParisDaguerre But, of course, what you (probably) really mean is highly prosperous countries which aren’t in Europe & aren’t (& couldn’t be) members of the EU. Say, Canada, Japan, Australia. /3.
Read 12 tweets
Feb 15
On 9 February @faznet published a letter from Dr Ernst-Jörg von Studnitz, former German ambassador in Moscow, former Chair of the German-Russian Forum, about protecting Ukraine’s security.

I recommend it to all, & have prepared an English translation, reproduced in this 🧵/1.
The Importance of Protecting Ukraine

Widespread concern about a possible Russian invasion of Ukraine raises the question of whether repeated Russian assurances that a military incursion is not intended should in fact be accepted. /2.
Russian military calculations regarding an intervention in Ukraine may well be going in a different direction.

There are historical examples which can be a guide to such military action. /3.
Read 17 tweets
Feb 9
This from @SecBlinken & @StateDept is the fundamental, strategic truth about Europe, the US & the world.

Power.

The truth Putin & Xi hate.

The truth their Brexiter helpers don’t understand (useful idiots), or do but pretend otherwise (cynical manipulators).

A short 🧵/1.
Here’s how it looks, in a single tweet, @Worldinatweet 👇 /2.
And here it is, fleshed out in 5 tweets (plus a P.S.)👇 /3.
Read 4 tweets
Feb 4
There’s a three-way tension at the heart of any No. 10 operation, between:

(a) good, strategic governance;

(b) day-to-day, urgent govt needs;

(c) electoral cycle/ shorter-term political imperatives.

A good PM masters it.

A terrible one means …

… huge trouble.

A 🧵/1.
Johnson or no Johnson, the three-way tug-of-war, which affects the whole of government, but is by far most acute in No. 10, militates against effective leadership in the interests of the whole country, while at the same time being fundamental to it in a democracy. /2.
Without sound, strategic governance, chronic - or even acute, catastrophic - failure of the entire country is inevitable.

Day-to-day urgent requirements are both distraction & necessity. Even with the best long-term governance, many & varied crises occur & must be managed. /3.
Read 36 tweets
Jan 29
Oh dear.

@DavidGHFrost has been writing in @TheSun.

Not a pretty sight. But an interesting one.

It’s part of his leadership ambition. And he starkly reveals (yet again) the malignant emptiness of his Brexit.

I’ve gone through it line by line.

A 🧵/1.

thesun.co.uk/news/17465939/…
“Brexit was about change. It was about putting an end to those old ways of doing things which had failed to deliver for so many in this country”.

OK David. So far, so vacuous. /2.
“We need to get back on that track. We need to get back in line with what our voters want”.

Hmmm. More vacuum. Where’s the beef? /3.
Read 24 tweets
Jan 28
“No one warned me I was prime minister”

A Twitter masterclass in Churchillian national & global leadership.

By Alexander “Boris” The Great Malevolent Fraud. 1/n Image
No one warned me breaking the law was illegal.

2/n Image
No one warned me an illegal gathering in the garden was an illegal gathering in the garden. But I was only illegal for 25 minutes. So in a limited & specific way. Which, as Churchill wrote in the Magna Carta of the UK, is every PM’s right according to [fake Latin reference].

3/n Image
Read 19 tweets

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