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Mar 25 • 4 tweets • 2 min read
Russian Duma member Vladimir Zhirinovsky has died. Back on December 27th he basically openly said that Russia would invade Ukraine, he got the hour right, but was 2 days off (a delay that likely occurred after his statement).
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Zhirinovsky was hospitalized with covid over a month ago rferl.org/a/russia-zhiri…
Lol now RIA is denying their own reporting

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More from @Osinttechnical

OSINTtechnical Profile picture
Mar 26
Russian forces captured a Ukrainian munitions warehouse outside of Chernihiv. Looks like there were still some grad rockets and 155mm artillery shells, note manufacture dates of 1984 and 1989 ImageImageImageImage
ImageImage
Just realized that the shells are 152mm
Read 4 tweets
OSINTtechnical Profile picture
Mar 25
Senior Defense Official Holds a Background Briefing thread for 3/25
"So nothing really significant to talk about with respect to Kyiv. The Russians -- we still hold them no closer than they were the last time we talked. They're in defensive positions. It looks like they have stopped really any interest in terms of ground movement towards Kyiv...
...but obviously air attacks, bombardment and long-range strikes continue to occur."
Read 50 tweets
OSINTtechnical Profile picture
Mar 25
What are the issues I don’t think it’s mentioned enough is the survivability rate among Russian tank crewmembers.

The T-72/T-80 is not a very fun environment when hit. The crew sits on a carousel autoloader, and if the ammunition is hit, the results aren’t great. Image
In fairness, the autoloader makes the tank much smaller, and removes the need for a human loader.

Unfortunately, as you can see, it’s also extremely vulnerable.
The results are fairly consistent. ImageImageImageImage
Read 6 tweets
OSINTtechnical Profile picture
Mar 24
Port of Berdyansk, large fire. Russian ships have been unloading there to support operations in Mariupol
Video from 2 days ago, the port has been very busy
Looks like a ship is on fire as well
Read 5 tweets
OSINTtechnical Profile picture
Mar 22
Senior US defense official background briefing thread-

"Not a whole lot of changes today either... no real changes by the Russians on the ground near Kyiv; still hold them to be about 15 kilometers to the northwest, and still about 30 to the east."
"one reason why think they're so interested in Mariupol, so they can come up from the south, down from the north from Izyum. (We assessed) that the Russians had taken Izyum, and what we're seeing is some significant fighting there by the Ukrainians in an effort to take it back."
"Down in the south, you know, now that we're talking about Mariupol, no -- no real changes from yesterday to talk about with the exception of a couple of things... lots of continued bombardment, artillery and long-range fires in the Mariupol. "
Read 40 tweets
OSINTtechnical Profile picture
Mar 22
A senior US defense official held a background briefing today, major points/summary thread.

"The only thing that I would say that's different since the last time we had a chance to talk is that we have seen some increased naval activity in the northern Black Sea."
"The Russians have a little bit more than a dozen warships, different stripes and sizes -- amphibious ships, surface combatants, mine sweeper and some patrol boats that they've got up in the northern Black Sea"
"It is not clear that this is an imminent pre-staging sign of an amphibious assault on Odesa, so it would be, at this point, we would assess that it would be wrong to conclude that this is somehow an indication that Odesa is under an imminent threat of an amphibious assault"
Read 57 tweets

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