Dan Lamothe Profile picture
Mar 4 15 tweets 2 min read
A Friday background briefing with senior U.S. defense officials about the war in Ukraine has concluded.

Some takeaways worth noting:
Ninety-two percent of Russia’s combat power assembled at the Ukrainian border pre-invasion is now in Ukraine. That’s up from about 90 percent in a Pentagon assessment yesterday.
Strikingly, Ukraine has a “significant majority” of its aircraft still available against Russia after nine days of invasion, senior U.S. defense official says. For days, U.S. has said the airspace was contested.
No radioactive leakage from the Zaporizhzhia nuclear plant has been detected, senior U.S. defense official says. Russia appears to be in control of the plant, after shelling the area and causing a fire at the plant last night.
Official frames the shelling on the nuclear plant in part as a likely play to gain leverage on everyday Ukrainians by seizing control of electrical power.
Russia continues to advance on the southeastern city of Mariupol and shell it.

Russian and Ukrainian forces also fighting near the smaller southern city of Mikolaev, as Russians seemingly advance toward larger port city of Odessa.
No “appreciable” movement has been made on Kyiv, the Ukrainian capital. That column of tanks and armor remains north of the city, seemingly stalled.

Senior U.S. defense official attributes that to Ukrainians blowing up a bridge and “direct attacks” on vehicles.
Russian forces remain outside Chernihiv and Kharkiv and continue to bombard them. Russian troops are in the southern city of Kherson, though the Pentagon isn’t saying whether it’s under Russian control.
Senior U.S. defense official appears to raise the possibility of Russian troops near Kherson linking up with additional Russians on naval vessels in the Black Sea.

Russia already has launched one amphibious invasion from the Sea of Azov.
Russia has now launched 500 missiles at Ukraine since invasion began, senior U.S. defense official says. That’s up about 20 from yesterday.
Senior U.S. defense official says Russia is striking “hospitals, schools, residential areas” in Ukraine, something backed by photos and video taken on the ground.

“They are killing civilians,” the official adds. “They are wounding civilians.”
A new communication line set up so U.S. and Russian defense officials appears to be working.

Senior defense official says that in an initial test, “they answered the phone.”
Still no indication that Belarus is preparing to deploy troops to Ukraine to assist the Russians, senior U.S. defense official says.
Senior U.S. defense official says the Pentagon hasn't seen any "muscle movements" toward Odessa today, but forecasts that could change.

"Without having knowledge of Russian plans, it's difficult to speculate."
Senior U.S. defense official says that the Russian continue to fly aircraft and launch missiles inside Ukraine.

Most Russian strikes have been at night, but not all, official adds, pointing to open-source clips of explosions.

• • •

Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to force a refresh
 

Keep Current with Dan Lamothe

Dan Lamothe Profile picture

Stay in touch and get notified when new unrolls are available from this author!

Read all threads

This Thread may be Removed Anytime!

PDF

Twitter may remove this content at anytime! Save it as PDF for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video
  1. Follow @ThreadReaderApp to mention us!

  2. From a Twitter thread mention us with a keyword "unroll"
@threadreaderapp unroll

Practice here first or read more on our help page!

More from @DanLamothe

Mar 3
A Thursday background briefing at the Pentagon about the war in Ukraine has concluded.

Notable updates:
Pentagon acknowledges "heavy bombardment" by Russia of numerous cities. Kyiv, Kharkiv, Chernihiv and Mariupol, etc.

Mariupol is still in Ukrainian government control.

Russians are now "just outside" Kharkiv.
There is a “clear willingness” to hit Ukrainian civilian targets, including government infrastructure in Kyiv and Kharkiv, senior defense official says.

That amid obvious verified of attacks circulating on social media.
Read 14 tweets
Mar 1
At the Pentagon, a Tuesday morning background briefing about the war in Ukraine with a senior U.S. defense official has concluded. Important updates:
The 40 mile-long column of Russian tanks and combat vehicles that has been spotted in satellite imagery has “stalled” north of Kyiv, the senior U.S. defense official said. Several possible reasons for it, and it could be more than one of them.
There are indications that Russian forces are "regrouping" after their haphazard operation so far hasn't yielded the results they expected. They continue to deal with fuel shortages, and the senior U.S. defense official said food shortages have come up, too.
Read 13 tweets
Feb 28
Monday morning Pentagon background briefing on the war in Ukraine now concluded. Some noteworthy details on what is Day 5 since Russia's invasion to follow:
On Sunday, a senior U.S. defense official said that Russia appeared to adapting siege tactics on the northern city of Chernihiv. Today that official adds it appears similar tactics are in use in the northeastern city of Kharkiv, something that matches visuals widely available.
The senior U.S. official also says it appear that Russian forces are attempting to encircle Kyiv, raising concerns siege tactics could be used there, too.
Read 14 tweets
Feb 27
Sunday background briefing with senior U.S. defense official winding down.

Up front, official acknowledges reports that Putin has put his nuclear forces on alert and said that it is “not only an unnecessary step for him to take, but an escalatory one.”
Senior U.S. defense official says that Russia continues to face stiff resistance on its advances. Also says Russia is struggling with fuel and logistical issues. Still no indications that Russia has taken control of any major cities, U.S. official says.
Significant: Russia has now adopted siege tactics on the Ukrainian city of Chernihiv, senior U.S. defense official says. That significantly elevates the likelihood of civilian casualties there.
Read 11 tweets
Feb 26
A Saturday morning background briefing with a senior U.S. defense official about the war in Ukraine just concluded.

First takeaway: Russian reconnaissance troops are now in and near Kyiv, the capital, even as main Russian advanced is about 30 kilometers north, official said.
The official declined to say whether these forces are Spetsnaz. By virtue of their role, they'd attempt to prep the battlefield for further advancement.

That said: Stiff resistance remains. Russian forces are “increasingly frustrated” by their lack of momentum, official says.
Airspace over Ukraine remains contested, U.S. official says, in contradiction to expectations before the invasion that Russia would quickly seize control of the skies.

Ukrainian jets and air-defense systems are active and continue to “engage and deny," U.S. official says.
Read 12 tweets
Feb 25
Out of a background briefing this morning with a senior U.S. defense official. Notable updates about the war in Ukraine:
A couple things going on here. First, Russia is getting more resistance that it expected, senior defense official says. He cites resistance around Kyiv in particular.
Russia also has not established air superiority over Ukraine, as U.S. officials had predicted was likely before this invasion began. Instead, the air space is contested, with some Ukrainian air defenses (surface-to-air missiles) still available and Ukrainian jets flying sorties.
Read 8 tweets

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!


This site is made by just two indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3/month or $30/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Don't want to be a Premium member but still want to support us?

Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal

Or Donate anonymously using crypto!

Ethereum

0xfe58350B80634f60Fa6Dc149a72b4DFbc17D341E copy

Bitcoin

3ATGMxNzCUFzxpMCHL5sWSt4DVtS8UqXpi copy

Thank you for your support!

Follow Us on Twitter!

:(