if you were hoping that the silver lining of Russia's aggression is a new macrofinancial regime in Europe, sorry to disappoint.
the freshly minted revision to the European 'green, digital resilient and inclusive' Growth model is a lot more of the same ec.europa.eu/info/sites/def…
first, you want to window-dress the malfunctioning of the 'austerity first, mobilise private capital next' model - hello secondary axis.
the macro information wars - a slap in your incredulous face
with austerity still on the menu - in Michelin bullshit packaging - the problem remains the famous investment gap, now in its (freedom energy) investment gap version
where will these billions come from, if the fiscal song is austerity?
you guessed - our friendly financiers, freely roaming through the Capital Markets Union
hello green ordoliberalism - i.e. monetary and fiscal derisking - sad to know you're so resilient to Putin.
tell me again how Streeck's 'footnote to US empire' diagnosis of Europe was wrong.
thanks to @BrusselerMel for pointing me to the Green ordoliberal manifesto for Europe.
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fascinating @adam_tooze on whether we'll see Russia abandon its Wall Street Consensus macrofinancial regime - fiscal austerity, floating exchange rate, domestic bond finance - that it deployed to accumulate a foreign reserves war chest.
first, the constraint of market access - so very familiar to poor & middle income countries negotiating Debt Service Suspension Initiative - is gone.
if you dont care what foreign investors think of your macro stance, the world is your oyster.
your oyster as in you can: 1. Choose to reorient your macro choices towards aggressive short-run stabilisation 2. Bring back developmental state that aims to structurally change your economy
both require an ideological cover, and MMT can offer that
and the week UCU is on strike, so I cant comment the pluuuumbing :)
I can tweet about the @ucu strike fund - remember Maggie Thatcher gave employers the upper hand to confiscate pay for each strike day, so academics are taking home half of their pay this month.
1. set the Maastricht sacred cows free, forever out of sight 2. let @ecb work closely with governments to protect fiscal space 3. drop the 'mobilisation of private investment' language, time to discipline financiers into doing what we want, instead of bribing them.
if there is some silver lining in this super depressing glorification of war/arms etc, let it be this one
if your macro narrative is 'well done Germany, your balanced budgets have created the fiscal space you need now to deal with geopolitical challenges posed by Russia' - your austerity ideology is blinding you to the obvious
my bet - European Commission will embrace this narrative next week and double down on its Carbon Contracts for Difference strategy of derisking private investments in decarbonisation, ignoring the painful lessons from Germany's Energiewende
have spent this week in class discussing a 2009 Lin vs Chang debate on industrial policy that goes at the core of the decarbonisation debate - what do we mean when we discuss the revival of industrial policy?
first, institutional landlords are not just notorious private equity firms like Blackstone, but your pension fund, insurance companies, family offices and endowments, cash-rich multinational corporations, Sovereign Wealth Funds and asset managers - a glut of institutional capital
institutional capital targeting European housing is large, a portfolio glut ready to deploy trillions if it can find houses to purchase at scale
the #GlobalGateway strategy seeks to 'unleash' EUR300 bn for infrastructure investments around the world based on 'values, transparency and sustainability'
wonder what values embodied by (German) Compact with Africa push for PPPs in health or education that force user-fees and de-facto privatisation of social infrastructure