Dr Dan Goyal Profile picture
Mar 16 5 tweets 2 min read
DEAR New Zealanders,

Have you lost your bloody minds?

Arden has taken you through the worst part of the pandemic with less pain and suffering than any of us thought possible. Instead of giving her (and her team) a medal and gratitude you are..

theguardian.com/world/2022/mar…
NZ is the thorn in the side of right-wing, libertarian ideology...the proof that a considered, state response to global threats are far, far superior to a 'free-market' response (look at the US!). They would love to see NZ fall apart...
NZ Covid legends!

To PM Arden (@jacindaardern)

From my colleagues and I, I thank you and your team. Yes, you have saved 10s of thousands of NZ lives and 100s of thousands livelihoods. But more, all future pandemics will be measured against your success and the amazing achievement of the NZ...
...people. At the dawn of the next pandemic we will ask, can we hold it at bay until we have treatments and vaccines...how did NZ do it? Your clarity and determination may help save millions.

I hope you stay in office. I wonder what a sharp mind like yours focused on the...
...public interest will achieve. But if not, could you have dreamed of making such an impact both in NZ and globally, both now and for decades to come?

Finish the job at hand! Save as many as you can. The toddlers will get upset, but in time they will all see the truth.
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More from @danielgoyal

Mar 16
Johnson removed Covid protections to save his job.

The consequences are not only an increase in the chance of getting Covid for us all,...

...his decision has also led to a dramatically reduced vaccine uptake.

1/7
After a monumental effort by the NHS we achieved a good start to boosting the population... Image
We were doing well with boosters in December. Image
Read 16 tweets
Mar 15
What’s been happening This Week in Covid?

The schism between reality and policy grew even wider this week...

Omicron B.2 sent cases soaring and stock markets sinking!

#TheWeekInCovid
The US, Russia, Italy, and the UK continue to lead the ‘Covid Catastrophe’ League Table. Excluding Russia, this takes Covid deaths in these countries beyond WW2 civilian deaths.
As our grandparents faced conscription and war, our generation seems too precious to wear a simple face covering when out and about…apparently it’s more of a threat to liberty than death and disability. Yes, logic takes a serious hit this week too…
Read 25 tweets
Mar 13
Much of the scientific community railed against a wide-reaching Financial Times article:

“Vaccines and Omicron mean Covid now less deadly than flu in England”

As a fact, it was a bold claim. In regards to journalistic duty, there are other questions.
🧵
ft.com/content/e26c93…
In fairness to the article itself, the authors took significant effort to emphasise that even with the same mortality risk as Flu (we will come to the accuracy of that later) the overall risk of Covid remains high.
Here they provide an estimate of 50% increase in winter deaths:
Indeed, reading the article through, one could have made a completely different headline:

“Despite Covid’s falling mortality risk it still remains the most dangerous infection in the UK.”
Read 24 tweets
Mar 10
Now that Covid is over (🤦‍♂️) let's look at how the High Income Countries have performed.

▪️Covid deaths
▪️Excess deaths
▪️Mortality rates
▪️Vaccination Rates
▪️Loss of freedoms
▪️Economy.

How did your country do?

🧵
Total number of civilians lost to Covid.
This will likely be the measure most recorded in the history books.

Note the over ten-fold difference in deaths between those who suppressed the virus prior to vaccine and anti-viral treatments being available.
There are though other impacts of Covid defining success. A big one is the impact on other healthcare services. Difficult to measure in its totality but here is overall excess deaths....

This is how many people died who wouldn't have had Covid not appeared.
Read 12 tweets
Mar 9
The Week In Covid.

March 8th 2021

A weekly summary of what's happening with Covid.

#TheWeekInCovid
While some world leaders try their best to convince their citizens that "Covid is Over", Covid remains the biggest killer of all infectious diseases worldwide.

➡️ 500K more deaths since 2022.
➡️➡️ 52K deaths reported in the last week...
A more detailed analysis carried out in the US (@cynthiaccox and co @KFF) showed Covid was the second leading cause of death in the US, even before Omicron hit in Dec '21

...and the leading cause of death in the 45-54 age group!!!

So, no, not a disease of the elderly!
Read 25 tweets
Mar 8
Pandemic Mistakes
Part 3 of 10

One of the worst pandemic mistakes, IMO:

In the UK in April 2020, a nationwide directive to ration oxygen was issued.

Rationing oxygen, in the UK!

🧵

#PandemicMistakes
A bit of background:

1. For the vast majority of Covid patients, the lower part of the lungs are unaffected. Most symptoms come from the infection in the upper airways, but don't affect our ability to absorb oxygen.

2. Severe Covid is defined as the requirement for oxygen...
...this means the lower lungs are affected.

[Picture shows Severe Covid. Unique pattern in the very lower parts of the lungs. The red = inflamed. Blue = normal. Where it is red, the ability to transfer oxygen into the blood is reduced]
Read 22 tweets

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