Missile solid fuel engines age out at 10 years and require a careful depot level engine replacement plus electronics refresh.
The US does this as a matter of course, Congressional budget permitting, but most FMS customers do not.
2/
@GRomePow At most, 30,000 of that 45,000 are available somewhere in the world with about half being both in possession to the US military and available as warshot.
The US Army will not drain stocks from Indo-Pacific units, 18th Airborne Corps or the Stryker brigades.
That leaves the
3/
@GRomePow ...stocks of the US National Guard, the US Army heavy brigades with Bradley fighting vehicles and new production missiles available for transfer to Ukraine.
That isn't 10K Javelin missiles.
It will be a lot less.
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The best people in the world at making evasive radar routing for drones and missiles in the world are the USAF officers and airmen at the Stand-off Munitions Activity Center (SMAC) at Barksdale AFB.
Instead, we are seeing the Russian Army use two man carry break bulk boxes of mortar & artillery ammunition like this.
2/
Pallets are fundamental to the mechanized movement of goods in a modern economy or military.
See:
"According to an article in a 1931 railway trade magazine, three days were required to unload a boxcar containing 13,000 cases of unpalletized canned goods. When the same
3/
People are looking at the raw numbers here, 🧵look at the casualty ratio instead:
9861 Russian KIA
16,153 Russian WIA
The Russians have 37% KIA & 63% WIA, a 2 to 3 ratio.
This represents an utter collapse the Russian medical evacuation & treatment system. Note, no "missing" 1/
That lack of "Missing" & "POW" categories, which are standard in professional military casualty reporting, is a "poker tell" regards there being more Russian military casualties & losses.
There are a lot of small Russian columns wiped out by 2/
...Ukrainian forces.
There is no "Platinum 5-minutes," no "Golden hour" in the Russian Army.
Russian leaders simply do not care for the lives of the conscripts in their charge.
Compare that to 2 dead to 3 wounded ratio of the Russian Army to the between 1-to-7 and 1-to-10
3/
Ukraine is doing to the Russian helicopters at Kherson what the IJN cruisers & battleships did to the USMC planes at Henderson Field on Guadalcanal in WW2.
2/
This is why I keep repeating:
"Seldom are there things in war that have not happened before."
You see a couple of dead ZIL trucks with this dead Russian Object 640 Black Eagle tank prototype in these Ukrainian battle damage assessment photos. 3/ reddit.com/r/TankPorn/com…