Putin is all about distraction. He’s tentatively agreed with peace talks with Ukraine, a sign of weakness on his part. So he’s threatening nuclear war to distract from that weakness. But you never cower to someone like Putin when he’s in the process of caving. You pile on.
Putin wants the world to be so afraid he’ll nuke Ukraine, the world will back off from the pressure it’s applying to him. It’s an effort to trick us into giving up on a battle we’re clearly winning. Ukraine isn’t cowering to Putin, so neither should anyone else right now.
The cold hard reality is that if Putin is unhinged enough to use nukes, he’s going to do it no matter what we do. Which means the only way to stop him is to crush him before he can do it. It’s a sign for the world to ramp up the pressure on Putin, not back down and cower to him.
And as Col. Vindman and others have said, Putin almost certainly isn’t going to use nukes anyway. He’d be giving up and deciding to die, at a time when (in his mind) he’s still very far from losing everything.
Trump once tried to emulate Putin by threatening to use nukes. But Trump was never going to do it either. All it did was help convince Americans to get rid of Trump. Just as Putin’s nuclear threats may push Russian oligarchs to get rid of him.
And while the mounting protests by the Russian people may not be enough to oust Putin on their own, it may ultimately be enough to convince the oligarchs that Putin is no longer worth the trouble. Most Russian citizens don’t want to hear about nuclear war any more than we do.

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More from @PalmerReport

Mar 1
Vladimir Putin is "frustrated and directing unusual bursts of anger at people in his inner circle," per NBC News. We're watching Putin unravel in real time. Now is the time to ratchet things up. Let's put even more financial pressure on the Russian oligarchs to finish him off.
What really stands out is that the U.S. has this information. Either we have a mole very high in Putin's regime, or we've bugged the most "secure" rooms in the Kremlin, or Putin's advisers have decided it's time for him to go and are leaking this stuff to us accordingly.
No way to know for sure, but at least one of the above type of scenarios must be true. More to the point, there's no way for Putin to know which of the age scenarios are true. Does he start tearing out the walls, taking out his advisers?
Read 4 tweets
Mar 1
Among the people who actually watch the State of the Union, few stay tuned in for the other party's rebuttal. Even fewer watch the followup speeches from fringe members of the President's own party. Who cares who all gives a followup speech? The whole thing is a non-story.
For one thing, the SOTU rebuttal is a dead end. If you give a solid speech, you get no attention. If you do something dumb (Rubio / water, Ernst / plastic bags, etc), your career trajectory stops right there. It's why the GOP is sending a loser like Kim Reynolds out there.
Most of the people who want to hear the rebuttal aren't going to sit through a SOTU from a President they hate, just to hear the rebuttal. And no one knows what time the rebuttal is going to start, so no one tunes in just for that. The rebuttal only goes viral if you screw up.
Read 7 tweets
Mar 1
The pundits yelling “we’re getting nuked for sure” are getting all the retweets, TV bookings, and critical praise for “bravely telling it like it is.” And when they’re proven wrong, they’ll pay no price. There’s always 100% upside, and no downside, for pushing doomsday hysteria.
The pundits will keep feeding you this doomsday hysteria bullshit, and the media will keep amplifying and praising it, until you stop enjoying the taste of it. For career reasons, they have to feed you what you’re hungry for, even if they know it’s bullshit.
Even if these doomsday pundits are right (which they somehow never are), their advice on how to deal with impending doom is for you to sit there and stare at your screen in fear. The bad faith nature of their advice proves that they don’t believe their own premise to begin with.
Read 16 tweets
Feb 28
Do you see the Ukrainians sitting around fretting about how "dangerous" Putin is? No! They're painting him as weak and vulnerable. Accordingly, persuadable nations agreed to get on board with trying to take Putin down.

Liberal activists in America need to learn this strategy.
Fortunately in America we don't have to dodge bombs and convince other nations to work with us. All we have to do is use our voices to convince persuadable voters to side with us. But we do that with the exact same mindset the Ukrainians are taking toward Putin.
The people in the middle, the people who don't have a side, the people who sit back and wait for a cause they like to come along, love siding with a clear winner.

Ukraine has won over the world by making everyone see that it should win, and that it CAN win.
Read 8 tweets
Feb 28
Ron DeSantis is a weak ineffective coward who makes empty moves to try to fictionally portray himself as a strongman. If you call him a "dictator" and such, just so you can be outraged at him, you're HELPING him. Want to defeat him? Expose him as the weakest loser in the nation.
Think it through. DeSantis WANTS to be seen as a dictator / authoritarian. If you feed that narrative, even in order to bash him, then you're working full time for DeSantis. You're his de facto publicist. You just don't know it, because you don't realize it's WHAT HE WANTS.
Most liberal pundits spend every day brainwashing us into believing that the only way to deal with someone like DeSantis (Trump, Putin, etc) is to sit around fretting about how "dangerous" he is. BUT THAT HELPS HIM. You're a moron if you think that's how political activism works.
Read 13 tweets
Feb 28
You never cut off diplomatic channels, even in war, if you can help it. It’s important to note that the United States has kicked 12 Russian diplomats out of the UN, not as an arbitrary punitive measure, but because they were caught doing disqualifying things (most likely spying).
Putin has a history of putting spies in diplomatic positions in order to give them cover, and the U.S. has a history of monitoring Russian diplomats as if they were spies. This is nothing new in that sense.
The U.S. possibly already knew Russia’s UN diplomats were spies, and instead of expelling them, merely monitored them to see what could be learned. If so, why expel them now? It weakens Russia’s ability to influence the current UN general assembly.
Read 4 tweets

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