If there is any point to Putin 's nuclear brinksmanship and West's sanctions escalation of weekend, it is to bring everyone to the negotiating table! Thread on the HARD next phase of sanctions relief and economic+security deal that West-Russia can live with.
https://twitter.com/esaravalle/status/1498288243313418240
Not looking forward to nuclear winter. Hope sense prevails and West exchanges stoppage of war for pulling back sanctions. Punishment of russia's economy/people and talk of regime change in Moscow only fuels escalation towards MAD
https://twitter.com/njtmulder/status/1498255009397489664
Please, please don't push for a No Fly Zone. Its MAD
"I want to remind those proposing it a "No Fly Zone" would be an act of war against Russia which would result in the complete destruction of Ukraine: its churches, its people and its millions of lives."
"I want to remind those proposing it a "No Fly Zone" would be an act of war against Russia which would result in the complete destruction of Ukraine: its churches, its people and its millions of lives."
https://twitter.com/b_judah/status/1498473465111887875
Please think just one step ahead the decision tree.
we are supposedly Intelligent life on this planet. We barely scraped by on lots of luck in 75 years of living with the atomic bomb.
adamtooze.substack.com/p/chartbook-88…
we are supposedly Intelligent life on this planet. We barely scraped by on lots of luck in 75 years of living with the atomic bomb.
adamtooze.substack.com/p/chartbook-88…
https://twitter.com/RichardEngel/status/1498381591306981379
"Can organisms be wildly successful at planetary scale without destroying the conditions that allowed them to succeed?" #FermiParadox
Phenomenal Sagan Lecture by @KenCaldeira asks if Homo Sapiens (Homo Nuts?) is the dragon of Eden kencaldeira.wordpress.com/2019/02/10/car…
Phenomenal Sagan Lecture by @KenCaldeira asks if Homo Sapiens (Homo Nuts?) is the dragon of Eden kencaldeira.wordpress.com/2019/02/10/car…
https://twitter.com/KevinSLeahy/status/1498499585295138822
Why no Sanctions?
1. Not an alternative to war but rather a means of war.
2. Not about behavioral change but long-term exhaustion of the enemy and its people;
3. Don' t affect military events in short term
@NewLeftEViews on NEGATIVE INFINITY
jacobinmag.com/2022/03/putin-…
1. Not an alternative to war but rather a means of war.
2. Not about behavioral change but long-term exhaustion of the enemy and its people;
3. Don' t affect military events in short term
@NewLeftEViews on NEGATIVE INFINITY
jacobinmag.com/2022/03/putin-…
I'm not saying we wouldn't get our hair mussed...
The mad general in Dr. Strangelove at least knew the enemy gets a vote. Action-reaction escalation ladders
The mad general in Dr. Strangelove at least knew the enemy gets a vote. Action-reaction escalation ladders
https://twitter.com/policytensor/status/1499356716739313665
'Tsar Bomba tantrum'!! Not helping with financial war -> MAD anxiety right now
Reminder for money people that Tsar Bomba's explosive energy of 50 megatons of TNT was equivalent to 10 TIMES all the explosives used in world war two.
adamtooze.substack.com/p/chartbook-89…
Reminder for money people that Tsar Bomba's explosive energy of 50 megatons of TNT was equivalent to 10 TIMES all the explosives used in world war two.
adamtooze.substack.com/p/chartbook-89…
https://twitter.com/AtomicAnalyst/status/1057662514006233088
good steps from Adults to reduce nuclear risks:
1. U.S. postpones routine ICBM test given Russia's alert nuclear posture.
2. U.S. military established a backchannel with Russian military to prevent pilots & warships from accidentally firing on each other
time.com/6154459/russia…
1. U.S. postpones routine ICBM test given Russia's alert nuclear posture.
2. U.S. military established a backchannel with Russian military to prevent pilots & warships from accidentally firing on each other
time.com/6154459/russia…
No fly zone does not mean what you think it means
https://twitter.com/PaulRieckhoff/status/1499840040884740098
People advocating for sanctions against nuclear power? Our goal is Palace Coup (LEFT)
People who decide policy? Lets walk back down action-reaction escalation ladder
WH officials: “Cornered Putin ...reaction will be to double down and lash out" (RIGHT)
nytimes.com/2022/03/03/us/…
People who decide policy? Lets walk back down action-reaction escalation ladder
WH officials: “Cornered Putin ...reaction will be to double down and lash out" (RIGHT)
nytimes.com/2022/03/03/us/…
At least you are alive after a hangover.
The West is drunk on Power. Its MAD if the "unipolarity hangover" continues.
The West is drunk on Power. Its MAD if the "unipolarity hangover" continues.
https://twitter.com/Nick_L_Miller/status/1499775813180399617
Is this how it ends? War-gaming of all war scenarios lead to just these 2 endgames: more nuclear escalation or a bloody partition.
Read this,& then try sleeping at night. We barely scraped by on lots of luck in 75 years of the bomb carnegieendowment.org/2022/03/03/how…
Read this,& then try sleeping at night. We barely scraped by on lots of luck in 75 years of the bomb carnegieendowment.org/2022/03/03/how…
https://twitter.com/CChivvis/status/1499512066671058945
74% of Americans said the US & its allies in NATO should impose a no-fly zone in Ukraine!!
A no-fly zone "is a combat operation designed to deprive the enemy of its airpower, & it involves direct & sustained fighting"
Why Biden rejected NFZ. Its MAD
warontherocks.com/2022/03/the-da…
A no-fly zone "is a combat operation designed to deprive the enemy of its airpower, & it involves direct & sustained fighting"
Why Biden rejected NFZ. Its MAD
warontherocks.com/2022/03/the-da…
Markets: "If an ICBM is heading your way, the size and composition of your portfolio becomes irrelevant. Thus, from a purely financial perspective, you should largely ignore existential risk,even if you do care about it greatly from a personal perspective"
https://twitter.com/RobinWigg/status/1500059906568826882
What if Putin doesn’t want an off ramp?
Conversely: "for the West, the argument over how to balance resisting evil with avoiding major war will likely intensify and poison domestic politics."
Always read @PatPorter76 engelsbergideas.com/essays/four-st…
Conversely: "for the West, the argument over how to balance resisting evil with avoiding major war will likely intensify and poison domestic politics."
Always read @PatPorter76 engelsbergideas.com/essays/four-st…
"Senator Manchin is a fossil-fueled sociopath on a Maserati joy-ride while he lets the world burn."
Just like Manchin's push for more drilling and fracking in US - the worlds biggest Oil&Gas producer, his NO FLY ZONE push is MAD
greenpeace.org/usa/news/manch…
Just like Manchin's push for more drilling and fracking in US - the worlds biggest Oil&Gas producer, his NO FLY ZONE push is MAD
greenpeace.org/usa/news/manch…
https://twitter.com/MeetThePress/status/1500481016481337344
This is a brilliant thread. We live in a world of madmen pretending to be sane. In a nuclear crisis, there are individuals at each step of the escalation ladder, who can climb up or climb down. Some are doing so right now.
https://twitter.com/kamilkazani/status/1500168838356381703
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