This is the hopeful analysis of the situation, I might as well provide the more disappointing one.

Russia has probably been spending the last few days unscrewing up their supply situation.

The southern offensive is setting up for an amphibious landing near Odessa.

https://twitter.com/sumlenny/status/1499822066098655234

You can start to see it, the visible rear area Russian formations look more alert. They may not have air superiority, and AD units are becoming keenly aware that there may be enemy aircraft overhead.

The offensive to the east of Kyiv has made some significant progress, bypassing Sumy to move heavier units towards Kyiv. Granted they’re working with a long supply line but they seem to be rolling over a lot of stuff in their way.

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OSINTtechnical

@Osinttechnical

Mar 4

To be honest Twitter has graced us with some of the most beautifully terrible defense takes over the past 48 hours.

https://twitter.com/rephoulahan/status/1499740290650890241

https://twitter.com/rephoulahan/status/1499740290650890241

Apart from the fact that it’s logistically impossible and politically a terrible idea.

A-10s would get destroyed by the current Russian air defense systems present.

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