It’s clear from a spate of POW interviews I’ve seen the troops themselves had no idea they were going to launch this op and were completely unprepared for it, including officers. Morale is low, nothing was organized, soldiers don’t want to fight & readily abandon kit.
https://twitter.com/RALee85/status/1498668774957924356
There's all sorts of secondary evidence, albeit anecdotal given what one can see - tanks and equipment abandoned that's in working order with fuel in it. Logistics is hardly the only explanation for the issues on display.
They've compounded the problem by generally not using combined arms formations, instead sending small detachments forward, often operating without support. These small units are easily cut off and likely to abandon their gear in the absence of a larger formation backing them.
Since yesterday it looks like the Russian military is making adjustments, so force employment is visibly changing, but the evidence about how they prepared, or more accurately didn't prepare for this war is starting to stack.
All that said, there are a lot of Russian units fighting, this war is likely to get more brutal, with numbers and firepower being a decisive factor even if the initial planning was shambolic. My impressions are based on the opening days of fighting, and terribly incomplete.
I suspect we will find out the truth was somewhere in the middle, Russian officers probably knew they were going to war when told to deploy to the border, but doubtfully understood the real nature of the operation. This isn't to take anything away from the UKR mil performance.
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