Another major extension for a couple #nuclear reactors. Instead of 5yrs, 8yrs for these two it will be yrs each. So, was 13yrs x 500k lbs, now 56years x 500k lbs of #uranium ~21.5 mln lbs of added demand. Just like that… world-nuclear-news.org/Articles/Fortu…
Restarts, extensions and new builds will just keep coming. With these Finnish reactors having been planned to shut down in a relatively short time they will likely have little to no surplus fuel beyond the expected life. Given the 2 yr fabrication cycle and obvious concerns…
About availability of conversion, enrichment and fabrication capacity due to Russian sanctions and Geo risk, aggressive #uranium contracting will need to occur quickly to make sure supplies are available and in the fuel cycle asap
It’s these extensions and restarts that will really ramp up demand fast. Blow the doors off the supply demand models that are so wrong it’s comical. #uranium price is set for and epic fast run to $200/lb and could see unimaginable heights given Russian sanctions and energy costs
There is really no price that won’t be paid to keep these reactors operating. $200, $500, $1000. Even $2000/lb would yield much cheaper operating costs thanks current electricity prices in Europe
We could easily see prices 2x-3x in just a couple of weeks as USA is poised to ban Russian #uranium and related services.

Hold on tight. It’s gonna get wild
Just for perspective… just these two Finnish reactors life extensions would consume half of paladins mine production for all of its peak years
When you start adding up all the restarts, extensions and new builds… it’s mind blowing. Few do the math. It’s crazy how bullish the numbers are. All known mining projects that even have a small chance of being permitted are needed two to three times over. It’s wildly bullish.
Best commodity story all time, ever, by far

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More from @BambroughKevin

Mar 20
Assessing / estimating #uranium demand isn’t about looking at the current spot market. When I talk about demand exploding, I’m looking at restarts, life extensions and new builds.

When we see announcements that Belgium or Finland are adding 10-20 yrs of life to their reactors
That instantly creates a large and unexpected jump in future demand. The #nuclear industry moves very slowly. The decision to extend life to reactors were not in the WNA supply demand forecasts that were already long term bullish. They are now wildly bullish…
But these utilities will still make purchases in steps. Official extension approvals must be papered, budgeting and financing sorted and approved. And the first effort to seek out future fuel supplies will be talking with fuel buyers who will put out RFP’s to mining companies
Read 26 tweets
Mar 10
Take note: Fuel buyers have been warned for years. We flat out told them this would happen. That they need to just be reasonable and fund 1st world #uranium mining production. That they should prepare for a bull market and new nuclear builds, extensions and restarts.
We told them that they should rely on Kazakhstan so much and certainly not Russia. But they put small dollars ahead of national security and for that matter global security.

We started finding SPUT $u.un $sruuf to buy #uranium because we could see this coming.
But they refused to buy. I’ve heard how angry some are and stubborn. Thinking they can wait out investors and somehow the price would come back down.

Even the worlds second largest producer argued in conference calls that we wouldn’t get a spike in pricing
Read 7 tweets
Mar 9
$56.50 trades
Bid ask 57.50/58
Sellers going to disappear
Read 4 tweets
Mar 9
@alejocardot⁩ is an amazing forensic accountant. When few could see the blow up of major Canadian debt funds coming, he could. Sadly billions to be lost… the cowards that promoted this crap are running for cover I hear. opmglobal.com/opmwire/globe-…
I imagine @ninepoint execs looking in the mirror and practicing the phrase ‘I do not recall’

Ya know why Alex found you? It’s not me that tipped him off like you are paranoidly suggesting to people… it was cause he googled ‘fund manager never had a loss’
Someone should be contacting @alejocardot to make a documentary film about how he fled his country because uncovering corruption meant he might be killed.
Read 13 tweets
Mar 8
Let me get this straight…USA banning Russia energy commodities but seems to be indicating they still want the #uranium

Japanese and Europeans talking of restarts, life extensions and new nuclear builds. Talking about wanting to get off Russia gas.. limit imports asap
So the entire western world is basically admitting they want/need Russian #uranium and enrichment services.

You don’t have to be a rocket scientist to imagine what Putins next move will be. Since the value off all Russian uranium exports to USA is likely sub $1bln per year…
Based on contracts and typical supply levels… I think it’s fairly obvious Putin will say no #uranium

They amount of money Russia makes per day off of oil gas and coal is more per day than they make in a year off #uranium

I also believe Kazakhstan exports will come into play.
Read 5 tweets
Mar 8
@goldseek Probably around $500/lb. 10x. Must remember that we are talking about US$2bln worth or #uranium at todays price. Even 5x or $250/lb it’s only $10b. Some fucking nickel company has got ~$12bln in loses in the futures market at the moment…
@goldseek $500/lb adds a few cents per kWh. It’s seriously fucking irrelevant. Germany dealing with spot electricity prices of $350 euros per MWh. The world doesn’t give a shit about #uranium prices. That’s why they will go north of $200/lb on this cycle.
@goldseek Someone can double check the math here’s..

350 euros per mwh is about 38c a kWh

#uranium price change of $25/lb change (say from $25 to $50 per lb U3O8) takes the fuel cost up 0.12C per kWh

$100/lb move up is 0.5c
$200/lb move up in uranium is will be 1c per kWh
Read 12 tweets

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