The Soviets put enormous effort into trying to convince the British media/MI6 that Sir Roger Hollis, the best UK counter intelligence professional, was actually "the Fifth Man". The Peter Wright book was a product of this. The Russians do not waste time on the already compromised
There was no upside for the Russians in facilitating a serious disinformation op against Biden to stop him becoming President - the Russians knew Biden, his family's corrupt racket & that Biden himself was not what he was ... the Russians esp wanted the last 2 years' calamities.
The Russians collect compromising material on everyone aka kompromat but the Kremlin would never impede foreign VIPs (as compromised by dealings on the Russian periphery like the Bidens) from achieving high office in the US. The Kremlin wants compromised people in high office.
The Hillary/Trump campaign in 2016 had no downside for Russia. Hillary was known to them, employed clownish advisors & Bill had trousered $$$ from Russian banks. As for Trump, he sold overpriced real estate to Russian oligarchs & was a neophyte enough to hire Paul Manafort.
The main Russian objective - since the Tsarist Ohkrana - is causing chaos in the adversary's domestic realm by sowing divisions and sowing enough truth amid its lies. I have mentioned before Josef Konrad's The Secret Agent. You were a fool to believe what you were being told.
No one in the Kremlin needed to do anything re Hunter Biden. It was the perfect storm - an obviously not quite 100% presidential candidate plus a family that had been trading off the candidate's career for decades. The corruption & nepotism was obvious to everyone except the MSM.
The Chinese and Iranians have learned all this from the Russians. Do not be surprised by what you learn in the next decade or so about how compromised and bought off (esp in retirement after favours done) are prominent Western politicians & their families by foreign adversaries
None of this is Left/Right as much as politicians/people of influence (of all political persuasions) who are up for sale. Very often they have a divorce or wastrel children or bad business dealings & they need money. They have goods for trade with the Kremlin, Beijing, Tehran etc

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More from @GrayConnolly

Mar 16
Apropos a few matters here: in 2022, sadly, there are, actually, very few, esp in media, who will defend the rule of law, particularly for people they disagree with, or for unpopular people. Scoff now but one day it could be you relying on the presumption of innocence & proof BRD
One of social media's few benefits is you see who of the very opinionated/online people are prepared to defend the rule of law when the media are at their most feral & their resulting herd stampedes. Today, someone you dislike may be targeted ...tomorrow? It may be you? Roper?
A crime occurred when A does B to C, on date X, at time Y, at place Z. Police investigate these allegations. A prosecution is brought. There is either evidence beyond a reasonable doubt to convict A for crime B - or there is not. Courts determines this matter - not mobs.
Read 6 tweets
Mar 1
As it is Ash Wednesday tomorrow - any Catholics doing this “I am Twitter fasting for Lent because I have issues” (when being online here is a penance) is in grave sin & a shows a lack of zeal for evangelisation of the masses and correction of error … as the Holy Office held.🇻🇦
Further to the above, the Papal censure against Quietism and the like remains in force - do not try and forgo your duty as a Catholic to poast in order affect some neo protestant pose, like some Mike Baird, over promoted youth minister
The job of Catholics in Lent, as in the various old times when the Ottomans were at the gates of Vienna, is to fight through and to poast through, come what may. Really like the Maccabees (the Prots do not have those books, either). Rome has spoken etc
Read 6 tweets
Feb 27
Some #Realpolitik - very unlikely, even if Russia's campaign failed, that much changes - Putin, removed, Khruschev like, is replaced by someone with Putin's views & but also the competency to have removed Putin. Too much wishcasting. Russia like Iran is a semi-garrison state.
Agree with @SamoBurja here - Russia's various centres of power all align with the view that Russia must be strong and assertive. The replacement for Putin would simply say, I can do this more competently.

There remains this almost religious Western liberal belief that, when they see some Russian or Iranian expat on TV, who speaks English & says nice things & seems like someone they meet in the university cafeteria, that this person represents views of historically imperial powers.
Read 6 tweets
Feb 20
As of now: still unsure what has really happened in eastern Ukraine beyond usual skirmishing. Reports of 'imminent attacks' as yet not launched. Germans say they are in NATO but act as de facto Russian vassals. There comes a point where this drags on ... and on ... but then ...
The Germans claim to be a core NATO ally but in practice behave as a Russian vassal state … this is nothing short of embarrassing … what is “Cringe” in German?

cnbc.com/2022/02/19/ukr…
Resistance to Russian advances will come from Baltic (Poles & Baltic States) & Black (Turks) seas. The Russian ambition is Belarus & Ukraine, so north and south defensive flanks become concerns … why I mention Russia’s Kaliningrad enclave between Poland & the Baltics so often. Image
Read 63 tweets
Feb 15
Were I a betting man … Suspect that any Russian first move will likely be their Spetsnaz / GRU groups engaging behind UKR lines esp an assassination or decapitation strike to throw UKR Govt (and thus NATO responses) into chaos. This ISR picture would be normal then … not
Most western leaders are ex political hacks and decrepit - the strategic effect of the Russians taking out the Ukrainian leadership (while also invading Ukraine itself) would be immense. The Russians know this & ‘playing a home game’ would consider this a risk worth taking
The Tsar’s Okhrana operated dirty abroad. The Soviet plans for WW3 involved deep penetration (per Tukhachevsky and successors) and the use of assassination, sabotage, and chaos, behind their enemy’s lines. The Russian state has never (and would never) renounce these doctrines.
Read 5 tweets
Feb 15
Apparently, PJ O’Rourke has passed on. A very funny writer in his early work who would make sacred cows into hamburgers. Sadly his interesting youthful rebellion saw him become successively Neocon and then scold, becoming the Boomer he had deplored. A lesson for all. May he RIP.
Even if they have the wrong PJ O'Rourke, that is my judgment on the man's work. RIP or otherwise to his family.
PJ O’Rourke’s best work is debatable but his “Ferrari refutes the decline of the West” genre was hilarious …somehow this guy went from lampooning people like Hillary to supporting Hillary when Trump in all his insanely funny poasting ways was the next stage of PJ’s politics
Read 5 tweets

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