Ted Darling Profile picture
Mar 1, 2022 โ€ข 11 tweets โ€ข 5 min read โ€ข Read on X
Hello Tuesday and the 1st of March!
๐Ÿฐ๐Ÿฐ

Big spike โ†—๏ธ in #inflation assets last month with ๐Ÿ›ข๏ธ +8.6%, ๐ŸŒพ +22.7%, and ๐Ÿฅ‡ +5.8% - pushing $CRB +5.47% to a new cycle high

Let's dig into the early March ๐Ÿงฎ!
Asia โ†—๏ธ unfazed by ๐Ÿช†๐Ÿ’ฅ

$NIKK 26845 +1.2%
$SSEC 3489 +0.75%
$TWII 17898 +1.4%
$HSI 22762 +0.2%
$KOSPI 2699 +0.85%
$IDX 6921 +0.5%

Australia โ†—๏ธ
$ASX 7096 +0.65%

India closed

Chart: $SSEC +3.0% in February ๐Ÿ’ช
On the other โœ‹, Europe ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ pummeled โ†˜๏ธ

$DAX 14131 -2.3%
$FTSE 7402 -0.75%
$CAC 6501 -2.35%
$AEX 719 +1.5%
$IBEX 8349 -1.5%
$MIB 24877 -2.1%
$SMI 11825 -1.35%
$MOEX ๐Ÿช† closed

$VSTOXX 35.29 ๐Ÿ”บ

Chart: $DAX ๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ช -6.53% in February ๐Ÿป
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ future โ†˜๏ธ after a difficult February

$ES 4340 -0.8%
$NQ 14097 -1.0%
$RTY 2031 0.6%

$VIX 31.59 ๐Ÿ”บ

Chart: $COMPQ -3.45% in February and -12.1% YTD
GOLD and metals continue to ๐Ÿš€๐Ÿš€

$GOLD 1919 +0.95%
$SILVER 24.54 +0.7%
$COPPER 4.51 +1.2%
$PLAT 1054 +1.45%
$PALL 2581 +3.05%
$ALI 3490 +3.6%
$SINV 3726 +1.65#

$GVZ 20.97 ๐Ÿ”บ๐Ÿ›—

Chart: $GOLD +5.8% in February, +3.95% YTD
Hydrocarbons ๐Ÿš€๐Ÿš€

$WTIC 98.75 +3.15%
$BRENT 101.56 +3.65%
$GASO 3.024 +3.1%
$NATGAS 4.474 +1.65%

$OVX 52.50 ๐Ÿ”บ๐Ÿช“๐Ÿชฃ

Chart: $GASOโ›ฝ๏ธ +14.8% in February and +32% YTD
Grains ๐Ÿš€๐Ÿš€

$WHEAT 981 +5.05%
$CORN 712 +3.05%
$SOYB 1678 +2.55%
$SUGAR 17.95 +1.55%

โ˜•๏ธ 236.43 +1.45%

Chart: $SOYB +9.8% in February, +22.2% YTD
The reserve #FX with a bid โ†—๏ธ

$USD 96.99 +0.31%
$EUR 1.1176 -0.39%
$GBP 1.34 -0.15%
$AUD 0.7265 +0.13% โ™‰๏ธ
$USDJPY 114.87 -0.11%
$USDCHF 0.918 +0.14%
$USDCAD 1.268 +0.02%
$USDRUB 96.858 +2.4% โฌ…๏ธ ๐Ÿช†

Chart: $AUD ๐Ÿฆ˜ +2.69% in February
#cryptocurrency ๐Ÿš€

$BTC 43124 +12.43%
$ETH 2877 +9.7%
UST yields โ†˜๏ธ across the curve
10/2s to 42 BPS

MOVE 100.40 ๐Ÿ”บ๐Ÿ˜ฑ

2Y 1.337 -0.981
5Y 1.633 -0.086
10Y 1.758 -0.081
30Y 2.098 -0.082

Global 10Ys mostly โ†˜๏ธ
JPN 0.186 +0.006

Chart: $TIP +0.86% in February
Clearly, commodities ๐Ÿ›ข๏ธโ›ฝ๏ธ๐ŸŒฝ ๐Ÿช™ were the place to be in February, along with long vol ๐ŸŒŠ

Don't blame your #furu if you missed it
It's all on you ๐Ÿ–•

Treasuries are starting to ๐Ÿ’ฐ
#OldManAlpha

It's a new day and a new month

Position wisely - have a super ๐Ÿ’ฐ profitable day!

โ€ข โ€ข โ€ข

Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to force a refresh
ใ€€

Keep Current with Ted Darling

Ted Darling Profile picture

Stay in touch and get notified when new unrolls are available from this author!

Read all threads

This Thread may be Removed Anytime!

PDF

Twitter may remove this content at anytime! Save it as PDF for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video
  1. Follow @ThreadReaderApp to mention us!

  2. From a Twitter thread mention us with a keyword "unroll"
@threadreaderapp unroll

Practice here first or read more on our help page!

More from @tdarling1

May 23
Hello Thursday!

With FOMC ๐Ÿฆ minutes ๐Ÿ““ (nothing ๐Ÿ” that gave you a #BTFD moment) and $NVDA ๐Ÿš€ out of the way, the $VIX (along with metals and the $USD) is collapsing

This is unequivocally โ™‰๏ธ equities

Let's dig into the market ๐Ÿงฎ!
Asian #dispersion โฌ†๏ธ โฌ‡๏ธ

$NIKK 39112 +1.3% โฌ†๏ธ
$SSEC 3116 -1.35% โฌ‡๏ธ
$TWSE 21552 unch
$HSI 18869 -1.7% โฌ‡๏ธ
$KOSPI 2722 -0.05%
$IDX 7221 +0.5% โฌ†๏ธ

Australia โ†˜๏ธ
$ASX 7812 -0.45%

Bharat โ†—๏ธ
$BSE 74955 +1.0%
Europe trying to bounce โ†”๏ธ

$VSTOXX 12.37 ๐Ÿ”ป

$DAX range = 18436 - 19085 โ™‰๏ธ
$FEZ range = 52.32 - 54.53 โ™‰๏ธ

$DAX 18695 +0.05%
$FTSE 8348 -0.25%
$CAC 8102 +0.1%
$AEX 915 +0.5%
$IBEX 11314 -0.15%
$MIB 34411 -0.15%
$SMI 11979 +0.25%
$MOEX 3417 -0.8%
Read 11 tweets
May 5
๐Ÿปโ™‰๏ธโ†—๏ธโ†˜๏ธโ†”๏ธโš ๏ธ๐Ÿšฉ๐Ÿ”บ๐Ÿ”ป๐Ÿงฎ ๐Ÿ’ฐ

Something strange happened in #macro markets this week ๐Ÿงต 1/7

Inflation data pushed ย ๐Ÿ”บ and the #TRA pointed to coupon issuance ๐Ÿ”บ, yet inflation assets sold off ๐Ÿ”ป and bonds caught a bid ๐Ÿ”บ

Letโ€™s dig into the ๐Ÿงฎ!
2/7

Data and policy palooza this past week supported a phase transition to #stagflation
3/7

First the #inflation data

#ECI +1.1% ๐Ÿ”บ
CS Home Price +7.3% y/y ๐Ÿ”บ
#ISM Manufacturing Prices 60.9 ๐Ÿ”บ
Unit Labor Costs +4.7% ๐Ÿ”บ
#ISM Services Prices 59.2 ๐Ÿ”บ
#AHE Y/Y +3.9% ๐Ÿ”ปย โฌ…๏ธ

Together with April #CPI ๐Ÿ”บ and #PCE ๐Ÿ”บ, inflation acceleration is trending ๐Ÿ”บ
Read 7 tweets
Mar 7
Hello Thursday!

"BOJ Board Member Nakagawa Says Japan Moving Steadily Toward Achieving Price Goal" and the $USDJPY rolls againโ€ฆ

Let's dig into the market ๐Ÿงฎ!

wsj.com/articles/boj-bโ€ฆ
Image
Asia closed โ†”๏ธ with $NIKK โ†˜๏ธ ๐Ÿฅท

$NIKK 39598 -1.3%
$SSEC 3027 -0.4%
$TWSE 19694 +1.0% โฌ…๏ธ
$HSI 16239 -1.25%
$KOSPI 2648 +0.25%
$IDX 7369 +0.55%

Australia โ†—๏ธ
$ASX 7764 +0.4%

Bharat โ†”๏ธ
$BSE 74073 unch
Europe trading โ†”๏ธ

$DAX 17671 -0.3%
$FTSE 7657 -0.3%
$CAC 7941 -0.2%
$AEX 859 +0.2%
$IBEX 10254 +0.55%
$MIB 33333 -0.1%
$SMI 11497 -0.45%
$MOEX 3306 -0.15%

$VSTOXX 14.27

$DAX range = 17306 - 17919 โ™‰๏ธ
$FEZ range = 49.79 - 51.89 โ™‰๏ธ
Read 11 tweets
Feb 19
Hello Presidents Day!

The ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ is closed for the holiday but ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ is back after making ๐Ÿฅณ with the ๐Ÿ‰ for the past week

Let's dig into the market ๐Ÿงฎ!
In Asia, the $NIKK finding overhead near ATHs after a โ™‰๏ธ breakout run to 38500

$NIKK 38470 -0.1%
$SSEC 2911 +1.55% ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ
$TWSE 18636 +0.15%
$HSI 16156 -1.15%
$KOSPI 2680 +1.2%
$IDX 7297 -0.55%

Australia โ†”๏ธ
$ASX 7665 +0.1%

Bharat โ†—๏ธ
$BSE 72718 +0.4% Image
Europe โ†”๏ธ stalling at ATHs

$DAX 17065 -0.3%
$FTSE 7717 +0.05%
$CAC 7739 -0.4%
$AEX 855 -0.3%
$IBEX 9927 +0.4%
$MIB 31635 -0.3%
$SMI 11327 +0.15%
$MOEX 3247 +0.13%

$VSTOXX 14.62 ๐Ÿ”บ

$DAX range = 16922 - 17258 โ™‰๏ธ
$FEZ range = 48.13 - 49.50 โ™‰๏ธ Image
Read 10 tweets
Oct 23, 2023
Hello Monday!

The ๐Ÿป markets in bonds, equities, and non-USD currencies continues unabated, even though equities are very oversold on a weekly basis.

This new ๐ŸชŸ of weakness is not helping the โ™‰๏ธs ๐Ÿฅ

But #Bitcoin ๐Ÿš€

Let's dig into the market ๐Ÿงฎ!
In Asia, $SSEC ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ“‰ from oversold levels

$NIKK 31,000 -0.8%
$SSEC 2939 -1.45% โฌ…๏ธ ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ
$TWII 16441 -0.05%
$HSI 17142 -0.65%
$KOSPI 2357 -0.75%
$IDX 6770 -1.1%

Australia โ†˜๏ธ
$ASX 6844 -0.8%

Bharat โ†˜๏ธ
$BSE 65058 -0.5%
Europe trading โ†˜๏ธ at the open

$DAX 14745 -0.35%
$FTSE 7369 -0.45%
$CAC 6811 -0.1%
$AEX 715 -0.25%
$IBEX 870 -0.65%
$MIB 27370 +0.05% โฌ…๏ธ
$SMI 10296 -0.5%
$MOEX 3273 +0.1%

$VSTOXX 23.87 ๐Ÿ”บ

$DAX range = 14615 - 15219 ๐Ÿป
$FEZ range = 40.05 - 42.64 ๐Ÿป
Read 12 tweets
Oct 4, 2023
Hello Wednesday! ๐Ÿซ

@business headline:
"US bond market rout continues unabated; goes global"

ISM Services data release today is the potential catalyst for a painful reversal.

Let's dig into the market ๐Ÿงฎ!
In Asia, the $NIKK rout continued

$NIKK 30535 -2.15% ๐Ÿซ
$SSEC holiday ๐Ÿชฉ
$TWII ๐Ÿชฉ
$HSI 17186 -0.5%
$KOSPI 2405 -2.4% ๐Ÿซ
$IDX 6863 -1.15%

Australia โ†˜๏ธ
$ASX 6890 -0.75%

Bharat โ†˜๏ธ
$BSE 64939 -0.85%
Mired in ๐Ÿป๐Ÿ’ฉ, Europe tries to muster a gain

$DAX 15059 -0.15%
$FTSE 7478 +0.1%
$CAC 7003 +0.1%
$AEX 721 +0.35%
$IBEX 9162 -0.5%
$MIB 27454 -0.1%
$SMI 10786 +0.2%
$MOEX 3150 +0.2%

$VSTOXX 20.61 ๐Ÿ”บ

$DAX range = 14828 - 15565 ๐Ÿป
$FEZ range = 40.36 - 42.68 ๐Ÿป
Read 11 tweets

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!


This site is made by just two indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3/month or $30/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Don't want to be a Premium member but still want to support us?

Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal

Or Donate anonymously using crypto!

Ethereum

0xfe58350B80634f60Fa6Dc149a72b4DFbc17D341E copy

Bitcoin

3ATGMxNzCUFzxpMCHL5sWSt4DVtS8UqXpi copy

Thank you for your support!

Follow Us!

:(