1/8

Jeff's comments are spot on and deserve expansion in a 🧵

It is part of a disturbing trend over the last few months of financial institutions and Govts "just taking" (stealing) other people's money in broad daylight.
@CliffordAsness @jdorman81

2/8

Canada's emergencies act allowed Ottawa to freeze the accounts (steal) the money of protesting truckers without any due process.
3/8

Also, the emergencies act created "retroactive laws" (nice Orwellian term) to say when you donated to the truckers it was legal, but now it is not so you are retroactively in violation of the law so Canada can freeze (steal) your money without due process.
4/8

gofundme closed the Canadian truckers account (with $9m) and if the donors did not figure out how to request a refund gofundme would donate it to a charity of their choosing (stealing).

gofundme backed off after a big social media outcry and processed refunds automatically.
5/8

Western Govts block Russia from Swift/central banks, effectively freezing (stealing) their reserves.

Western Govts confiscated the assets and money of rich Russian citizens (Oligarchs), including the EPL team Chelsea and London properties from its owner.
6/8

Now we have the LME canceling 9,000 trades worth $4b effectively using this money (stolen) from "regular" traders to bailout a Chinese Tycoon.

wsj.com/articles/the-m…
7/8

You may not like some or all of the players above and believe they should be punished. That's fine.

But understand we have crossed a Rubicon in the last few months that financial institutions and Govts can take money because they do not like that person or their activities.
8/8

Or your net worth is zero. My net worth is zero. All of our net worth is the property of the financial institution that holds it.

And as long as we behave and do not displeasure them, we are allowed to use some of their property (money) for our use.

Be sure to thank them.

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More from @biancoresearch

Mar 12
1/4

Get ready for BOOMING March CPI, as I explain in this 🧵, it could be something rarely seen in the last 70 years.

Here is the last 70 years of monthly CPI. It is rare for CPI to gain at least 1% in a month. I noted the story behind in many of these gains. Image
2/4

All spikes >1% occurred with a spike in food or energy.

Sept 2005, Hurricane Katrina broke energy infrastructure.

As the chart below show, in the 16 days around Katrina, gasoline prices leapt 46 cents.

But note the current hike in gasoline is 80 cents, through yesterday. Image
3/4

That 46-cent spike in gas lead a massive 1.4% jump in Sept 2005 CPI. Again, we are working on 80-cent rise.

Back in 2005, it was only gas prices that jump. Now it's all commodities spiking, and we are starting from a base of 0.6% core and 0.8% CPI. Image
Read 4 tweets
Mar 10
1/8

A 🧵on the LME situation and why it should bother anyone in mkts.

A blatant disregard for the rules, to protect one Chinese Tycoon against the market.

This is far worse than GameStop.

I tried to keep this as simple as possible. Pls correct in the replies.
2/8

Tsingshan is China’s largest nickel producer. $40B in revenues

It is run by its founder, Xiang Guangda. His moniker is “big shot.” Take that to mean he has a huge ego.

He shorted 100,00 tons of Nickel, yes, that’s a huge amount.
3/8

He was counseled to reign in this massive short. But he’s “big shot” and runs Tsingshen, so he “knows better.”

In retrospect, this position was causing mkt imbalances. This imbalance often shows up when all mkts are stressed, like they were/are with Russia invading Ukraine.
Read 9 tweets
Mar 4
1/11

Reading between the lines and it sounds like Shell's trading arm cannot be controlled.

A 🧵to explain.

ft.com/content/9aecf0…
2/11
Shell Monday:

When [Shell] revealed on Monday plans to exit its joint venture in Russia, its chief executive Ben van Beurden said he was shocked by the loss of life in Ukraine, resulting from a “senseless act” of military aggressive, which “threatens European security” ...
3/11

... “Our decision to exit is one we take with conviction,” he said. “We cannot — and we will not — stand by.”

---

Ok Shell made a decision to walk away from Russia.
Read 11 tweets
Mar 4
*UKRAINE'S KULEBA: RUSSIA FIRING ON ZAPORIZHZHIA NUCLEAR PLANT

Markets are freaking out that Russia is bombing a nuclear power plant!

10-year yield down 16 basis points in 30 minutes (below)

ES futures down about 70 handles over the same time period.
picture of the facility
Russian forces are firing on the Zaporizhzhia Nuclear Plant, Ukrainian Foreign Minister Kuleba said, adding that a fire has broken out.

Earlier, the IAEA confirmed that the Russian military is battling now outside the gates of Europe’s and Ukraine’s biggest nuclear power plant.
Read 5 tweets
Mar 3
In 1917 when the Bolsheviks seized power they renounced the debt, known as czar bonds. Over the ensuing decades speculators bought them for a penny or two on the dollar thinking they would hit the lottery and one or a few might pay.

History repeats
Finally in 1997, 80 years later, after the Soviet Union fell, the Russian government made a small payment on some of these bonds, mainly to French bond holders. And the French government taxed most of it away.

nytimes.com/2000/11/19/wor…
Hold that penny or two in cash equivalents (t-bills) over those decades produced a far superior return.
Read 4 tweets
Feb 23
1/6

Short 🧵on recent market action

S&P correction is now 12%, largest since spring of 2020 Image
2/6

The Russell 2000 (small cap stocks) is back into media defined bear market territory. Image
3/6

NASDAQ Composite approaching media defined bear market levels. Image
Read 6 tweets

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