Russia’s invasion of Ukraine is entering a new phase, promising a more deadly time ahead for the country’s civilians and its remarkably determined army.
Early signs are that Russian commanders are abandoning the approach that marked the first days of the conflict, in which they relied on lightning strikes into cities they assumed would be half-heartedly defended, the officials said.
Source: Institute for the Study of War.
After multiple failures, officials from the US and allied nations expect Russia to use more indiscriminate tactics to suppress resistance.
After pausing to regroup and draw new assets into place around the capital, the ISW expects Russian forces to relaunch their attack on the capital, Kyiv. The new phase is thought to play out over several days.
Upcoming Russian offense could be too much for Ukrainian forces to win in Kyiv.
Ukrainian government likely to relocate further West, if they even have the room to escape.
I agree with @KofmanMichael about that this war is going to get far more uglier and brutal.
Ukrainian forces punched above their weight but we are now going to see core parts of the Russian military getting involved. This sinister atmosphere reminds me of Grozny in 1994.
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Thread. Vafa Guluzade, a former national security adviser for Azerbaijan who worked with three of that country’s first presidents.
He was considered a tough and stubborn negotiator, and he held strong opinions on a number of issues, especially on the Kremlin. #Ukraine
Guluzade was widely respected for his principled positions and dignified demeanor.
In 2014, he gave an interview to Radio Liberty on Russia and Ukraine so I've decided to post some interesting bits from it since it touches a lot of stuff on Ukraine and Russia.
Vafa Guluzade:
"Azerbaijanis in general and, I am sure, the authorities also have sympathy for Ukraine and want it to be an independent state, not a vassal territory of Russia."
Russian forces appeared to be moving to cut Ukraine off from the sea via its key southern ports.
Kherson is under Russian control, the siege of Mariupol on its way, as a large amphibious taskforce threatened Odessa to the west.
Cutting Ukraine’s access to its coast would deal a significant blow to the country’s economy and allow Russian forces to build a land corridor stretching from its border, across Crimea, which has been under Russian control since 2014, and all the way west to Romania.
Another key target for Russian forces in the south east is the Zaporizhzhia and its nuclear power plant in south-eastern Ukraine, Europe’s biggest, where Russian units were trying to break through a barricade to the plant erected by local residents and territorial defence forces.
List of prominent Russian and Belarusian figures that spoke against the war in Ukraine. This is not a complete list but still interesting:
* 🇷🇺 Semyon Slepakov, actor
* 🇷🇺 Yury Dud, journalist and blogger
* 🇷🇺 Zemfira, rock singer
* 🇷🇺🇬🇧 Oxxxymiron, rapper
* 🇷🇺 Boris Akunin, writer
* 🇷🇺 Danila Poperechny, comedian
* 🇷🇺 Dmitry Muratov, journalist and editor
* 🇷🇺 Leonid Barats, actor
* 🇷🇺 Morgenshtern, rapper
* 🇷🇺 Sergey Lazarev, pop singer
* 🇷🇺 Valery Meladze, pop singer
* 🇷🇺🇮🇱 Ivan Urgant, TV presenter
* 🇷🇺🇨🇾 Maxim Galkin, comedian
* 🇷🇺 Aleksandr Gudkov, showman
* 🇷🇺 Aleksandr Molochnikov, actor
* 🇷🇺 Leonid Parfyonov, journalist
* 🇷🇺 Kantemir Balagov, film director
* 🇷🇺 Kseniya Rappoport, actress
* 🇷🇺 Manizha, pop singer
* 🇷🇺 Nastya Ivleeva, TV presenter and blogger
* 🇷🇺 Vera Polozkova, poet
Russian units captured the first regional capital and are advancing towards Slovyansk from the west.
Ukrainian forces recaptured a town near Kyiv but Donbas, and mainly Mariupol, is approaching a critical stage.
Southern front
In Kherson area, soon after the midnight (Kyiv time), Russian forces captured the Kherson city hall and announced the capture of the city. It's the first regional capital captured by the Russian side.
Russian troops landed near Mykolaiv, but were eliminated or captured by Ukrainian forces.
Apart from sporadic shelling, there was no attack on the city itself. The spearheading element still roams in the north of the city, the location is unknown at the moment.
The situation is becoming critical in Ukraine's south. Russian Forces entered Kherson and encircled Mariupol. The situation on the other fronts remains rather stable.
Southern front looks like this at the moment.
Russian forces entered Kherson and met only minor resistance. The city was guarded by local Territorial Defense Unit and Ukrainian Army most likely withdrew from the town in the morning.
Russian forces reached the train station inside the city and de-facto gained control of Kherson.
Still no updates from Ukrainian Armed Forces regarding this area.