Sergej Sumlenny Profile picture
Mar 13 7 tweets 2 min read
(THREAD) In Berlin, there are news about an arsonist attack against a Russian school. This news should be enjoyed with tons of salt. Most probably it was a Russia-organised attack. Why? Read here 👇
1) Russians have a long story of fabricating news about "attacks" on Russians...
1 cont) For example, in 2016 Russian media have fabricated and pushed through all social networks a story about a Russian 14 y.o. girl raped by a gang, including brutal torture, and racist violence from Berlin police. Russian media tried to weaponise Russian community in Germany.
2) Now, my Russian-speaking friends send me many "news" from Russian social networks telling stories about Russian girls attacked by a German mob, missed or brutalised. These is what ongoing in networks, and many Russians believe it and repeat these stories as own to media;
3) Arsonist false flag attacks are typical for RU secret services. In 2018, RU-linked Polish neo Nazis have attacked Hungarian Culture Center in Ukrainian Uzhhorod to sell it as a "UKR Nazis attack". The arsonist attack was organised and paid by Russia-linked German far-rights.
3 cont) This was one of a few completely investigated cases, and a Polish court has judged on this case, all links are proven therefore: t-online.de/nachrichten/de…?
4) There is no history of anti-Russian attacks in Germany since decades. Quite the opposite: RU community enjoys a very good, even romanticised view from the Germans. German mass demonstrations for Ukraine often have RU flags too - as a symbol of solidarity to "common Russians";
5) To imagine that Germans or Ukrainians will suddenly switch from good contacts to the community to attacks on kids (!) is impossible. Taking into consideration the history of Russian false flag operations, we may say, it is highly likely that Russian agents attacked the school.

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More from @sumlenny

Mar 12
I've stayed in this hotel in Chernihiv for the first time in 2014, with my colleagues from Moscow who I've brought to Ukraine to show them this country. Later, I stayed here many times amid my bicycle trips, and even have visited its great restaurant with my kids. Now it's gone.
These are photos from my visit to this hotel and Chernihiv with my kids some years ago. The pics are still on my smartphone. I have told my kids today, the hotel was destroyed by Russians. The kids remembered the hotel and the city.
Beautiful Chernihiv, one of the cutest and most comfortable Ukrainian cities, a capital with 1000+ years history, the home of UNESCO-capable cathedrals and cave monasteries, the city of parks, hills, bicycle lanes and Chernihivske beer - now in ruins. Russians destroy everything.
Read 4 tweets
Mar 8
THREAD Let me speculate about what expects us after this war. First of all, I expect, Ukraine will win this war, and Russia will loose. Dependent on the level of Western support (incl the level of sanctions) Ukraine will suffer bigger or smaller losses: civilians, inf.structure/1
Russian economy will suffer a complete collapse. Already now Russian economy is weaker than Ukrainian. In contrary to Ukraine, Russia is extremely centralized and dependent on natural resources. Ukraine is diversified and free. Ukraine will also get Western monetary support /2
Within next weeks, Ukrainians will wipe out not only Russian army, but also (much more important for Russia!) terror police units: OMON, SOBR etc. Occupational forces in Russia-occupied national republics will no longer exist. Bashkortostan, Tatarstan, Sakha and others go free /3
Read 16 tweets
Mar 7
In 2002-2006, Ukraine has destroyed over 30 Tu-22M strategic bombers, 19 Tu-160 strategic bombers (a Soviet version of B-2), and 225 cruise missiles X-22 for them - the biggest fleet worldwide, more than the US or Russia. The US has pushed Ukraine to destroy them all and paid $8m
This was the part of de-arming Ukraine after the Budapest memorandum, as the US convinced Ukrainians, their border will be secure amid guarantees given by the US, UK and Russia, and all Ukraine needs to do is to destroy its strategic arms and remain naked.
If Ukraine had these bombers + cruise missiles now, Russian would suffer from incredible losses across all the territory of Russia, and therefore would never risk to attack Ukraine. Effectively, by de-arming only Ukraine, the US let Russian aggression happen. You are in debt, US!
Read 4 tweets
Mar 5
Amid Russia’s genocidal war on Ukraine, Russians go to the streets and… rush to IKEA to buy furniture before IKEA’s closure in Russia. The level of indifference to war crimes committed by their country is beyond any imagination.
Russia’s leading business daily Vedomosti advises its readers to take holidays (Russians have a long weekend now, as March 8th is a holiday) and go to old cities not far from Moscow to enjoy food, horse riding and to relieve stress.
While Russians find their excuse not to protest in the risks of being arrested, Ukrainian protest against Russian army in occupied city of Kherson, facing Russian gunfire.
Read 4 tweets
Mar 4
THREAD I know it sounds contra-intuitive, but it feels that Russia and its army are about to collapse. RU obviously has no reserves left: the tanks they send to the front are very old, without active armor, look like training machines. They do not have trucks, using civilian ones
Russian flat-bombing of Ukrainian cities is the opposite of what a nation which is about to conquer its wealthy neighbor (and Ukrainian province is wealthier than Russia's one) It is a sign of desperation. Exactly as the attempt to use Red-Cross-marked trucks as ammo transports/2
Within the last days, the amount of Russian warplanes and helicopters shot by Ukrainian army, is increased: at least 4 warplanes and 1 helicopter. We are in the 10th day of war, and Ukrainian air defense is still working, and Russian pilots (the elite of the elite) are dying /3
Read 12 tweets
Mar 2
Reg. "Ukraine may not film POWs!". It is allowed. One may not humiliate POWs, but there is no ban on filming. And as the aggressor denies the very existence of own POWs, it is in their interest to be filmed + identified, so their families could be informed they are alive and fine
Here is the text of the related article. It is clear, that treatment which can cause harm to health or even death are banned. "Public curiosity" is banned also, but it relates to public demonstration of POWs (for example, to let POWs march through a civil crowd to "present" them)
For example, a show-like march of Ukrainian POWs in Donetsk in 2014, as they were exposed to violence and insults, was a clear violation of the Convention. Filming of a formalised interrogation is not.
Read 7 tweets

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