One note on calling the KUB loitering munition an autonomous weapons system:

Describing the KUB as a lethal autonomous weapons system (LAWS) shows the definitional difficulty, if not confusion, over what is meant by full autonomy in a weapon.
KUB loitering munitions can likely be operated with a human-in-the loop in the decision-making process or without depending on the configuration of the system.
Even if the KUB loitering munition is programmed to attack targets without requiring data connectivity between the operator and the munition--in effect, a “fire, forget and find” capability’—then it is debatable whether the KUB would meet the criteria for a fully LAWS.
In terms of deploying autonomous UAVs, the Russian defense industry is still in the early developmental stages and is in the process of catching up with other major military powers, including the US and China.
Russia’s conceptual emphasis on the use of UAVs seems to focus on the development of AI-enabled UAV swarms, of which several remain in their testing phase.
Here is a @IISS_org report highlighting some of these issues based on a workshop with @SamBendett @RikeFranke @TheDEWLine @GresselGustav @M__Verbruggen et. al on armed UAVs and the challenges of autonomy.
iiss.org/blogs/research…

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More from @HoansSolo

Mar 18
Short summary of the military situation in Ukraine (March 18)

Little change to overall operational picture:

-pace of 🇷🇺 ops has slowed down/stalled
-slow/stalled 🇷🇺 advances in North to encircle Kyiv; slow 🇷🇺 advances in South/East

Some developments👇

map: @Militarylandnet
- 🇺🇦 launched counterattacks northwest of Kyiv (unclear how successful)

-Russian forces reportedly took Izyum southeast of Kharkiv but were pushed out again.

-Russian attempts to bypass the city have reportedly thus far been unsuccessful.

map: @Militarylandnet
Shelling of Chernihiv, Sumy, and Kharkiv in North/Northeast ongoing; 🇷🇺 forces reportedly failed in their attempt to encircle Kharkiv from the east. No offensive operations around Sumy or Chernihiv.

(video: 🇷🇺 2S7 Pion 203mm heavy artillery firing in the direction of Kharkiv)
Read 11 tweets
Mar 17
(Very) short summary of the military situation in Ukraine (March 17) 👇🧵

Limited/stalled🇷🇺 progress:

-no noticeable🇷🇺 advances in North to encircle Kyiv.
-Cont. 🇷🇺 slow advances in South/East

-🇺🇦 reportedly launched various counter-attacks

map: @War_Mapper
No noticeable changes around Kyiv.

🇷🇺 forces reportedly launched a number of unsuccessful attacks northwest of Kyiv but were repulsed.
The pictures below still hold. 👇
Shelling of Chernihiv, Sumy, and Kharkiv in North/Northeast continues; 🇷🇺 forces reportedly failed in their attempt to encircle Kharkiv from the east. No offensive operations around Sumy or Chernihiv. 🇷🇺 forces are reportedly regrouping and getting resupplied in these areas.
Read 11 tweets
Mar 16
“[T]he 2-day bat­tle of Voz­ne­sensk, de­tails of which are only now emerg­ing, turned de­ci­sively against the Rus­sians.” Great reporting by @yarotrof 👇wsj.com/articles/ukrai…
“Judg­ing from the de­stroyed and aban­doned ar­mor, Ukrain­ian forces, which com­prised lo­cal vol­un­teers and the pro­fes­sional mil­i­tary, elim­i­nated most of a Russ­ian bat­tal­ion tac­ti­cal group on March 2 and 3.”
“We didn’t have a sin­gle tank against them, just rocket-pro­pelled grenades, Javelin mis­siles and the help of ar­tillery,” said Vadym Dom­brovsky, com­man­der of the Ukrain­ian spe­cial-forces re­con­nais­sance group in the area and a Voz­ne­sensk res­i­dent. “
Read 6 tweets
Mar 16
Rufe nach Spezialisierung des Bundesheeres auf einige wenige Waffengattungen, sowie die komplette Abschaffung des Kampfes der verbundenen Waffen, entbehren jeder militärischen & geopolitischen Logik egal ob Mitglied der NATO oder EU-Beistandspflicht.
Spezialisierung in einem Militärbündnis macht nur Sinn wenn grundlegende militärische Fähigkeiten erhalten bleiben, die in 🇦🇹aber auch in 🇩🇪 in den letzten 30 Jahren grob vernachlässigt wurden. Das lernte auch die NATO im letzten Jahrzehnt.
Die Zukunft der Kriegsführung liegt im Kampf der verbundenen Waffen oberhalb und unterhalb des offenen Konfliktspektrums. Dies wird durch emergente Technologien (z.b. KI, Cyber etc.) nur verstärkt. Streitkräfte müssen zu multi-dimensionalen Operationen fähig sein.
Read 7 tweets
Mar 16
Short summary of the military situation in Ukraine (March 16) 👇🧵

Limited🇷🇺 progress:

-slow 🇷🇺 advances in North to encircle Kyiv.
-Cont. 🇷🇺 slow but steady advances in South/East (especially in Donetsk Oblast

- 🇺🇦 defenses remain intact; some counterattacks
succeeded.
Situation around Kyiv: "We estimate Russian forces are still about 15-20km to the northwest and about 20-30km to the east. Ukrainians hold Brovary and are still defending Kyiv." (per U.S. DoD briefer)

Kyiv is not (yet) besieged.

h/t @DanLamothe
maps: @HN_Schlottman
🇷🇺 made progress in the South north of Dnpr:
-cont. 🇷🇺 advances in direction of Kryvyi Rih and Nikopol / Zaporizhzhia.
- 🇷🇺cont. offensives towards Kryvyi Rih
-conflicting reports about 🇷🇺 advances around Mykolaiv (city needs to fall/be fully encircled before push on Odessa).
Read 10 tweets
Mar 15
Short summary of the military situation in Ukraine (March 15) 👇🧵

Frontlines remain largely steady:

-stalled 🇷🇺 advance in North.
-Cont. 🇷🇺 slow advance in South/East.
- Again,🇷🇺 made most progress in Donetsk/Luhansk Oblasts
- 🇺🇦 defenses remain intact.

map: @War_Mapper Image
Steady progress in the South north of Dnpr:
-further 🇷🇺 advances in direction of Kryvyi Rih and Nikopol / Zaporizhzhia.
- 🇷🇺continued offensives towards Kryvyi Rih
-further 🇷🇺 advances around Mykolaiv (city needs to fall/be fully encircled before push on Odessa).
Continued shelling of shelling of Mykolaiv/Mariupol in South and Chenihi/Kharkiv in North/Northeast; 🇷🇺 forces are still attempting to encircle Chernihiv. (video: shelling of Kharkiv over night.)
Read 9 tweets

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