If Kyiv falls, it is still not clear what Moscow would do with Ukraine.
Splitting up the country is most likely scenario but it comes with its own challenges.
Splitting up the country is most likely scenario but it comes with its own challenges.
Yes, Russian forces technically can implement a split, but do Russia has the capacity and wherewithal to enforce it beyond the short run, given Russian Armed Forces arrayed at this point?
The huge challenge for Russia is having in suppressing resistance in/around cities like Kharkiv.
A split – possibly along the Dniepr River – remains a possibility,
A split – possibly along the Dniepr River – remains a possibility,
Moscow's options are quite limited. Russia must achieve some sort of victory in Ukraine as for Moscow, not being able to declare victory will surely undermine its image of a strong military power.
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