Andrew Levi Profile picture
Feb 21 7 tweets 3 min read
The crisis facing Europe makes an incapable, unfit PM, reviled by key international allies, an even more unacceptable threat than it already was, to the security, prosperity & well-being of GB & NI.

Code red.

Time for action, @Keir_Starmer & true political leaders.

A🧵/1.
The largest group of Westminster MPs which still supports constitutional, liberal democracy, is led by @Keir_Starmer.

He should now become PM, backed by the majority of MPs across the Commons who also do so.

Including a third of Conservative MPs.

And all opposition MPs. /2.
With the possible exception of the DUP parliamentary group. Up to them to decide whose side they’re on.

The time for party politics is over. For some years.

Our survival’s at stake. /3.
Sitting in Edinburgh, I respectfully say to my MSP @AngusRobertson, @Ianblackford_MP & @theSNP more widely, the future of all GB & NI is fundamental to the future of Scotland.

I well understand the dismay of people in Scotland watching a descent into dark chaos in England. /4.
I also recognise the deeper roots of support for independence among many in Scotland.

Everyone in GB & NI needs unity of purpose & action by the democratic forces which remain in the majority at Westminster.

We can no longer assume that majority will automatically continue. /5.
Fight for & join a united, democratic coalition at Westminster.

For the whole of GB & NI.

Without pre-conditions on independence.

It matters not just to Scotland.

Not just to GB & NI.

But to our friends & neighbours in Europe & beyond. /6.
And @Keir_Starmer, @EdwardJDavey & other Westminster colleagues, don’t set pre-conditions yourselves.

The crisis on our continent, & the assault on GB & NI by the worst government in a least a century, creates an acutely dangerous, historic moment.

Rise to it.

Please. /7. End

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More from @AndrewPRLevi

Feb 22
In the aftermath of the Russian invasion of Georgia in 2008 there was great shock among Euro-Atlantic governments.

Our senior officials analysed how we’d been blindsided & what to do next.

Some of that was leaked.

What follows wasn’t.

Today, it’s a punch to the gut.

A 🧵/1.
Thinking of it now, after Putin’s horrendous performance on Monday, I feel only dismay.

The strategic assessment - in paraphrase- was as follows.

“The policy that emerges is not far short of a return to containment. /2.
“The hope we had in the early years of Putin that we could forge a real partnership is now definitely over. /3.
Read 12 tweets
Feb 19
It’s been a relief to discover from @STWuk that the problem is the UK government “pouring oil on the fire”.

Otherwise I’d have thought the problem was the deployment of over half Russia’s entire land forces in invasion formation at Ukraine’s frontiers.

But that’s just me. /1.
.@ABaerbock said on Friday “This is not a Ukraine crisis. It’s a Russia crisis”.

But, thinking of your event the other day, @jeremycorbyn @ChrisNineham @HackneyAbbott & Andrew Murray @STWuk, I guess a German Green Foreign Minister is just another stooge … /2.
… warmongering on behalf of US aggressors, & making binary, anti-Russian judgements, faced with complex, multi-faceted conflict situations & identities.

Wait, I forgot: @STWuk doesn’t “endorse the nature or conduct of either the Russian or Ukrainian regimes”. /3.
Read 4 tweets
Feb 18
A fundamental driver of what’s happening in Russia, & has been for decades now, is the dynamic which overtakes all klepto-oligarchic leaders.

The theft, brutality & distractions have to escalate.

Why? /1.
Because with every act of grand larceny, every brutal murder & massacre, you create more reasons for more people to take revenge.

So you need more (stolen) resources, to protect yourself.

It’s very, very expensive.

Unimaginably so, to any normal person. /2.
You need more brutality to suppress & snuff out potential vengeance.

More performative acts, to draw attention away from (or, from time to time, toward) what you’re doing.

Plus, of course, there’s the off-the-scale megalomania & untrammelled greed. /3.
Read 9 tweets
Feb 18
The Gleiwitz Transmitter.

Reinhard Heydrich & Operation Himmler. 1939.

Ukraine.

Vladimir Putin. 2022.

No need for advanced calculus to do the math.

Especially when the near hysteria of Sergei Lavrov & Maria Zakharova, now exposed in a brutal information war, does it for you.
If you’re unfamiliar with the faked “Polish attack” on Germany’s Gleiwitz Transmitter, staged by the SS as part of Operation Himmler, on 31 August 1939, start here👇

en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gleiwitz_…
The Gleiwitz Transmitter “attack” all over again.

Another place. Another century.

Same lies. Same orders, same amorality & brutality from what might as well be the same leader - just a different name.
Read 4 tweets
Feb 17
@gebjon Excellent question. There comes a point in the constant escalation when you run out of resources you can more or less safely steal & distractions you can more or less credibly arrange. /1.
@gebjon You need new opportunities. New territory. Also, successful neighbours show you up & destabilise you domestically. So you have a strong incentive to destabilise & damage them. /2.
@gebjon The need for escalation, BTW, is there because with every act of grand larceny, every brutal murder, you create more reasons for more people to take revenge. (Plus there’s the megalomania & untrammelled greed). /3. End
Read 4 tweets
Feb 17
Russia, Europe & global security

I’ve asked around, so you don’t have to. Or worry about the steaming piles of ordure presented as insight by much of the British press.

Private & uncensored, from EU sources with long experience of the highest levels of government.

A 🧵/1.
Russia is run by small gang of people. And they own it. Literally. They’re not a government in any sense we’d recognise. Not even one like Trump’s horrific farce. And certainly no legitimate one. But they have nuclear weapons & a permanent seat on the UN Security Council. /2.
They don’t function - or think - anything like we’re used to. They have to survive. Physically. As individuals. As a narrow clique. That’s their absolute, overriding need. To survive they need massive wealth & they have to escalate. That’s what’s been happening for 20 years. /3.
Read 16 tweets

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