Thread by @HoansSolo

Short summary of the military situation in Ukraine (March 16) 👇🧵

Limited🇷🇺 progress:

-slow 🇷🇺 advances in North to encircle Kyiv.
-Cont. 🇷🇺 slow but steady advances in South/East (especially in Donetsk Oblast

- 🇺🇦 defenses remain intact; some counterattacks
succeeded.

Situation around Kyiv: "We estimate Russian forces are still about 15-20km to the northwest and about 20-30km to the east. Ukrainians hold Brovary and are still defending Kyiv." (per U.S. DoD briefer)

Kyiv is not (yet) besieged.

h/t @DanLamothe
maps: @HN_Schlottman

🇷🇺 made progress in the South north of Dnpr:
-cont. 🇷🇺 advances in direction of Kryvyi Rih and Nikopol / Zaporizhzhia.
- 🇷🇺cont. offensives towards Kryvyi Rih
-conflicting reports about 🇷🇺 advances around Mykolaiv (city needs to fall/be fully encircled before push on Odessa).

There were some indications of preparagions for a possible amphibious assault on Odessa. However, unclear why this would take place without Russian forces advancing east of Mykolaiv.

https://twitter.com/CovertShores/status/1503732767569420296?s=20&t=81Dm05HrCpkSlc2Vw_EU0g

No major updates here: Continued shelling of shelling of Mykolaiv/Mariupol in South and Chenihi/Kharkiv in North/Northeast; 🇷🇺 forces are still attempting to encircle Chernihiv.

🇷🇺 forces appear to have been most successful in the East, in particular near Horlivka where they reportedly broke through 🇺🇦 defenses and reached Panteleimonivka (unconfirmed).

map: @Militarylandnet

🇺🇦 forces shelled Kherson airport. There have also been unconfirmed reports about Ukrainian forces having launched a counter-attack towards Kherson.

https://twitter.com/konrad_muzyka/status/1503778054753107968?s=20&t=GZDNx1l8VNPjAIjiDGIjqQ

Overall, 🇷🇺 continue to face manpower issues.

As @GresselGustav pointed out in an interview,
🇷🇺 may attempt to generate additional forces by pressing conscripts whose service ends on April 1 to sign new contracts with the Russian Armed Forces.

h/t @DefenceHQ

🇷🇺 major equipment losses: 1349, of which: destroyed: 581, damaged: 24, abandoned: 209, captured: 535

🇺🇦 major equipment losses: 360, of which: destroyed: 135, damaged: 5, abandoned: 47, captured: 173

oryxspioenkop.com/2022/02/attack…

Another update on the attack on the Russian-occupied Kherson Airbase.

https://twitter.com/RALee85/status/1504008168292208643?s=20&t=RPfaZVa6qNbsCbENmO-0QA