Putin’s actions put the crisis past the point of a diplomatic resolution. Putin has eliminated the last realistic off-ramp for the crisis. He signed away the possibility of achieving his political aim, a veto over Ukraine’s geopolitical orientation, w/o a military offensive.
Only real bad diplomatic options remain. One of the major parties must now capitulate to avoid military hostilities.
The West would need to abstain from responding to todays major attack on the international system and conced to Russia a veto over European security…
The West would need to abstain from responding to todays major attack on the international system and conced to Russia a veto over European security…
Ukraine has no diplomatic path, with Russia, as the Minsk format is dead.
Russia would need to recognize Ukraine as a Sovereign state (Putin mocked the very idea) & return 190k troops to there bases, w/o achieving his main objectives, & while facing the risk of major sanctions.
Russia would need to recognize Ukraine as a Sovereign state (Putin mocked the very idea) & return 190k troops to there bases, w/o achieving his main objectives, & while facing the risk of major sanctions.
With the stroke of a pen, Putin has locked in a collision course. The question is whether this course locks in the New Cold War or takes us towards a hot war.
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