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OSINTtechnical Profile picture
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Mar 6 • 5 tweets • 1 min read
Congressional members seem to be coalescing around the Polish/Ukrainian/US MiG-29 for F-16 deal.
Don’t know if it’s going to happen, but there appears to be support.
I do agree with @Jbrady2852, the Russians have indicated that something like this could cause an escalation.
They have said similar things about weapons shipments but cutting through Russian “diplomatic” language is difficult.
Tldr: who knows, I’m getting some sleep.

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More from @Osinttechnical

OSINTtechnical Profile picture
Mar 7
The Ukrainians weren’t lying, they actually got Gen. Vitaly Gerassimov.
This is a pretty good independent confirmation
This is also one of the most hilarious security failures I have seen in a while. The FSB officer called his boss on an unsecured phone line.
Read 4 tweets
OSINTtechnical Profile picture
Mar 7
I have tried to reinforce in my assessments that the Russians continue to make steady progress, especially in the south.

I’ll repeat it here, the Russians are taking heavy losses, especially among their supply divisions, but they still have the mass to push forwards.
It’s something we have seen continuously, if anything, the fact that they have made massive progress in the south highlights some of their weaknesses, especially in the urban environment.
They’ve moved much slower in the last few days, primarily expanding on gains made in the first few days of the offensive.
Read 5 tweets
OSINTtechnical Profile picture
Mar 7
Per the @TheStudyofWar map, the Russian advance continues to be slow. They have solidified their position outside of Kyiv, and fighting in the western suburbs is ongoing. Image
I will say, this map somewhat over represents the Russian control over areas in Ukraine. As we have seen, Ukrainian forces have been able to conduct a number of attacks behind Russian lines.
Read 4 tweets
OSINTtechnical Profile picture
Mar 5
SU-34 shot down over Chernihiv by a Ukranian SAM. No.24
Read 6 tweets
OSINTtechnical Profile picture
Mar 5
Another aircraft downed in Chernihiv
Unsure of the type, maybe an SU-30?
Yeah I can see 2 chutes, maybe an SU-34 then.
Read 4 tweets
OSINTtechnical Profile picture
Mar 4
This is the hopeful analysis of the situation, I might as well provide the more disappointing one.

Russia has probably been spending the last few days unscrewing up their supply situation.

The southern offensive is setting up for an amphibious landing near Odessa.
You can start to see it, the visible rear area Russian formations look more alert. They may not have air superiority, and AD units are becoming keenly aware that there may be enemy aircraft overhead.
The offensive to the east of Kyiv has made some significant progress, bypassing Sumy to move heavier units towards Kyiv. Granted they’re working with a long supply line but they seem to be rolling over a lot of stuff in their way.
Read 7 tweets

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