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Eric Feigl-Ding Profile picture
@DrEricDing
Mar 8, 2022 • 17 tweets • 11 min read • Read on X
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⚠️UPDATE—#BA2 is now 11.6% in US, up from 8.3% last week. It’s definitely increasing, as warned. #COVID19 still dropping, but BA2 is growing in underbelly—it’s a matter of when (not ‘if’) case drop plateaus, then reverses. Likely late April, early May.🧵
covid.cdc.gov/covid-data-tra… ImageImage
2) Where is #BA2 highest? In New England (HHS region 1), where BA2 is already 24% of all cases. It’s definitely outcompeting the old original #Omicron which is fading away. Image
3) #BA2 is not mild among unvaccinated and under-vaccinated populations. In Hong Kong 🇭🇰 where BA2 is very dominant, hospitals and morgues are overflowing. Hong Kong has never had a surge of this kind before - not until BA2 showed up.
4) But some say HK hasn’t been hit hard by old Omicron, unlike US or UK. So what’s happening in England 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 then with its BA2 rise? Let’s check in— hospitalizations are rising in all age groups. Especially in kids 6-17, surging 26% in hospital admissions in one week. 👇
5) Some are asking how bad is #BA2 in England 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 anyway— their last variant update was FEB 25th, but it shows roughly ~1/4th BA2– it’s not even that high of a percentage. Maybe it’s closer to half now but not dominant—yet hospitalizations up already.
assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/upl… Image
6) How fast is the relative rise of #BA2 versus the emergence of other variants? Early on, it matched the old #Omicron for a while… slower now but still faster than older variants. This is not a good sign. Image
7) HOW IT STARTED… HOW ITS GOING… by region in the US, compare one month ago on Feb 5th… versus now March 5th data see anything wrong with the pink pie charts? #BA2 is growing. I’ve seen this rodeo 4 times before. New variants displace old ones for a reason—it’s not good sign. ImageImage
8) Back to Hong Kong— just how bad is #COVID19 deaths in 🇭🇰 right now? It is almost “Holy Mary” bad. It’s higher than any record high that US or Europe has ever seen. When hospitals 🏥 & morgues overloaded, it’s not merely “with COVID”—it’s directly COVID. HK is undervaccinated. Image
9) If we just look at the recent (old) Omicron wave, HK’s surge makes the recent really bad Omicron wave look tepid (it’s not —it’s the second worst wave the US had). The new HK BA2 is that severe. Maybe the Us might fare better initially—but I worry about waning immunity by May. ImageImage
10) Meanwhile, The good news is that #Omicron responds to Boosters well — 90-95% protection against hospitalization. However, 2 shots “basic” vax isn’t enough anymore versus Omicron—protection now only 70-79% depending on agent group. ➡️Note—70% is 3x worse than 90% if inverted.
11) the secondary ATTACK RATES (infection in secondary household members and in workplaces) is also much higher with #Ba2 than other variants. 14.3% is quite high and about ~25% ⬆️ higher than BA1’s 11.4%. Basically it’ll cross infect more people. This is why it’s a bad sign. Image
12) Furthermore, in non-household settings, the secondary ATTACK RATE (cross infection to others) is 6.1% for #BA2. but that is 32.6% ⬆️ higher than BA1 (old Omicron). This again is not good. Image
13) REMINDER that #covidisairborne. Please try to mask - but if you don’t, please buy a HEPA filter or build a Corsi-Rosenthal Box 📦 filter. See thread 🧵 below 👇
14) #Ba2 is now ~1/4th of all cases in Ontario—even with incomplete sequencing data. This is a spike of 40% increase from last week alone.
15) Again, don’t be misled by falling cases. While total cases may be dropping (of the older variants), there can be an “under growth” in the underbelly, that when it becomes dominant, will crisscross and then cause a new surge. We have seen this before countless times.
16) Too many people are selfish and lacking in compassion during the pandemic. This is one of the fundamental reasons that #CovidIsNotOver. I explore many of the fallacies below 👇
17) The trends for #BA2 in England 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 are quite alarming. 👇

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More from @DrEricDing

Eric Feigl-Ding Profile picture
Nov 13
⚠️BREAKING—ICU Hospitalized human bird flu case in Canada now officially confirmed as H5N1. Worse, it is the same 2.3.4.4b virus clade (variant group) as the one found in BC🇨🇦 poultry and in Washington state🇺🇸! The hospitalized teenager (with no pre existing conditions) had no animal contact, does not live on farm, had “deterioration quite rapid” and now critical in ICU with ARDS. Canada officials says infectious period is 2 days **prior to symptoms** (ie asymptomatic transmission) and infectious up to 10 days.Image
2) Public Health Agency of Canada's National Microbiology Laboratory (NML) in Winnipeg confirmed that the individual has avian influenza H5N1
canada.ca/en/public-heal…
3) details…

⚠️BAD UPDATE—BIRD FLU HOSPITALIZATION IN CANADIAN TEEN

Summary 🧵 of the live press conference with Canada’s British Columbia health officer.

📌The teen is in intensive care.
📌Condition is ARDS
📌Teen was healthy prior; no underlying conditions

bsky.app/profile/dreric…
Read 4 tweets
Eric Feigl-Ding Profile picture
Nov 13
Trump’s incoming SECRETARY OF DEFENSE who doesn’t wash his hands and doesn’t believe in germs. Image
2) Trump’s new SECDEF is also in favor of committing war crimes. businessinsider.com/pete-hegseth-a…
3) Trump’s SECDEF pick is a wild character. And loves hawking merch.
Read 4 tweets
Eric Feigl-Ding Profile picture
Nov 9
My god—Google Search for “what is a tariff” sudden spikes the DAY AFTER ELECTION DAY. 🤦🏻‍♂️ Image
2) many folks simply don’t understand what a tariff is — unless you explain it several times to them with analogies. Even then, it’s hard for many to grasp. Eg 👇
3) Ah shit… it’s now gotten worse. Why do so many people do their hw late??,
Read 6 tweets
Eric Feigl-Ding Profile picture
Nov 6
📍HARRIS IS STILL AHEAD IN PA—in terms of votes yet to be counted. She’s still +2 of what is needed to win PA, given the outstanding votes still remaining in PA cities, according to @CBSNews @NorahODonnell Image
Image
Image
Harris has enough remaining in PA Philly suburbs to still win. Image
3) folks. The NYT needle is not reliable.
Read 5 tweets
Eric Feigl-Ding Profile picture
Oct 31
Plastic cookware should not be used. Period. Especially BLACK PLASTIC cookware, that often mixes in toxic recycled electronic waste materials. DISPOSE OF ALL PLASTIC COOKWARE, especially if black colored plastic ones. Pass it on to your family.

Gift🎁🔗
theatlantic.com/health/archive…Image
2) Because optical sensors in recycling facilities can’t detect them, black-colored plastics are largely rejected from domestic-waste streams, resulting in a shortage of black base material for recycled plastic. So the demand for black plastic appears to be met “in no insignificant part” via recycled e-waste, according to Turner’s research. TV and computer casings, like the majority of the world’s plastic waste, tend to be recycled in informal waste economies with few regulations and end up remolded into consumer products, including ones, such as spatulas and slotted spoons, that come into contact with food.
3) You simply do not want flame retardants anywhere near your stir-fry. Flame retardants are typically not bound to the polymers to which they are added, making them a particular flight risk: They dislodge easily and make their way into the surrounding environment. And, indeed, another paper from 2018 found that flame retardants in black kitchen utensils readily migrate into hot cooking oil. The health concerns associated with those chemicals are well established: Some flame retardants are endocrine disruptors, which can interfere with the body’s hormonal system, and scientific literature suggests that they may be associated with a range of ailments, including thyroid disease, diabetes, and cancer. People with the highest blood levels of PBDEs, a class of flame retardants found in black plastic, had about a 300 percent increase in their risk of dying from cancer compared with people who had the lowest levels, according to a study released this year. In a separate study, published in a peer-reviewed journal this month, researchers from the advocacy group Toxic-Free Future and from Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam found that, out of all of the consumer products they tested, kitchen utensils had some of the highest levels of flame retardants.
Read 4 tweets
Eric Feigl-Ding Profile picture
Oct 29
⚠️MASK MANDATE RETURNING TO ALL NIH PATIENT CLINICS—Effective November 4, 2024, masking will be required in all patient care & waiting rooms. Furthermore, testing for COVID, flu A, flu B, and RSV will be required for all inpatients & rooming-in visitors.
cc.nih.gov/patient-servic…Image
Image
2) This means wearing a mask will be REQUIRED in all patient care areas, including waiting rooms. ➡️This change is due to an anticipated increase in COVID-19 and other respiratory virus activity in the community. 😷
3) I think people should stock up on COVID tests again. The Cheapest COVID test on the U.S. market is now as low as $1.50 with special promo code “COV20”… expiring Jan or March 2025.

store.pharmalynk.com/products/advin…Image
Read 6 tweets

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