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Sergej Sumlenny

@sumlenny

Mar 4

THREAD I know it sounds contra-intuitive, but it feels that Russia and its army are about to collapse. RU obviously has no reserves left: the tanks they send to the front are very old, without active armor, look like training machines. They do not have trucks, using civilian ones

Russian flat-bombing of Ukrainian cities is the opposite of what a nation which is about to conquer its wealthy neighbor (and Ukrainian province is wealthier than Russia's one) It is a sign of desperation. Exactly as the attempt to use Red-Cross-marked trucks as ammo transports/2

Within the last days, the amount of Russian warplanes and helicopters shot by Ukrainian army, is increased: at least 4 warplanes and 1 helicopter. We are in the 10th day of war, and Ukrainian air defense is still working, and Russian pilots (the elite of the elite) are dying /3

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Sergej Sumlenny

@sumlenny

Mar 2

Reg. "Ukraine may not film POWs!". It is allowed. One may not humiliate POWs, but there is no ban on filming. And as the aggressor denies the very existence of own POWs, it is in their interest to be filmed + identified, so their families could be informed they are alive and fine

Here is the text of the related article. It is clear, that treatment which can cause harm to health or even death are banned. "Public curiosity" is banned also, but it relates to public demonstration of POWs (for example, to let POWs march through a civil crowd to "present" them)

For example, a show-like march of Ukrainian POWs in Donetsk in 2014, as they were exposed to violence and insults, was a clear violation of the Convention. Filming of a formalised interrogation is not.

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Sergej Sumlenny

@sumlenny

Mar 2

The (unconfirmed) news that a Russian warship had been hit and sunk near Odesa are actually not surprising. In contrary to Russian Army which is capable to win amid huge losses, Russian Navy is traditionally not capable even to that. Its history is a history of defeats (THREAD)

According to RU historical tradition, RU Navy was founded by Peter I, an admirer of the West and the founder of Petersburg. He invested huge money and manpower in fleet, but its most famous victory remains Gangut battle: 99 RU ships v 9 SWE (sic!) The fleet has rotten after Peter

Later 18th early 19th, RU fleet tried to compete on the Black Sea and Mediterranean. Admiral Ushakov was pretty effective against TURK fleet. Still, RU gains on the Black Sea were not to protected agains world powers. Amid Crimean war 1854, RU just sunk own fleet in Sevastopol.

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Sergej Sumlenny

@sumlenny

Mar 1

Now Russia targets Ukrainian media, bombs Kyiv public TV station, located directly at the Babyn Yar memorial site, where Nazis have killed over 30,000 Jews in 1941. So Putin is currently bombing memorial site for victims of the Europe's biggest massacre on Jews.

A normal denazification: you arrest Nazis, educate your people not to attack neighbour countries, be nice.
Russian "denazification": your chauvinist president wants to annex neighbours, attacks every country around him, kills civilians and bombs Holocaust memorial site.

This map demonstrates the proximity of Babyn Yar Holocaust memorial site and the public TV station.

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Sergej Sumlenny

@sumlenny

Feb 27

This war will change Ukraine, Russia and Europe. A THREAD:
1) Ukrainian army is demonstrating extraordinary efficiency. Nobody expected (me too) that Ukrainian Air Defence will be that resilient. Ukrainian ground forces are the strongest in Europe. Cities' defence is very good;

2) Ukrainians are crushing Russian units and celebrating this. This is the level of moral developed within 8 years of the war. In 2014, Ukrainian army was not ready to shoot at Russian aggressor. In 2022, it is looking for a fight and enjoys it, knowing, they protect freedom;

3) We are witnessing an exceptional quantum leap in development of Ukrainian society. Maidan has given birth to modern Ukrainian political nation. But it remained divided: "Porokhobot", "Zelena Plisnyava" and other division. Now Ukrainian society has got grown, adult, and PhD;

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Sergej Sumlenny

@sumlenny

Feb 24

#Breaking THREAD Ukrainian Army Commander in Chief: at 00:00 25.02. Ukrainian army
in the South:
- Defends positions north to Kherson (Kherson lost?)
- Cars bridge at Kherson re-taken, UA army on Dnipro left bank;
- At Rykove, Russian offensive stopped, Russians suffer losses; /1

In the North:
- Fighting next to Hlukhiv (very close to RU border), Russian column stopped;
- 1st Tank Brigade stopped Russians on the Bilous river close to Chernihiv;
- In Volyn UA army set on defensive positions; /2

In the East:
- Defensive fights at Kharkiv, Sumy, Dovzhanka, Okhtyrka (no info who controls Sumy given);
- In Okhtyrka next wave of Russians stopped; /3

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