Warren Buffett's first ever commentary on Berkshire Hathaway $BRK from his partnership letters in 1965-66.
It's incredible to think Berkshire has become a ~$750 billion business.
Here's how it all started. ⬇️
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"Shares in Berkshire Hathaway had been acquired since November 1962 on much the same line of reasoning as prevailed in the security mentioned above".
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"In the case of Berkshire, however, we ended up purchasing enough stock to assume a controlling position ourselves rather than the more usual case of either selling our stock in the market or to another single buyer".
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"Our purchases of Berkshire started at a price of $7.60 per share in 1962. This price partially reflected large
losses incurred by the prior management in closing some of the mills made obsolete by changing conditions
within the textile business".
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"In the postwar period the company had slid downhill a considerable distance, having hit a peak in 1948 when about $29 1/2 million was earned before tax and about 11,000 workers were employed. This reflected output from 11 mills".
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"We acquired control in spring of 1965, Berkshire was down to two mills and about 2,300 employees. It was a pleasant surprise to find that the remaining units had excellent management personnel, and we have not had to bring a single man from the outside into the operation"
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"In relation to our beginning acquisition cost of $7.60 per share (the avg. cost, was $14.86 per share, reflecting very heavy purchases in early 1965), the company on Dec 31, 1965, had net working capital alone (before placing any value on the pp&e) of about $19 per share".
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"Berkshire is a delight to own. There is no question that the state of the textile industry is the dominant factor in
determining the earning power of the business, but we are most fortunate to have Ken Chace running the
business in a first-class manner"
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"While a Berkshire is hardly going to be as profitable as Xerox, Fairchild Camera or National Video in a
hypertensed market, it's a comfort able sort of thing to own. As my West Coast philosopher says, “It is
well to have a diet consisting of oatmeal as well as cream puffs.”
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"Because of our controlling interest, our investment in Berkshire is valued for our audit as a business, not as a
marketable security. If Berkshire advances $5 per share in the market, it does BPL no good - our holdings are
not going to be sold".
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"Similarly, if it goes down $5 per share, it is not meaningful to us. The value of our holding is determined directly by the value of the business. I received no divine inspiration in that valuation of our holdings".
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I've spent the last few nights reading Buffett's earliest writings. The commentary on Berkshire was captivating.
Early Buffett was a very different investor than we see today. He was focused on deep-value, workouts/special sits, illiquid small-caps & controlling positions
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Can $FB ride the next trend of Human Machine Interface (HMI) with Virtual & Augmented Reality?
Significant value creation comes from the company that dominates HMI. It’s why $AAPL has become of the best businesses in the world.
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Human Machine Interface is the hardware or software through which an operator interacts with a controller.
A HMI can range from a physical control panel with buttons and indicator lights to an industrial PC with a color graphics display running dedicated HMI software.
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Since the digital revolution, we have seen many shifts in HMI trends.
The late 20th century consisted of desktop computers that gradually became smaller & faster. It changed the workplace dramatically.
Warren Buffett on special situations and activist investing.
Before Buffett became a long-term GARP investor, he was more focused on special sits, illiquid, small-cap, deep value positions. He was even interested in companies he could take control of.
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Interestingly, Buffett's best returns came during the late 50's to 60's when he had a much different approach to investing.
This thread is a series of quotes from Buffett's 1961 partnership letter where he describes some of the opportunities he is looking for at the time.
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"Our second category of investments consists of 'work-outs.' These are securities whose financial results depend on corporate action rather than supply and demand factors created by buyers and sellers of securities".
Nick Sleep & Qais Zakaria managed the Nomad Investment Partnership for 12yrs from 2001-2013.
During that time they delivered 921% returns vs. 117% from the MSCI world index.
Their letters to shareholders have become one of the best resources available to investors.
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Nick Sleep has an endless amount of valuable lessons in his letters. I'd suggest any investor who hasn't read the letters to prioritise it.
Nick Sleep has become famous in the investing world for a lot of reasons, but most notable is his early investment in $AMZN and $COST
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Is this thread, I'm going to share Nick Sleep's original thesis on $COST in 2004.
He invested in Costco in 2002, but wrote extensively about the company in 2004. He never sold his shares. Since purchasing, Costco's share price has appreciated ~1400%.
What would you pay (market value) for this company? I’ll reveal the company later in the thread.
- Strong network effects, pricing power & a long runway for growth.
- Powerful IP that could be monetised in many different ways…
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- Loyal user base/fans. High retention rate and improving.
- $1.3 billion in sales, $606 million EBITDA. 47% EBITDA margins in FY21.
- FY21 revenue growth of 42% YoY.
- EBITDA has doubled over the past two years. ~41.5% CAGR….
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I’ll continue the thread after this tweet, but comment your guess below.
With limited information provided, I’d suggest any high quality US company with 47% EBITDA margins and a 41.5% CAGR would earn at least a 20x EBITDA multiple, probably much higher.