This is standard fare for Russian strategic signaling. It’s part & parcel of Reflexive Control doctrine. Planned set of inputs, nuclear exercises, alerts, civil defense drill to force U.S. leaders to primal decision-making… i.e. self-deterrence. Scary… it almost always works!
https://twitter.com/konrad_muzyka/status/1494698641583452163
In this case, there is no runway for further self deterrence. The U.S. has already clearly expressed no appetite and zero willingness for risk for a bilateral confrontation with Russia and a readiness to defend NATO art. V.
That’s why @POTUS said both “no boots in Ukraine” and also positioned U.S. forces to secure NATO.
Putin is not a madman, he’s just an experienced and skilled bully. Russia has zero interest in a bilateral conflict. No one wins a nuclear war and Putin looses a conventional confrontation against NATO. He is bluffing and the U.S. must not be rattled by his nuclear posturing.
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