Faisal Islam Profile picture
Feb 26 9 tweets 6 min read
Former UK Nat Security Adviser Sir Mark Lyall Grant told me after @BBCNewsnight he thought cultural sanctions would be highly effective in communicating directly to Russian people their isolation caused by Putin invasion.

Especially throwing Russia out of World Cup qualification
Glad to see our guest from last night the Ukrainian MP @kiraincongress is safe this morning after having to cut short @bbcNewsnight interview due to air raid sirens and Russian attacks on Kiev - she showed us the Kalashnikov she has received to defend Ukraine
And Latvian deputy PM and defence min @Pabriks

“No matter how hard sanctions..will not stop Russians marching on Kyiv or Mariupol. But we can send Stingers, Javelins, vests. our moral duty.don't need only to watch the screens and see how these people are dying defending Europe”
On #bbcnewsnight @pabriks, Latvian Defence minister

“If Europe will just watch like we're doing now, we will not engage fully in supporting the Ukrainians. If Ukraine falls, believe me, the strategic situation of Europe and transatlantic alliance will be totally differently..”
@Pabriks “because when we in Baltics & Poland, warned Western leaders about Georgia in 2008 we were right. In 2014 we warned about Ukraine & Crimea. We were right. When we warned Belarus would be invaded & swallows by Russia we were right. Please believe us today, & act now."
Former Swedish PM @carlbildt tells me that by far the biggest sanctions are the US dollar sanctions on Russias biggest bank Sberbank and that will be “more damaging” than kicking Russia out of Swift… @BBCNewsnight
judgements from Sir Mark and @carlbildt about what Putin trying to achieve - agree he wants a “puppet Govt” in Kyiv, but Sir Mark thinks he may be trying to split country in two but even 200k troops can’t occupy 44m strong country. Bildt thinks VVP might want whole Ukr
Lastly very interesting reflection from @carlbildt when I suggest the west missed multiple opportunities to stop Putin… he says Putin “changed” post 2012 Medvedev interlude… and became obsessed with history and being “on a delusional journey to recreate an imperial past”
And this is our opening montage from last night… @BBCNewsnight

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More from @faisalislam

Feb 26
NEW: US, UK, EU, France, Germany, Italy,, Canada commit

- to ensuring selected Russian banks removed from SWIFT system.

- imposing restrictive measures preventing Russian Central Bank from deploying its international reserves to undermine sanctions bbc.co.uk/news/world-605…
“we commit to taking measures to limit the sale of citizenship—so called golden passports—that let wealthy Russians connected to the Russian government become citizens of our countries and gain access to our financial systems”…
We “committed to employing sanctions and other financial and enforcement measures on additional Russian officials and elites close to the Russian government, as well as their families, and their enablers to identify and freeze the assets they hold in our jurisdictions…”
Read 10 tweets
Feb 24
Brent crude oil goes over $100 a barrel for first time since 2014 as Russia attacks Ukraine
Pride of Manchester winner @jezmyers just sent me this pic as families try to escape out of one of the main motorways from Kyiv, where he went to try to help his partner & family with visas…
Ukraine has closed its airspace to civilian planes and EASA has sent out a warning “there is a risk of both intentional targeting and misidentification of civil aircraft” - so limited normal routes out - HT @Theothebald
Read 32 tweets
Feb 22
NEW Bill Browder, former biggest investor in Russia and force behind Magnitsky Acts tells BBC that the UK sanctions are “pretty tepid”
Culture Secretary will talk to UEFA about canning Gazprom Arena St Petersburg as venue for Champions League Final…

Games tonight, including at Stamford Bridge, on “the road to St Petersburg”, in the competition sponsored by Gazprom…
More from my interview with @BillBrowder on #BBCNewsSix

“I'm disappointed. The sanctions will absolutely no way change Putin's calculus about whether to go violently further into Ukraine…” UK should sanction 50 top oligarchs, he says
Read 5 tweets
Feb 22
NEW:
Chancellor @OlafScholz speaking in Berlin with Taoiseach announces certification or given and “Nordstream 2 pipeline cannot go online” after the situation changed with Putin’s “incomprehensible” move last night, and EU-US consultations … via @dwnews
Significant move - not least because his predecessor in the Chancellery and party colleague Gerhard Schroeder is chairman of the board of Nordstream…

Interesting to see if Schroeder feels pressure to resign…
This is a very significant potential hit for a country and an economy so dependent on Russian gas, and ups the ante as to what UK should do with its source of potential sanctions leverage - Russian assets in the City
Read 6 tweets
Feb 21
Kremlin statement that President Putin intends to recognise independence of the two separatist controlled areas of Ukraine, after that incredible televised security council meeting, and has informed President Macron and Chancellor Scholz
Follow here:
bbc.co.uk/news/live/worl…
Read 12 tweets
Feb 9
Just researching an mathematical game theory-political thesis…

That the House of Commons rules create [errr, “inadvertently”] an incentive to lie…

Digging around Erskine May, which is now published, there’s some eye openers on there in the rules…

erskinemay.parliament.uk/section/4874/l…
“Expressions when used in respect of other Members which are regarded with particular seriousness, generally leading to prompt intervention from the Chair and often a requirement on the Member to withdraw the words, include ..charges of uttering a deliberate falsehood.”…
Actually in the rules - the Speaker may have a bit more power to intervene… “generally” if he really wanted to…

In past MPs asked to rephrase allegation of regular misuse of statistics at the dispatch box, but an allegation of ‘spectacular insincerity’ was tolerated…
Read 4 tweets

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