One of deepest conversation you may ever listen to, betw @trishankkarthik & S. Wolfram. Touches on computational irreducibility as determining free will, the structure of the universe... Covers w/o knowing: ship of Theseus, mind-body & rigid designators!

2) My problem w/ IQ
1 Can detect deficit =>shows fake corr in + domain [nonlinearity]
2 Specificity: needs to predict application (domain general). Goat faster than Ferrari in Corsican hills; no measure of speed exists w/o specific prediction.
3 Math
Stephen framed 2) with CI.
3) My own 3 ½ hours of conversation with Wolfram. We just scratched the surface.

4) Around 57:00 in the @trishankkarthik discussion he explains how computational irreducibility can only be dealt with with via negativa.
This indeed is the deepest conversation I've listened to in recent years.
And, Trishank, Zone 2 it was indeed. Image

• • •

Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to force a refresh
 

Keep Current with Nassim Nicholas Taleb

Nassim Nicholas Taleb Profile picture

Stay in touch and get notified when new unrolls are available from this author!

Read all threads

This Thread may be Removed Anytime!

PDF

Twitter may remove this content at anytime! Save it as PDF for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video
  1. Follow @ThreadReaderApp to mention us!

  2. From a Twitter thread mention us with a keyword "unroll"
@threadreaderapp unroll

Practice here first or read more on our help page!

More from @nntaleb

Feb 7
Nonlinearities are hard to grasp. Check the correlation video: when association is piecewise data pseudoscientists get confused.
PS: the same applies to IQ.
3) In other words, Just as IQ measures unintelligence not intelligence, Vit D is only informative in the presence of deficiency, etc. Image
Read 4 tweets
Jan 11
Statists (state worshippers) & libertarians are utopians in the same pathological way, sharing a fortune-cookie representation of the world, life, history & the future; w/identical blindness to details & mechanisms. The same applies to academic IYIs, wokes & cryptoutopianists.
2) As they say, science is hard, more difficult from the inside than it is from the outside. The same with probability, decisions, and business. And, of course, the same with governance & public matters.
The problem is abstraction.
3) To see how ill defined "freedom" is by naive libertarians:
Should I be free to drive counterflow ("wrong way") a yuuuge twelve-wheeler truck at its maximum speed on my highway of choice and is it government "coersion" and "power grab" that is preventing us from doing it ?
Read 9 tweets
Jan 10
The big secret is that practically ALL competitive sports are unhealthy.
That, in addition to the fact that anything competitive damages your soul.
2) This is the classical problem of naive optimization. You optimize on one dimension, causing hidden side effects in other dimensions.
3) For those slow are getting it, here is the strongest man (of his day), a Soviet Olympic weightlifter. You optimize in one dimension (weights lifted), you lose on another.

And yes, athletes have a lower life expectancy than healthy people who work out moderately.

Generalize.
Read 8 tweets
Jan 3
Many are still unaware that many blonde women from Texas with names like Carol or Joanna fighting vaccines on Twitter are in reality some fellow called Boris, who, from a drab Soviet era building, runs dozens of such accounts using fake I.P. addresses in North Macedonia.
Disinformation doesn't work with big lies (high noise discredits the source).
Experts manipulate groups then spread memes, like the "cold winter" in 80s (from an illusory "paper" by the KGB who owned German anti-nuclear groups & played media scientist Karl Sagan like a violin).
3) Notes
a- Error: I meant "nuclear winter", not cold winter.
b- And, no North Macedonia has nothing to do with the Soviet Union; it's where the floating IPs are located (as well as, for some reason in Kossovo).
c- Trolls appear to have reading comprehension.(Low-skilled job.)
Read 4 tweets
Dec 6, 2021
VACCINE RISK
Even if vaccines have not been around for long, the sample for the Covid vaccines is so yuuuuge that we can already see what risks they don't have & proceed by elimination.
This is not a precise estimation but the framework to work with.
Incidentally, for the distribution of the minima, there is little difference between n= 1 billion and n= 5 billion!
Read 7 tweets
Dec 4, 2021
A single graph explains the effect of vaccines on mortality. The rest is statistical trickery.

[Unless past infected off by >1 order of magnitude.]

"Dan from Prague" @maircomm arguing w/Jordan Peterson who has the scientific rigor of a drunk astrologist.
2) This does not count the infections that were *avoided* by vaccines (conservatively estimated > 50%).

PS- I blocked Peterson 2 y ago when he invited me to do a podcast & didn't know much abt him. Went to his feed, listened to a podcast, was horrified, and blocked.
Fine print: (Clearly there is a possibility that the virus became suddenly 10x less deadly or that the old miraculously ceased to be infected in favor of the young or that the agencies are paid by Pharma to lie and other ad hoc arguments)
Read 6 tweets

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!


This site is made by just two indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3/month or $30/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Don't want to be a Premium member but still want to support us?

Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal

Or Donate anonymously using crypto!

Ethereum

0xfe58350B80634f60Fa6Dc149a72b4DFbc17D341E copy

Bitcoin

3ATGMxNzCUFzxpMCHL5sWSt4DVtS8UqXpi copy

Thank you for your support!

Follow Us on Twitter!

:(