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Trent Telenko Profile picture
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Mar 14 • 7 tweets • 3 min read
This is the single most important logistical map for this latest Russian invasion of Ukraine.

If other Ukraine military situation maps do not include rail lines like this.

They are misinforming you.
When the Ukrainians announced the destruction of a Russian force of 200 vehicles and he destruction of a headquarters in Melitopol.

It means the rail head at Melitopol and those Russian advanced lines going north & east from there are in grave peril
2/
...because a Ukrainian Army unit of at least Brigade size is sitting on their lines of communications.

Kyiv _IS NOT_ cut off from rail resupply from NATO.

The Ukrainian forces at the Donbas _ARE NOT_ cut off from major resupply.
3/
This 'minimalist' Putin Regime strategic territorial objective in Ukraine is nowhere near reality.

4/
Returning to the Ukrainian raid at Melitopol, It isn't a true surprise.

Nor are any of the others including the Kherson rocket artillery kill of 30 Russian helicopters

It is Gen Zobrodskyi's 2014 Donbas raiding doctrine executed Ukrainian Army wide
5/
Gen Zobrodskyi's raids in 2014 saved the Ukrainian Army, twice.

Phil Karber walks you through them a this link.

6/
It is the Zobrodskyi Raiding doctrine that Ukraine is repeatedly using to cut off the tentacles of Russian advance by shattering Russian Army logistics over and over again.

Give that Karber link a listen and you will understand the patterns of The Ukraine War.

7/End

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More from @TrentTelenko

Trent Telenko Profile picture
Mar 15
This is an important WW1 history note vis-a-vis' Russian artillery use in Ukraine.

None of the Russian arty ammo stocks being used now in Ukraine were planned for by Putin's military, just like happened with the belligerents at the beginning of WW1.👇👇👇
1/
WW1 & WW2 history gives us some clues/signs to look for as to whether Russia has such shortages

o Reduced artillery use
o Much higher dud rate due to use of "time expired" ammunition whose propellent & explosives are unstable
o Substitution of mortars for heavier artillery
2/
And by "mortar substitution," I mean we will be seeing Russian made 240mm mortars in action.

Text via Strategy page

"This Russian 240mm mortar remains useful despite short range (about 9,700 meters) because it is accurate and effective at that range,
3/
 strategypage.com/htmw/htart/art…
Read 8 tweets
Trent Telenko Profile picture
Mar 14
The ability of non-state actors UAV's to play SEAD games by going after Patriot C-band emitters with this radar interference tracking tool is a threat not to be underestimated.

fas.org/blogs/security…
Patriot and other SAM radars will have to shift to using lower power wideband frequency hopping to push the peak power below the threshold of the satellites.
2/
Militaries are going to need to play the WW2 style close range anti-drone air defense of primary air defense weapons like the quad-.50 cal Maxon turret was shielding 40mm autocannon and 90 mm HAA from strafing fighters.

3/
Read 4 tweets
Trent Telenko Profile picture
Mar 13
Since I'm seeing a lot of misinformation surfacing about the Ukrainian logistical posture. It is time for a thread🧵on planes, trains and automobiles in the Ukraine war in relation to NATO Lend Lease.

Where are the Russian red arrows compared to the Ukrainian train tracks?
1/
None of those red arrows cut off rail lines going to Kyiv, Odessa & deeply into the East Ukraine right up to the Donbas battle area.

The Eastern 1/3 of Ukraine is under UAF air superiority. Putin cannot shut down Ukrainian trains filled with East European ammo & EU fuel
2/
...provided for free.

This is why you are seeing lines of Ukrainian infantry with anti-tank rockets for a 1/2 dozen NATO states so quickly on the battle line.
3/
Read 18 tweets
Trent Telenko Profile picture
Mar 12
Alright, Mud, Road & Truck logistics thread🧵

This Russian media still & Drone video piece has a lot of "Admissions against self-interest."

I would like people to look at the Ukrainian roads and what this Russian Army convoy has to do to get around
1/
these destroyed Ukrainian vehicles.

First, undestroyed Ukrainian roads suck.

2nd the Russians are using bigger truck convoys. This is a tactical improvement in that there are fewer targets for Ukrainian Territorial "Road Burning Sweeps" or Spetsnaz kill teams.
2/
3rd, the Russians haven't put _ANY_ combat or civil engineering efforts to clear wrecks and open lanes for their trucks.

Heck, a T-72 tank with a bulldozer blade could have cleared those wrecks in 30 minutes so the convoy didn't have to slow down past that bottle neck.

3/
Read 6 tweets
Trent Telenko Profile picture
Mar 12
Something you should look for is the faces of the Ukrainian troops.

Mariupol is surrounded and besieged.

The appearance of these marines- glee and joy - this is like watching a Viking berserkergang live & in the 21st Century.

I expected to see this. Long🧵
1/
Because I saw it in 2015 and wrote about just this in relation to the Ukrainian VDV "Cyborgs" fight for the Donetsk Airport Terminal building from July 2014 until 22 January 2015.

Ukraine’s Viking Revival
January 29, 2015
chicagoboyz.net/archives/47214…
2/
This Ukrainian propaganda video gives you a visual/cultural/musical feel for what is going on in the hearts and minds of Ukrainians.

3/
Read 21 tweets
Trent Telenko Profile picture
Mar 12
This thread 🧵shows Ukrainian Territorials playing the same role as US Revolutionary militia in filling the battle space between formed armies like the latter did against the British Army in Philadelphia.

Only formed Russian BTG can bull through these people.

1/
Non-BTG Russian convoys are getting shot up like the American relief convoy was in the Movie BlackHawk Down.

But they lack the professional soldiers & aerial recon that let American navigate Mogadishu

We are seeing Ukrainians do the the Finnish Motti
2/
...across a battle space the size of Texas.

Putin lost this war the day he decided to invade in exactly the same wat Hitler lost WW2 the day he decided to invade Russia.

Karma is a b--ch.
3/End
Read 4 tweets

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